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Forca Lleida vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-122
21-31 19-23 23-27 23-41
Position#17
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game98.5
Forca Lleida
Spain
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game110.5
Allowed / game90.2
SpainACBRound 5· Pavelló Barris Nord
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Forca Lleida v Real Madrid
25 Oct 2026
FLL86
MAD122
20 Dec 2025
FLL81
MAD88
09 Feb 2025
FLL84
MAD95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forca Lleida winLost
-no forecast
Best odds6.00
Implied18.3%
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best odds1.20
Implied81.7%
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
91-99
91
99
-8
85avg 77
A02/05
ACB
Bilbao
#7
W
90-81
90
81
+9
86avg 77
H10/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
L
87-114
87
114
-27
85avg 77
A13/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
75-72
75
72
+3
60avg 77
H17/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
88-116
88
116
-28
78avg 77
H24/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
95-116
95
116
-21
86avg 77
A29/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
105-100
105
100
+5
105avg 77
A27/09
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
81-94
81
94
-13
73avg 77
H04/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
L
89-91
89
91
-2
80avg 77
A11/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#5
L
98-109
98
109
-11
92avg 77
A18/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
31-25
22-26
14-26
25-26
29-22
15-19
21-14
26-35
12-28
24-25
25-26
16-9
24-15
16-22
19-26
26-31
16-31
22-29
24-25
29-23
17-35
23-28
26-30
26-20
24-33
26-19
29-28
20-19
21-20
13-17
27-38
21-22
22-27
17-20
29-22
23-22
20-38
31-24
24-25
189.1Avg total
89.9Scored
99.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.298.5191.8-5.225%
Season at home (1)81.094.0175.0-13.00%
Season away (3)97.3100.0197.3-2.733%
Last 10 (10)89.999.2189.1-9.330%
Last 5 (5)93.6102.0195.6-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)86.594.1180.6-7.530%
vs Similar (10)83.289.8173.0-6.630%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
83avg 88
H27/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
84-94
84
94
-10
86avg 88
A29/09
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
L
98-102
98
102
-4
94avg 88
A01/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
114-107 OT
114
107
+7
112avg 88
A04/10
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
86-76
86
76
+10
76avg 88
H08/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
120-83
120
83
+37
122avg 88
H11/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
98-89
98
89
+9
95avg 88
A13/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
W
111-92
111
92
+19
109avg 88
H15/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#8
W
119-84
119
84
+35
120avg 88
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
W
113-99
113
99
+14
108avg 88
A22/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
23-25
19-24
24-16
29-27
12-26
24-19
19-22
20-29
23-34
32-12
23-27
22-22
32-21
21-26
24-30
27-19
26-18
18-20
15-19
34-22
28-16
24-18
34-27
21-25
32-15
31-27
14-22
27-25
34-23
16-23
34-21
36-13
26-22
27-22
30-27
23-30
28-22
30-21
32-26
194.5Avg total
103.2Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)110.590.2200.8+20.2100%
Season at home (3)109.384.7194.0+24.7100%
Season away (1)114.0107.0221.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)103.291.3194.5+11.980%
Last 5 (5)112.289.4201.6+22.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.082.0178.0+14.0100%
vs Similar (10)92.388.7181.0+3.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)98.890.8189.7+8.058%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 177.5Actual: Over 177.5
Over 177.5
no forecast
@ 1.46
Under 177.5
no forecast
@ 3.25
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.46
Marathon Be
1.36
Bet365
1.35
Betano
1.28
Under
Betano
3.25
Bet365
3.00
1xBet
2.40
Over/Under 182.5 · main lineActual: Over 182.5
Over 182.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under 182.5
no forecast
@ 2.52
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.90
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.54
1xBet
1.52
Marathon Be
1.52
Under
Betano
2.52
Bet365
2.35
1xBet
2.27
Marathon Be
2.27
BetVictor
1.90
Over/Under 187.5Actual: Over 187.5
Over 187.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under 187.5
no forecast
@ 2.13
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.90
BetVictor
1.90
WilliamHill
1.85
Betano
1.78
SBO
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
2.13
Marathon Be
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Betano
1.95
BetVictor
1.90

