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Leyma Coruna vs Forca Lleida Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Projected 96-94
Projected total 190.3
Scheduled
Position#14
Record3-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game101.2
Leyma Coruna
Spain
Vs
58%
42%
■ LKO 58%■ FLL 42%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.2/10
Below normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Forca Lleida
Spain
Position#18
Record1-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game104.6
SpainACBRound 9· Coliseum da Coruna
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Leyma Coruna v Forca Lleida
22 Nov 2026
LKO v FLL
upcoming
01 Mar 2025
LKO97
FLL84
05 Nov 2023
LKO97
FLL81
12 Oct 2022
LKO63
FLL71
31 Mar 2022
LKO88
FLL63
29 Sep 2019
LKO65
FLL82
28 Dec 2018
LKO73
FLL61
04 Nov 2017
LKO93
FLL74
17 Mar 2017
LKO83
FLL71
15 Apr 2016
LKO100
FLL86
03 Oct 2014
LKO71
FLL64
08 Nov 2013
LKO82
FLL71
04 Jan 2013
LKO73
FLL80
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Leyma Coruna host Forca Lleida in the Liga ACB. Pythia makes Leyma Coruna the favourite at 58% and projects 96-94, about 190 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Leyma Coruna are 3-5 this season (92.5 scored, 101.2 allowed a game), form LLWWL; Forca Lleida are 1-7 this season (92.8 scored, 104.6 allowed a game), form LLLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leyma Coruna win
57.6%fair 1.74
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Forca Lleida win
42.4%fair 2.36
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leyma CorunaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCoruna
Date
Competition
Palencia
#3
W
92-81
92
81
+11
77avg 83
H06/06
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
90avg 83
A07/06
Primera FEB
Barcelona
#5
L
101-119
101
119
-18
97avg 83
A26/09
ACB
Bilbao
#8
W
104-101 OT
104
101
+3
91avg 83
H04/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#7
L
71-92
71
92
-21
51avg 83
H10/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#10
L
90-110
90
110
-20
82avg 83
A18/10
ACB
Murcia
#11
L
81-88
81
88
-7
75avg 83
A24/10
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
93-89
93
89
+4
93avg 83
H31/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
103-100
103
100
+3
no box
H08/11
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
97-111
97
111
-14
no box
A15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
18-24
28-21
26-20
12-6
24-28
21-31
23-15
18-22
29-30
32-33
22-34
22-18
24-27
23-22
22-24
17-23
11-29
22-15
21-25
23-28
25-25
28-21
14-36
17-18
23-19
18-26
23-25
18-18
21-29
25-26
29-16
21-29
30-19
24-26
28-26
24-27
24-36
24-27
25-21
192.0Avg total
93.2Scored
98.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.5101.2193.8-8.838%
Season at home (4)92.895.5188.2-2.875%
Season away (4)92.2107.0199.2-14.80%
Last 10 (10)93.298.8192.0-5.650%
Last 5 (5)92.899.6192.4-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)90.198.9189.0-8.729%
vs Similar ◀ (4)93.097.5190.5-4.550%
vs Weaker (19)88.576.9165.4+11.689%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
88-116
88
116
-28
78avg 77
H24/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
95-116
95
116
-21
86avg 77
A29/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
105-100
105
100
+5
105avg 77
A27/09
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
81-94
81
94
-13
73avg 77
H04/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
L
89-91
89
91
-2
80avg 77
A11/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#7
L
98-109
98
109
-11
92avg 77
A18/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
86-122
86
122
-36
66avg 77
H25/10
ACB
Murcia
#11
L
98-125
98
125
-27
88avg 77
A31/10
ACB
Baskonia
#4
L
93-98
93
98
-5
no box
H07/11
ACB
Manresa
#16
L
92-98
92
98
-6
no box
H15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-31
16-31
22-29
24-25
29-23
17-35
23-28
26-30
26-20
24-33
26-19
29-28
20-19
21-20
13-17
27-38
21-22
22-27
17-20
29-22
23-22
20-38
31-24
24-25
21-31
19-23
23-27
23-41
21-34
19-26
25-25
33-40
20-27
19-27
23-24
31-20
25-32
21-22
25-23
21-21
199.4Avg total
92.5Scored
106.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.8104.6197.4-11.912%
Season at home (4)88.0103.0191.0-15.00%
Season away (4)97.5106.2203.8-8.825%
Last 10 (10)92.5106.9199.4-14.410%
Last 5 (5)93.4110.4203.8-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)88.297.8186.1-9.630%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.889.3173.1-5.530%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leyma Coruna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1451%1502%1553%1605%1657%1709%17511%18011%18512%19010%1959%2007%2055%2103%2152%2201%2251%2300%2350%240
1%1503%1607%17011%18012%1909%2005%2102%2201%2300%240
Pythia expects about 190 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 190-194 (12%).
