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Murcia vs Forca Lleida Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 116-95
23-29 35-17 28-23 30-26
Position#4
Record24-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game84.3
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#14
Record12-21
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game90.3
SpainACBRound 34· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Murcia v Forca Lleida
31 Oct 2026
MUR125
FLL98
29 May 2026
MUR116
FLL95
12 Jan 2025
MUR88
FLL81
02 Mar 2011
MUR82
FLL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forca Lleida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
89-67
89
67
+22
83avg 81
A04/04
ACB
PAOK
#5
W
89-85
89
85
+4
72avg 81
H08/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#18
W
107-91
107
91
+16
105avg 81
H12/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
95-89
95
89
+6
89avg 81
A18/04
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 81
H25/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
123-131 OT
123
131
-8
113avg 81
A03/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
86-75
86
75
+11
77avg 81
H09/05
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
80-87
80
87
-7
62avg 81
A14/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
87-69
87
69
+18
81avg 81
H17/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
100-90
100
90
+10
97avg 81
A24/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
27-15
23-19
21-18
20-19
27-21
16-20
26-25
28-23
32-24
15-23
32-21
28-22
10-21
28-23
29-23
24-29
17-16
22-16
23-19
29-25
34-25
29-31
22-33
18-18
27-23
23-17
18-17
18-20
15-23
20-24
27-20
35-17
10-24
19-15
23-13
22-17
23-26
27-21
28-26
180.6Avg total
94.2Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)90.884.3175.1+6.573%
Season at home (16)89.479.9169.3+9.688%
Season away (17)92.188.4180.5+3.759%
Last 10 (10)94.286.4180.6+7.880%
Last 5 (5)95.290.4185.6+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.0110.0194.0-26.00%
vs Similar (5)91.291.8183.0-0.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)88.981.4170.2+7.583%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
Granada
#18
L
89-92
89
92
-3
80avg 75
A28/03
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
103-101
103
101
+2
98avg 75
H05/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
91-107
91
107
-16
87avg 75
A11/04
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
90-80
90
80
+10
93avg 75
H19/04
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
72-91
72
91
-19
61avg 75
A25/04
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
91-99
91
99
-8
85avg 75
A02/05
ACB
Bilbao
#7
W
90-81
90
81
+9
86avg 75
H10/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
L
87-114
87
114
-27
85avg 75
A13/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
75-72
75
72
+3
60avg 75
H17/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
88-116
88
116
-28
78avg 75
H24/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
18-22
20-20
34-27
19-28
23-23
27-24
34-26
19-24
27-34
21-23
24-26
24-21
17-25
24-15
25-19
19-19
15-18
14-32
24-22
24-22
31-25
22-26
14-26
25-26
29-22
15-19
21-14
26-35
12-28
24-25
25-26
16-9
24-15
16-22
19-26
26-31
16-31
22-29
24-25
182.9Avg total
87.6Scored
95.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)83.790.3174.0-6.736%
Season at home (17)84.988.8173.7-3.947%
Season away (16)82.491.9174.3-9.625%
Last 10 (10)87.695.3182.9-7.740%
Last 5 (5)86.296.4182.6-10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)82.791.2173.8-8.533%
vs Similar (12)84.890.6175.3-5.833%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
MurciaForca Lleida
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A04/04
ACB
PAOK
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H08/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#18
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H12/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A18/04
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H25/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
63-50
63
50
+13
A03/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H09/05
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A14/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H17/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A24/05
ACB
88.5Avg total
46.2Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.940.484.3+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.939.982.7+3.071%-
Last 30 away (16)44.840.985.7+3.962%-
Last 10 (10)46.242.388.5+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)46.243.689.8+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.055.094.0-16.00%-
vs Similar (5)43.043.086.0+0.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.339.283.5+5.075%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#18
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A28/03
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H05/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A11/04
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H19/04
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A25/04
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A02/05
ACB
Bilbao
#7
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H10/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A13/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H17/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
42-62
42
62
-20
H24/05
ACB
90.8Avg total
42.7Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.645.284.8-5.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.946.287.1-5.327%-
Last 30 away (15)38.444.282.6-5.827%-
Last 10 (10)42.748.190.8-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)45.848.894.6-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.345.684.8-6.322%-
vs Similar (12)40.244.784.8-4.533%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 94.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.122.1
56.5%
50.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.8
37.6%
42.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws23.717.6
74.3%
74.7%17.6
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.724.0
59.0%
50.0%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.5
31.6%
42.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws23.217.1
73.7%
74.7%17.1
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WWLWLWWWWW
Forca Lleida
LWLWLLWLWL
#4
League position
#14
+8.6
Net rating
-8.9
104.2
Offensive rating
101.1
95.6
Defensive rating
110.0
56.5%
Effective FG%
54.7%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
12.7%
Turnover %
13.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.6%
3-point %
31.6%
50.5%
Assist %
59.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 101.1Defence95.6 · 110.0Shooting56.5% · 54.7%3-point %37.6% · 31.6%Ball care12.7% · 13.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Murcia   ■ Forca Lleida
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Murcia wins
1
Forca Lleida wins
DateGameScore
22/11/25Forca Lleida v Murcia71-107
04/05/25Forca Lleida v Murcia79-77
12/01/25Murcia v Forca Lleida88-81
02/03/11Murcia v Forca Lleida82-66
17/11/10Forca Lleida v Murcia75-82
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/26ABasket Zaragoza100-90
17/05/26HUnicaja87-69
14/05/26ABaskonia80-87
09/05/26HBasquet Girona86-75
03/05/26AReal Madrid123-131 OT
25/04/26HTenerife86-80
18/04/26AMoraBanc Andorra95-89
12/04/26HGranada107-91
08/04/26HPAOK89-85
04/04/26AJoventut Badalona89-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/26HMoraBanc Andorra88-116
17/05/26HGran Canaria75-72
13/05/26ABreogan87-114
10/05/26HBilbao90-81
02/05/26ASan Pablo Burgos91-99
25/04/26AUnicaja72-91
19/04/26HBarcelona90-80
11/04/26ABasket Zaragoza91-107
05/04/26HTenerife103-101
28/03/26AGranada89-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW73%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWLLW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %73%88%59%
Points / game90.889.492.1
Allowed / game84.379.988.4
Point differential+6.5+9.6+3.7
Avg total175.1169.3180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%56%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Forca Lleida
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL36%
HomeWWWWL47%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %36%47%25%
Points / game83.784.982.4
Allowed / game90.388.891.9
Point differential-6.7-3.9-9.6
Avg total174.0173.7174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%12%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3426876%92.985.5+7.5
2 Baskonia3324973%93.586.7+6.8
3 Murcia3324973%90.884.3+6.5
4 Valencia3223972%94.183.5+10.6
5 Barcelona3223972%89.781.8+7.8
6 Joventut Badalona33221167%85.781.3+4.4
7 Tenerife33181555%89.686.5+3.2
8 Bilbao33181555%84.886.1-1.4
9 Unicaja33171652%87.586.8+0.8
10 Manresa34161847%86.290.6-4.4
11 Breogan33151845%90.993.2-2.3
12 Basquet Girona33132039%85.889.3-3.5
13 Forca Lleida33122136%83.790.3-6.7
14 San Pablo Burgos34122235%89.792.7-3.0
15 Gran Canaria33102330%81.385.7-4.4
16 MoraBanc Andorra33102330%87.393.0-5.7
17 Basket Zaragoza3392427%86.993.4-6.5
18 Granada3462818%83.892.7-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia23352830116
Forca Lleida2917232695
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