Quilmes vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2019

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 78-90

20-23 17-24 23-20 18-23

Position#20

Record4-13

FormLWLWL

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game86.7

Quilmes

Ferro 🏆

Position#3

Record12-5

FormLWWWW

Points / game83.2

Allowed / game78.0

Liga A

Other2018-19

Meetings · Quilmes v Ferro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quilmes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ferro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Quilmes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

90-78

+12

H24/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

78-95

-17

H27/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

76-88

-12

H30/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

77-83

-6

A01/02

Liga A

Ferro

67-102

102

-35

A03/02

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

74-88

-14

A06/02

Liga A

Atenas

#19

86-78

H09/02

Liga A

La Union

#11

73-103

103

-30

A14/02

Liga A

Regatas

88-76

+12

A16/02

Liga A

San Martin

#10

73-75

-2

A18/02

Liga A

17-13

26-17

22-25

25-23

13-24

23-19

20-25

22-27

17-20

10-13

27-22

22-33

25-16

12-22

21-22

19-23

13-25

7-29

24-25

23-23

16-15

26-26

20-25

12-22

21-8

17-24

27-15

21-31

18-26

6-30

24-18

25-29

27-21

16-20

25-16

20-19

18-21

19-13

19-19

17-22

164.8Avg total

78.2Scored

86.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	78.5	86.7	165.2	-8.2	24%
Season at home (8)	80.9	82.4	163.2	-1.5	38%
Season away (9)	76.4	90.6	167.0	-14.1	11%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	86.6	164.8	-8.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	84.0	162.8	-5.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	79.2	86.6	165.8	-7.4	24%
vs Similar (11)	74.7	81.5	156.2	-6.7	27%
vs Weaker (2)	86.5	89.5	176.0	-3.0	50%

This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

78-81

-3

H16/01

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

83-75

A19/01

Liga A

Quimsa

#13

90-84

A21/01

Liga A

Libertad

#14

84-68

+16

H25/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

65-76

-11

A29/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

72-81

-9

A01/02

Liga A

Quilmes

#20

102-67

102

+35

H03/02

Liga A

La Union

#11

84-77

H07/02

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

88-78

+10

H13/02

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

88-84

H18/02

Liga A

18-13

19-27

20-20

21-21

16-17

21-17

21-19

25-22

32-28

23-13

18-22

17-21

27-11

10-13

22-19

25-25

22-20

17-15

18-23

8-18

19-25

20-19

17-18

16-19

25-13

29-7

25-24

23-23

22-14

12-17

26-21

24-25

23-20

21-21

18-24

26-13

20-27

20-13

26-25

22-19

160.5Avg total

83.4Scored

77.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	83.2	78.0	161.2	+5.2	71%
Season at home (10)	86.6	75.8	162.4	+10.8	90%
Season away (7)	78.3	81.1	159.4	-2.9	43%
Last 10 (10)	83.4	77.1	160.5	+6.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	86.8	77.4	164.2	+9.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	78.2	88.5	166.8	-10.2	0%
vs Similar (10)	77.5	74.7	152.2	+2.8	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	84.6	75.8	160.4	+8.8	81%

This opponent (Quilmes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

QuilmesFerro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.7	37.6	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.7	16.8	35.5	+1.9	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.4	21.9	39.3	-4.6	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.9	37.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.8	19.9	38.8	-1.1	47%	-
vs Similar (11)	16.5	19.9	36.4	-3.5	18%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	16.5	35.0	+2.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.2	39.9	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.5	17.5	39.0	+4.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	21.5	41.0	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	18.8	41.2	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.2	23.2	45.5	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.9	18.7	38.6	+1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.7	18.6	39.2	+2.1	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	20.3	37.9	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.5	19.4	36.9	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.7	20.9	38.6	-3.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	21.3	37.5	-5.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	22.6	39.4	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	16.6	21.0	37.6	-4.4	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.2	19.5	38.6	-0.3	36%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	18.5	36.5	-0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.2	35.7	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.8	17.1	35.9	+1.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	17.3	35.5	+0.9	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.2	35.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	15.4	35.8	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.2	19.5	36.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.1	19.0	36.1	-1.9	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	19.8	15.4	35.2	+4.4	69%	-

QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

43-30

+13

H24/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

36-43

-7

H27/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

27-33

-6

H30/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

37-38

-1

A01/02

Liga A

Ferro

20-54

-34

A03/02

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

42-41

A06/02

Liga A

Atenas

#19

38-32

H09/02

Liga A

La Union

#11

24-56

-32

A14/02

Liga A

Regatas

43-41

A16/02

Liga A

San Martin

#10

37-34

A18/02

Liga A

74.9Avg total

34.7Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	40.0	75.5	-4.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.2	36.2	72.4	+0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	35.1	42.9	77.9	-7.8	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.7	40.2	74.9	-5.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	40.8	77.6	-4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	35.4	40.9	76.4	-5.5	35%	-
vs Similar (11)	35.6	39.4	75.0	-3.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.5	35.0	71.5	+1.5	50%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

37-40

-3

H16/01

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

37-34

A19/01

Liga A

Quimsa

#13

55-41

+14

A21/01

Liga A

Libertad

#14

37-24

+13

H25/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

39-35

A29/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

39-44

-5

A01/02

Liga A

Quilmes

#20

54-20

+34

H03/02

Liga A

La Union

#11

34-31

H07/02

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

44-41

H13/02

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

40-40

H18/02

Liga A

76.6Avg total

41.6Scored

35.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	36.4	75.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.4	34.5	74.9	+5.8	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.7	38.8	76.5	-1.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	35.0	76.6	+6.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	35.2	77.4	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.5	42.8	82.2	-3.2	75%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.0	37.7	74.7	-0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	40.5	34.0	74.5	+6.5	69%	-