Over/Under 177
Over 177
78.5%
Under 177
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 182
Over 182
68.4%
Under 182
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 187
Over 187
56.7%
Under 187
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Leyma Coruna total 89
Over 89
75.9%
Under 89
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leyma Coruna total 93
Over 93
62.1%
Under 93
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leyma Coruna total 97
Over 97
46.6%
Under 97
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forca Lleida total 85
Over 85
81.3%
Under 85
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forca Lleida total 89
Over 89
68.7%
Under 89
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forca Lleida total 93
Over 93
53.4%
Under 93
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-301%-271%-242%-213%-184%-155%-127%-99%-69%-36%+010%+310%+68%+96%+126%+154%+183%+212%+241%+271%+300%+33
1%-272%-214%-157%-99%-310%+38%+96%+153%+211%+270%+33
Margin from Leyma Coruna's side (positive = Leyma Coruna win). Pythia's expected margin is +2.2; Leyma Coruna win by 1+ in 51% of simulations.
Spread Leyma Coruna -3
LKO -3
48.8%
FLL +3
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
LKO
No market prices yet.
FLL
No market prices yet.
Spread Leyma Coruna 0
LKO 0
57.6%
FLL 0
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
LKO
No market prices yet.
FLL
No market prices yet.
Spread Leyma Coruna +3
LKO +3
66.3%
FLL -3
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
LKO
No market prices yet.
FLL
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -8.4-8.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -8.4-8.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
Leyma CorunaForca Lleida
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leyma CorunaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H06/06
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A07/06
Primera FEB
Barcelona
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A26/09
ACB
Bilbao
#8
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H04/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#7
L
28-52
28
52
-24
H10/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#10
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A18/10
ACB
Murcia
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A24/10
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H31/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H08/11
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A15/11
ACB
89.2Avg total
42.1Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.582.6+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.039.782.7+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)43.139.482.5+3.767%-
Last 10 (10)42.147.189.2-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)45.249.694.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.347.688.9-6.343%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)43.247.090.2-3.825%-
vs Weaker (19)43.735.078.7+8.784%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
42-62
42
62
-20
H24/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A29/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A27/09
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H04/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A11/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#7
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A18/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H25/10
ACB
Murcia
#11
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A31/10
ACB
Baskonia
#4
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H07/11
ACB
Manresa
#16
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H15/11
ACB
97.3Avg total
43.0Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.248.288.4-8.020%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.048.189.1-7.121%-
Last 30 away (16)39.548.287.8-8.819%-
Last 10 (10)43.054.397.3-11.310%-
Last 5 (5)41.656.498.0-14.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)40.949.890.7-8.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.845.083.8-6.220%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leyma Coruna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leyma Corunatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leyma Coruna: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.2
51.8%
55.8%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.1
33.1%
36.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws25.919.4
74.9%
76.0%19.4
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.824.6
56.2%
55.8%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.2
32.5%
36.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.616.4
66.7%
76.0%16.4
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leyma Coruna
LWWLLLWLWW
Forca Lleida
LLLLLLLWLL
#14
League position
#18
-3.9
Net rating
-16.4
102.3
Offensive rating
94.0
106.2
Defensive rating
110.4
50.9%
Effective FG%
53.5%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
10.4%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.1%
3-point %
32.5%
56.8%
Assist %
56.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 94.0Defence106.2 · 110.4Shooting50.9% · 53.5%3-point %33.1% · 32.5%Ball care10.4% · 15.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Leyma Coruna   ■ Forca Lleida
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Leyma Coruna wins
4
Forca Lleida wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Leyma Coruna v Forca Lleida97-84
01/12/24Forca Lleida v Leyma Coruna101-106 OT
02/02/24Forca Lleida v Leyma Coruna83-85
05/11/23Leyma Coruna v Forca Lleida97-81
01/02/23Forca Lleida v Leyma Coruna82-91
12/10/22Leyma Coruna v Forca Lleida63-71
31/03/22Leyma Coruna v Forca Lleida88-63
05/12/21Forca Lleida v Leyma Coruna84-83
17/01/20Forca Lleida v Leyma Coruna81-56
29/09/19Leyma Coruna v Forca Lleida65-82
Leyma Corunalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AValencia97-111
08/11/26HMoraBanc Andorra103-100
31/10/26HTenerife93-89
24/10/26AMurcia81-88
18/10/26ABasquet Girona90-110
10/10/26HBasket Zaragoza71-92
04/10/26HBilbao104-101 OT
26/09/26ABarcelona101-119
07/06/26AEstudiantes100-97 OT
06/06/26HPalencia92-81
Forca Lleidalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HManresa92-98
07/11/26HBaskonia93-98
31/10/26AMurcia98-125
25/10/26HReal Madrid86-122
18/10/26ABasket Zaragoza98-109
11/10/26AObradoiro CAB89-91
04/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos81-94
27/09/26AValencia105-100
29/05/26AMurcia95-116
24/05/26HMoraBanc Andorra88-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leyma Coruna
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game92.592.892.2
Allowed / game101.295.5107.0
Point differential-8.8-2.8-14.8
Avg total193.8188.2199.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
Forca Lleida
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%0%25%
Points / game92.888.097.5
Allowed / game104.6103.0106.2
Point differential-11.9-15.0-8.8
Avg total197.4191.0203.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Valencia86275%100.689.1+11.5
3 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
4 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
5 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2.9
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-0.6
9 Unicaja84450%87.984.1+3.8
10 Basquet Girona84450%88.195.4-7.2
11 Murcia73443%90.193.3-3.1
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-6.3
13 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
14 Leyma Coruna83538%92.5101.2-8.8
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Manresa82625%88.0101.0-13.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
18 Forca Lleida81712%92.8104.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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