PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Leiden vs Belfius Mons Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 107-89
16-25 27-28 36-22 28-14
Position#10
Record7-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game77.9
Leiden 🏆
vs
Position#16
Record4-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game94.1
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 10· Sportcomplex
Other2025-26
Meetings · Leiden v Belfius Mons
17 Apr 2027
LEI v BMO
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
LEI107
BMO89
18 Jan 2025
LEI85
BMO70
13 Apr 2022
LEI74
BMO66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belfius Mons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
51avg 73
A05/06
DBL
BAL Weert
#18
W
83-64
83
64
+19
76avg 73
A27/09
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
111-68
111
68
+43
109avg 73
H04/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
87-60
87
60
+27
85avg 73
A12/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
108-89
108
89
+19
110avg 73
H18/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
84-68
84
68
+16
82avg 73
A25/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
83-108
83
108
-25
68avg 73
A01/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
101-72
101
72
+29
95avg 73
H08/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
98-90
98
90
+8
93avg 73
H15/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 73
A21/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
12-25
22-19
11-21
25-12
23-17
18-20
17-15
33-15
34-17
24-17
20-19
22-12
32-18
15-14
18-16
21-21
28-23
26-23
33-22
20-21
29-13
25-18
10-16
23-23
21-31
26-28
13-26
19-21
31-10
28-22
23-19
21-28
22-27
35-24
20-11
28-16
9-20
25-18
14-28
168.5Avg total
89.8Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)92.377.9170.2+14.478%
Season at home (4)104.579.8184.2+24.8100%
Season away (5)82.676.4159.0+6.260%
Last 10 (10)89.878.7168.5+11.170%
Last 5 (5)88.484.0172.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.586.1158.6-13.617%
vs Similar (4)86.877.2164.0+9.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.875.8165.6+14.086%
This opponent (Belfius Mons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belfius MonsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMons
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#7
L
87-93
87
93
-6
79avg 76
H27/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
90-84
90
84
+6
88avg 76
A04/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
93-89
93
89
+4
90avg 76
A10/10
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
103-78
103
78
+25
99avg 76
H18/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
63-103
63
103
-40
46avg 76
A26/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
104-97
104
97
+7
103avg 76
H01/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
76-93
76
93
-17
68avg 76
H08/11
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
L
102-103 OT
102
103
-1
96avg 76
A16/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
L
93-104 OT
93
104
-11
no box
A19/11
Belgian Cup
LWD Basket
#15
L
101-107
101
107
-6
93avg 76
H22/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
18-21
32-28
15-25
18-17
29-29
26-22
17-16
21-29
23-14
31-21
18-25
17-23
25-17
27-19
34-19
12-25
14-22
21-27
16-29
21-21
22-35
25-21
36-20
19-26
18-21
15-22
24-24
13-19
24-27
26-26
29-20
18-14
17-21
15-30
32-17
25-33
29-33
30-17
17-24
186.3Avg total
91.2Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)91.094.1185.1-3.144%
Season at home (5)94.293.6187.8+0.640%
Season away (4)87.094.8181.8-7.850%
Last 10 (10)91.295.1186.3-3.940%
Last 5 (5)95.2100.8196.0-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)80.485.8166.2-5.350%
vs Similar (6)78.785.5164.2-6.817%
vs Weaker (11)88.579.6168.1+8.873%
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
LeidenBelfius Mons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A05/06
DBL
BAL Weert
#18
W
48-29
48
29
+19
A27/09
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
67-32
67
32
+35
H04/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A12/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H18/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A25/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A01/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H08/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H15/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A21/11
BNXT League
86.6Avg total
47.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.742.486.2+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.543.789.2+1.854%-
Last 30 away (17)42.441.583.8+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)47.539.186.6+8.470%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.086.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.646.484.0-8.825%-
vs Similar (4)46.539.586.0+7.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)48.239.988.1+8.471%-
This opponent (Belfius Mons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belfius MonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H27/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A04/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A10/10
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H18/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A26/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H01/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H08/11
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A16/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A19/11
Belgian Cup
LWD Basket
#15
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H22/11
BNXT League
87.1Avg total
40.5Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.181.6-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.341.683.9+0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)38.440.679.0-2.336%-
Last 10 (10)40.546.687.1-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)41.250.091.2-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.242.880.0-5.533%-
vs Similar (6)40.544.785.2-4.217%-
vs Weaker (11)44.538.082.5+6.573%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.0
53.8%
54.3%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.0
38.2%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.314.8
72.9%
72.4%14.8
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Belfius Monstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belfius Mons: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.621.7
57.7%
54.3%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.2
37.9%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.517.0
75.6%
72.4%17.0
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LWWLWWWWWL
Belfius Mons
LLLLWLWWWL
#10
League position
#16
+13.8
Net rating
-6.0
112.2
Offensive rating
112.5
98.4
Defensive rating
118.5
55.1%
Effective FG%
57.4%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
18.5%
Turnover %
17.5%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.2%
3-point %
37.9%
60.0%
Assist %
53.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 112.5Defence98.4 · 118.5Shooting55.1% · 57.4%3-point %38.2% · 37.9%Ball care18.5% · 17.5%Off. rebounds30.9% · 23.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Leiden   ■ Belfius Mons
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Leiden wins
0
Belfius Mons wins
DateGameScore
12/04/25Belfius Mons v Leiden71-77
18/01/25Leiden v Belfius Mons85-70
13/04/22Leiden v Belfius Mons74-66
12/03/22Belfius Mons v Leiden74-80
13/09/21Belfius Mons v Leiden74-76
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25AKortrijk76-82
15/11/25HOostende98-90
08/11/25HDonar Groningen101-72
01/11/25AOkapi Aalst83-108
25/10/25ADen Helder84-68
18/10/25HLWD Basket108-89
12/10/25ASpirou Charleroi87-60
04/10/25HRotterdam111-68
27/09/25ABAL Weert83-64
05/06/25ADen Bosch67-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HLWD Basket101-107
19/11/25ALeuven Bears93-104 OT
16/11/25ARotterdam102-103 OT
08/11/25HMechelen76-93
01/11/25HBrussels Basketball104-97
26/10/25AAntwerp Giants63-103
18/10/25HBAL Weert103-78
10/10/25AKortrijk93-89
04/10/25ADen Helder90-84
27/09/25HDonar Groningen87-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL78%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%100%60%
Points / game92.3104.582.6
Allowed / game77.979.876.4
Point differential+14.4+24.8+6.2
Avg total170.2184.2159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Belfius Mons
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL44%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game91.094.287.0
Allowed / game94.193.694.8
Point differential-3.1+0.6-7.8
Avg total185.1187.8181.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants98189%97.776.0+21.7
2 Oostende98189%90.880.2+10.6
3 Mechelen87188%83.274.1+9.1
4 Leiden97278%92.377.9+14.4
5 Okapi Aalst96367%94.488.2+6.2
6 Brussels Basketball96367%87.083.6+3.4
7 Donar Groningen96367%81.978.6+3.3
8 Den Bosch85362%86.280.4+5.9
9 Limburg105550%85.578.0+7.5
10 Kortrijk105550%84.281.7+2.5
11 Belfius Mons94544%91.094.1-3.1
12 Spirou Charleroi94544%82.390.6-8.2
13 Zwolle93633%79.382.0-2.7
14 Leuven Bears93633%79.384.4-5.1
15 LWD Basket92722%89.0100.0-11.0
16 Den Helder91811%79.989.8-9.9
17 Rotterdam91811%78.296.8-18.6
18 BAL Weert9090%64.389.9-25.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden16273628107
Belfius Mons2528221489
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.