This opponent (Quilmes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.7	18.7	41.4	+4.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.1	20.6	41.8	+0.5	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	21.2	44.1	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.6	41.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	22.7	20.4	43.1	+2.4	53%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.8	18.5	38.4	+1.3	55%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.0	22.0	47.0	+3.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.2	21.7	43.9	+0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.5	42.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.4	44.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	26.2	45.2	-7.2	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.4	20.9	43.3	+1.6	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	23.8	43.4	-4.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	23.9	44.2	-3.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.2	23.7	42.9	-4.5	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	25.2	45.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	24.6	43.6	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.3	24.2	44.5	-3.9	24%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.6	21.5	39.2	-3.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.0	32.5	57.5	-7.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.2	41.5	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.5	19.5	42.0	+3.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	21.1	40.8	-1.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.6	41.3	+0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	19.5	39.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.5	19.2	40.7	+2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.6	20.9	42.6	+0.7	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	43.6	85.0	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.9	42.6	85.5	+0.3	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.3	44.4	84.6	-4.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	46.4	89.9	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	43.2	85.2	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	43.0	44.6	87.6	-1.6	35%	-
vs Similar (11)	37.5	40.1	77.5	-2.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (2)	50.0	54.5	104.5	-4.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	40.7	82.9	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.3	39.2	81.5	+3.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.0	42.8	84.8	-0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	42.1	83.9	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	42.2	86.8	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.8	45.8	84.5	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.5	37.0	77.5	+3.5	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	44.1	41.8	85.9	+2.2	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Quilmes wins

Ferro wins

Date	Game	Score
03/02/19	Ferro v Quilmes	102-67
29/04/18	Ferro v Quilmes	94-71
25/03/18	Quilmes v Ferro	82-86
15/06/17	Ferro v Quilmes	107-113 OT
11/06/17	Quilmes v Ferro	100-91
10/06/17	Quilmes v Ferro	83-97
07/06/17	Ferro v Quilmes	78-76
04/06/17	Ferro v Quilmes	78-81 OT
18/03/17	Ferro v Quilmes	76-69
31/01/17	Quilmes v Ferro	88-99

Quilmeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/02/19	A	San Martin	73-75
16/02/19	A	Regatas	88-76
14/02/19	A	La Union	73-103
09/02/19	H	Atenas	86-78
06/02/19	A	Hispano Americano	74-88
03/02/19	A	Ferro	67-102
01/02/19	A	Obras Sanitarias	77-83
30/01/19	H	Hispano Americano	76-88
27/01/19	H	San Lorenzo	78-95
24/01/19	H	Gimnasia	90-78

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/02/19	H	Olimpico	88-84
13/02/19	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	88-78
07/02/19	H	La Union	84-77
03/02/19	H	Quilmes	102-67
01/02/19	A	Gimnasia	72-81
29/01/19	A	Boca Juniors	65-76
25/01/19	H	Libertad	84-68
21/01/19	A	Quimsa	90-84
19/01/19	A	Olimpico	83-75
16/01/19	H	Boca Juniors	78-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quilmes

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	24%
Home	LWLLW	38%
Away	LLLWL	11%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	24%	38%	11%
Points / game	78.5	80.9	76.4
Allowed / game	86.7	82.4	90.6
Point differential	-8.2	-1.5	-14.1
Avg total	165.2	163.2	167.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	12%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	25% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Ferro

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	71%
Home	WWWWW	90%
Away	LWWLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	10	7
Win %	71%	90%	43%
Points / game	83.2	86.6	78.3
Allowed / game	78.0	75.8	81.1
Point differential	+5.2	+10.8	-2.9
Avg total	161.2	162.4	159.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	75% (4)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	14	13	1	93%	93.5	74.9	+18.6
2	Ferro	17	12	5	71%	83.2	78.0	+5.2
3	Obras Sanitarias	19	12	7	63%	82.3	82.4	-0.1
4	Instituto de Cordoba	16	10	6	62%	86.4	77.7	+8.7
5	Gimnasia	16	10	6	62%	80.8	76.1	+4.7
6	Quimsa	18	11	7	61%	86.8	81.7	+5.1
7	Regatas	20	12	8	60%	84.2	81.7	+2.5
8	Hispano Americano	15	9	6	60%	83.5	83.3	+0.1
9	San Martin	17	10	7	59%	80.1	81.4	-1.2
10	Libertad	18	10	8	56%	79.3	79.2	+0.1
11	Boca Juniors	19	10	9	53%	74.5	75.4	-0.8
12	Comunicaciones Mercedes	18	9	9	50%	82.4	78.7	+3.7
13	Olimpico	17	8	9	47%	77.7	75.9	+1.8
14	La Union	18	8	10	44%	84.9	84.9	-0.1
15	Estudiantes	18	7	11	39%	75.1	79.2	-4.1
16	Penarol	17	6	11	35%	79.8	86.1	-6.4
17	Weber Bahia	18	5	13	28%	70.2	80.2	-9.9
18	Quilmes	17	4	13	24%	78.5	86.7	-8.2
19	Argentino	17	4	13	24%	79.4	88.8	-9.4
20	Atenas	17	3	14	18%	78.4	84.7	-6.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Quilmes	20	17	23	18	78
Ferro	23	24	20	23	90

← all games of the day

Quilmes vs Ferro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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