📊 3. Team Totals

Forca Lleida total 82.5Actual: Forca Lleida over 82.5
Over 82.5
no forecast
@ 1.38
Under 82.5
no forecast
@ 3.15
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.27
Under
Betano
3.15
Bet365
2.80
Forca Lleida total 86.5 · main lineActual: Forca Lleida under 86.5
Over 86.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 86.5
no forecast
@ 2.34
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.76
1xBet
1.57
Betano
1.55
Under
1xBet
2.34
Betano
2.18
Marathon Be
1.95
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Forca Lleida total 90.5Actual: Forca Lleida under 90.5
Over 90.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
Under 90.5
no forecast
@ 1.74
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.22
Betano
2.10
1xBet
1.88
Under
1xBet
1.74
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.58
Real Madrid total 92.5Actual: Real Madrid over 92.5
Over 92.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
Under 92.5
no forecast
@ 3.40
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.23
Under
Betano
3.40
Bet365
2.72
Real Madrid total 96.5 · main lineActual: Real Madrid over 96.5
Over 96.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 96.5
no forecast
@ 2.35
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.64
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.19
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Real Madrid total 100.5Actual: Real Madrid over 100.5
Over 100.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
Under 100.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.22
Betano
1.95
Marathon Be
1.95
1xBet
1.88
Under
Marathon Be
1.78
1xBet
1.74
Betano
1.72
Bet365
1.58

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Forca Lleida +7.5Actual: Real Madrid -7.5
FLL +7.5
no forecast
@ 2.43
MAD -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.58
Best 5 market prices
FLL
Pinnacle
2.43
Betano
2.37
Bet365
2.30
Marathon Be
2.20
1xBet
2.20
MAD
1xBet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.57
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.55
Marathon Be
1.55
Spread Forca Lleida +10.5 · main lineActual: Real Madrid -10.5
FLL +10.5
no forecast
@ 1.92
MAD -10.5
no forecast
@ 1.92
Best 5 market prices
FLL
1xBet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.90
BetVictor
1.89
Betano
1.88
MAD
1xBet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathon Be
1.90
SBO
1.90
Bet365
1.86
Spread Forca Lleida +13.5Actual: Real Madrid -13.5
FLL +13.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
MAD -13.5
no forecast
@ 2.33
Best 5 market prices
FLL
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.55
Marathon Be
1.55
1xBet
1.52
MAD
Marathon Be
2.33
1xBet
2.33
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.30

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
Forca LleidaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A02/05
ACB
Bilbao
#7
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H10/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A13/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H17/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
42-62
42
62
-20
H24/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A29/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A27/09
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H04/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A11/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#5
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A18/10
ACB
95.5Avg total
45.2Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 92
Last 30 (30)39.946.986.7-7.020%40%
Last 30 at home (13)40.746.887.5-6.123%38%
Last 30 away (17)39.246.986.2-7.718%41%
Last 10 (10)45.250.395.5-5.140%70%
Last 5 (5)44.651.896.4-7.220%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)40.547.888.3-7.320%40%
vs Similar (10)38.645.083.6-6.420%40%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H27/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A29/09
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A01/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A04/10
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H08/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
62-38
62
38
+24
H11/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A13/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#8
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A22/10
Euroleague
98.2Avg total
52.6Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 92
Last 30 (30)48.444.592.8+3.967%53%
Last 30 at home (15)49.743.593.2+6.367%53%
Last 30 away (15)47.045.592.5+1.567%53%
Last 10 (10)52.645.698.2+7.060%90%
Last 5 (5)57.842.6100.4+15.280%100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.041.086.0+4.0100%0%
vs Similar (10)45.945.391.2+0.660%30%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)49.844.294.1+5.668%68%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Real Madrid win
FLL win
no forecast
@ 3.70
MAD win
no forecast
@ 1.33
1st half Spread Forca Lleida +5.5 · main lineActual: Real Madrid -5.5
FLL +5.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
MAD -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half Over/Under 92 · main lineActual: Over 92
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
Forca Lleida 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Forca Lleida under 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 2.12
Real Madrid 1st half total 48.5 · main lineActual: Real Madrid over 48.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 2.00
1st half: FLL + total 91.5
FLL & over
no forecast
@ 6.75
FLL & under
no forecast
@ 6.50
1st half: Draw + total 91.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 31.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half: MAD + total 91.5
MAD & over
no forecast
@ 2.60
MAD & under
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half Over/Under 90.5Actual: Over 90.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 2.13
1st half Over/Under 93.5Actual: Over 93.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.02
Under
no forecast
@ 1.72
1st half Spread Forca Lleida +4.5Actual: Real Madrid -4.5
FLL +4.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
MAD -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.74
1st half Spread Forca Lleida +6.5Actual: Real Madrid -6.5
FLL +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
MAD -6.5
no forecast
@ 2.06
1st half Spread Forca Lleida +3.5Actual: Real Madrid -3.5
FLL +3.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
MAD -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Spread Forca Lleida +7.5Actual: Real Madrid -7.5
FLL +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.67
MAD -7.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half Over/Under 88.5Actual: Over 88.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 2.35
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Real Madrid (regulation)
FLL
no forecast
@ 3.84
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
MAD
no forecast
@ 1.33

