PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Leiden vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 93-97
13-21 26-21 26-34 28-21
Position#22
Record8-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Sassari 🏆
Position#1
Record12-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game77.6
EuropeFIBA Europe Cup
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dordrecht
#5
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A20/01
DBL
Bakken Bears
#2
W
89-85
89
85
+4
H23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
BAL Weert
#10
W
97-55
97
55
+42
A27/01
DBL
Saratov
#5
L
81-105
81
105
-24
A30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Rotterdam
#8
W
92-68
92
68
+24
H02/02
DBL
Kataja
#21
L
80-92
80
92
-12
A06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
LWD Basket
#9
W
91-64
91
64
+27
H09/02
DBL
Donar Groningen
#4
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A13/02
NBB Cup
Den Helder
#6
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A16/02
DBL
Den Bosch
#3
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A02/03
DBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
20-21
16-12
25-18
27-17
22-22
30-20
10-26
21-6
25-11
31-21
20-17
21-22
26-22
21-25
13-36
24-17
16-20
28-12
24-19
25-20
18-29
15-21
22-22
27-20
24-12
20-10
20-22
21-12
13-23
25-13
12-18
11-15
20-10
18-20
19-12
20-19
12-7
24-22
18-17
155.2Avg total
82.2Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.681.7159.4-4.157%
Season at home (7)81.479.9161.3+1.671%
Season away (7)73.983.6157.4-9.743%
Last 10 (10)82.273.0155.2+9.280%
Last 5 (5)76.868.8145.6+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)74.897.0171.8-22.220%
vs Similar (9)78.474.3152.8+4.178%
vs Weaker (15)90.769.6160.3+21.1100%
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H20/01
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
97-74
97
74
+23
H23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Varese
#7
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A27/01
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#5
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
H03/02
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
93-81
93
81
+12
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Torino
#13
L
83-102
83
102
-19
A10/02
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A15/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#2
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H16/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#3
L
0-20
0
20
-20
H03/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
23-19
14-24
18-7
24-13
19-16
27-19
27-26
14-21
19-25
22-24
18-14
18-15
20-14
26-23
15-17
20-18
23-29
25-19
23-25
30-21
20-30
19-17
24-13
20-33
26-24
14-24
23-21
20-29
21-28
25-18
23-13
28-32
18-22
14-20
26-13
–
–
–
–
155.9Avg total
78.0Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)92.977.6170.5+15.286%
Season at home (7)96.376.3172.6+20.086%
Season away (7)89.479.0168.4+10.486%
Last 10 (10)78.077.9155.9+0.150%
Last 5 (5)70.275.6145.8-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)77.683.0160.6-5.412%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.880.1170.9+10.771%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +5.3+5.3
LeidenSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dordrecht
#5
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A20/01
DBL
Bakken Bears
#2
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
BAL Weert
#10
W
46-17
46
17
+29
A27/01
DBL
Saratov
#5
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Rotterdam
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H02/02
DBL
Kataja
#21
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
LWD Basket
#9
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H09/02
DBL
Donar Groningen
#4
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A13/02
NBB Cup
Den Helder
#6
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A16/02
DBL
Den Bosch
#3
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A02/03
DBL
75.8Avg total
41.1Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.537.179.7+5.476%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.938.283.1+6.693%-
Last 30 away (15)40.336.176.5+4.260%-
Last 10 (10)41.134.775.8+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)38.233.471.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)39.242.281.4-3.060%-
vs Similar (9)40.436.076.4+4.478%-
vs Weaker (15)44.936.181.0+8.780%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H20/01
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Varese
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A27/01
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H03/02
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Torino
#13
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A10/02
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A15/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#2
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H16/02
Italian Cup
88.9Avg total
43.3Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.041.185.1+2.855%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.741.187.9+5.667%-
Last 30 away (14)41.041.182.1-0.143%-
Last 10 (9)43.345.688.9-2.233%-
Last 5 (5)45.253.298.4-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)42.043.785.7-1.729%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.839.584.3+5.267%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.5
53.9%
52.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.5
34.8%
34.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.714.5
77.5%
73.3%14.5
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Leiden wins
0
Sassari wins
No previous meetings.
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/19ADen Bosch74-65
16/02/19ADen Helder68-57
13/02/19ADonar Groningen71-66
09/02/19HLWD Basket91-64
06/02/19AKataja80-92
02/02/19HRotterdam92-68
30/01/19ASaratov81-105
27/01/19ABAL Weert97-55
23/01/19HBakken Bears89-85
20/01/19ADordrecht79-73
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/19HCremona0-20
16/02/19HBrindisi86-87
15/02/19AVenezia89-88
10/02/19ATorino83-102
06/02/19HAEK Larnaca93-81
03/02/19HBrindisi98-103 OT
30/01/19AVarese79-69
27/01/19AVarese73-84
23/01/19HDonar Groningen97-74
20/01/19HReggiana82-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL57%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayWLLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%71%43%
Points / game77.681.473.9
Allowed / game81.779.983.6
Point differential-4.1+1.6-9.7
Avg total159.4161.3157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Sassari
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %86%86%86%
Points / game92.996.389.4
Allowed / game77.676.379.0
Point differential+15.2+20.0+10.4
Avg total170.5172.6168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%71%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Holon110100%85.081.0+4.0
2 Ventspils110100%78.076.0+2.0
3 Sassari1412286%92.977.6+15.2
4 s.Oliver Wurzburg1311285%87.676.8+10.8
5 Bakken Bears1310377%100.879.3+21.5
6 Saratov1310377%94.683.2+11.4
7 Varese129375%84.573.2+11.3
8 Nes Ziona1711665%91.184.9+6.2
9 Alba Fehervar149564%83.179.4+3.7
10 Lukoil Levski127558%83.984.2-0.2
11 Leiden148657%77.681.7-4.1
12 Karsiyaka137654%85.080.5+4.5
13 Donar Groningen137654%75.874.8+1.0
14 Balkan158753%80.678.7+1.9
15 Spirou Charleroi63350%81.070.5+10.5
16 Sakarya BB63350%80.075.2+4.8
17 Den Bosch84450%82.879.8+3.0
18 Aris63350%74.072.0+2.0
19 Minsk63350%82.882.2+0.7
20 Szolnoki Olaj126650%82.884.8-2.0
21 Keravnos21150%64.068.0-4.0
22 Lavrio21150%70.074.5-4.5
23 Kataja168850%80.184.9-4.8
24 Z-Mobile Prishtina126650%82.187.4-5.3
25 Cluj Napoca21150%83.589.5-6.0
26 BC Lulea21150%64.080.0-16.0
27 AEK Larnaca125742%74.081.7-7.7
28 Cherkaski Mavpy104640%80.184.3-4.2
29 Szombathely62433%74.384.5-10.2
30 BC Dnipro103730%71.776.9-5.2
31 Istanbul BB103730%72.279.4-7.2
32 Rilski Sportist82625%79.187.9-8.8
33 Belfius Mons61517%74.878.3-3.5
34 FC Porto61517%79.285.5-6.3
35 CSM Oradea61517%75.584.5-9.0
36 BC Steaua Bucuresti61517%71.386.5-15.2
37 Oostende1010%66.066.0+0.0
38 Leicester Riders6060%74.587.7-13.2
39 HydroTruck Radom2020%67.080.5-13.5
40 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%59.573.5-14.0
41 Sodertalje2020%71.586.0-14.5
42 Kongsberg Miners2020%76.592.0-15.5
43 Svitavy2020%76.098.5-22.5
44 Pardubice6060%77.3100.8-23.5
45 Benfica2020%79.0105.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden1326262893
Sassari2121342197
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.