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
FLL win + total 182.5
🔒 Pro
MAD win + total 182.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: FLL leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: MAD leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (FLL:MAD): FLL wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.724.9
59.7%
55.7%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.0
30.8%
36.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.216.1
69.4%
75.8%16.1
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 103.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.1
57.7%
55.7%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.213.2
39.8%
36.2%39.6
🏀 Free throws26.321.4
81.4%
75.8%21.4
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forca Lleida
LLLWLLWLWL
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWLLW
#17
League position
#1
-10.0
Net rating
+13.2
96.5
Offensive rating
112.0
106.4
Defensive rating
98.8
54.5%
Effective FG%
58.6%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
15.5%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.38
30.8%
3-point %
39.8%
57.4%
Assist %
66.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 112.0Defence106.4 · 98.8Shooting54.5% · 58.6%3-point %30.8% · 39.8%Ball care15.5% · 13.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Forca Lleida   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Forca Lleida wins
4
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
15/03/26Real Madrid v Forca Lleida95-78
20/12/25Forca Lleida v Real Madrid81-88
09/02/25Forca Lleida v Real Madrid84-95
17/11/24Real Madrid v Forca Lleida85-78
Forca Lleidalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26ABasket Zaragoza98-109
11/10/26AObradoiro CAB89-91
04/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos81-94
27/09/26AValencia105-100
29/05/26AMurcia95-116
24/05/26HMoraBanc Andorra88-116
17/05/26HGran Canaria75-72
13/05/26ABreogan87-114
10/05/26HBilbao90-81
02/05/26ASan Pablo Burgos91-99
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv113-99
18/10/26HBilbao119-84
15/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne111-92
13/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-89
11/10/26HManresa120-83
08/10/26HPartizan86-76
04/10/26AObradoiro CAB114-107 OT
01/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv98-102
29/09/26AAnadolu Efes84-94
27/09/26HUnicaja89-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forca Lleida
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game93.281.097.3
Allowed / game98.594.0100.0
Point differential-5.2-13.0-2.7
Avg total191.8175.0197.3
Over 182.550%0%67%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game110.5109.3114.0
Allowed / game90.284.7107.0
Point differential+20.2+24.7+7.0
Avg total200.8194.0221.0
Over 182.575%67%100%
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid440100%110.590.2+20.2
2 Tenerife54180%87.677.2+10.4
3 Baskonia53260%92.282.8+9.4
4 Valencia53260%96.688.8+7.8
5 Unicaja53260%88.283.0+5.2
6 Breogan53260%103.6100.4+3.2
7 Barcelona53260%98.096.2+1.8
8 Basket Zaragoza53260%89.089.0+0.0
9 Bilbao53260%95.295.6-0.4
10 Basquet Girona53260%93.097.4-4.4
11 Obradoiro CAB53260%88.693.2-4.6
12 San Pablo Burgos52340%89.887.0+2.8
13 Joventut Badalona52340%94.693.6+1.0
14 Murcia52340%87.093.0-6.0
15 Forca Lleida41325%93.298.5-5.2
16 MoraBanc Andorra51420%85.693.6-8.0
17 Leyma Coruna51420%89.4102.0-12.6
18 Manresa5050%84.6102.2-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forca Lleida2119232386
Real Madrid31232741122
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