Estudiantes vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Mar 2019

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 95-88

25-25 24-7 22-23 24-33

Position#9

Record11-12

FormWWLWL

Points / game76.4

Allowed / game78.3

Estudiantes 🏆

Libertad

Position#14

Record10-11

FormWLLLL

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game79.8

Liga A

Other2018-19

Meetings · Estudiantes v Libertad

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

#16

90-66

+24

H16/02

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

82-86

-4

A02/03

Liga A

Manresa

91-101

101

-10

A03/03

ACB

Quimsa

#13

79-64

+15

H04/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

87-76

+11

H08/03

Liga A

San Martin

#10

91-84

H10/03

Liga A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

87-72

+15

H10/03

ACB

Quilmes

#20

80-85

-5

A13/03

Liga A

Penarol

#16

69-68

A15/03

Liga A

Barcelona

76-90

-14

A17/03

ACB

22-18

24-16

23-10

21-22

16-19

25-20

21-21

20-26

21-26

21-29

19-22

30-24

24-14

17-17

22-13

16-20

33-14

24-22

13-18

17-22

27-23

21-23

21-17

22-21

22-18

14-12

21-16

30-26

22-27

19-26

15-15

24-17

13-25

15-15

13-10

28-18

22-10

17-26

20-34

17-20

162.4Avg total

83.2Scored

79.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	76.4	78.3	154.7	-2.0	48%
Season at home (11)	79.5	75.3	154.7	+4.2	73%
Season away (12)	73.6	81.2	154.8	-7.6	25%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	79.2	162.4	+4.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	79.8	160.4	+0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	81.7	86.0	167.7	-4.3	33%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	82.1	77.6	159.7	+4.6	67%
vs Weaker (2)	78.0	77.0	155.0	+1.0	50%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hispano Americano

#15

69-97

-28

A23/01

Liga A

Ferro

68-84

-16

A25/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

73-51

+22

H31/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

79-82

-3

H06/02

Liga A

Argentino

#17

89-79

+10

H12/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

96-91 OT

H14/02

Liga A

Quimsa

#13

81-93

-12

H02/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

79-84

-5

A09/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

78-82

-4

A11/03

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

75-84

-9

A17/03

Liga A

15-24

16-17

18-20

20-36

11-27

13-10

19-22

25-25

18-8

16-11

16-13

23-19

22-20

20-18

12-20

25-24

18-23

25-13

19-21

27-22

15-16

20-17

21-20

24-27

16-29

25-22

21-22

19-20

26-13

13-21

23-29

17-21

14-28

27-14

25-19

12-21

16-24

20-14

23-22

161.4Avg total

78.7Scored

82.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	79.0	79.8	158.8	-0.8	48%
Season at home (12)	83.3	78.2	161.5	+5.2	67%
Season away (9)	73.2	82.0	155.2	-8.8	22%
Last 10 (10)	78.7	82.7	161.4	-4.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	86.8	168.6	-5.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	81.4	86.5	167.9	-5.1	25%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	81.6	81.7	163.2	-0.1	58%
vs Weaker (6)	75.8	68.2	144.0	+7.7	83%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesLibertad

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.7	40.7	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	17.4	40.1	+5.2	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	21.8	41.2	-2.3	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.2	19.7	39.9	+0.6	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	20.9	39.1	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	20.1	39.9	-0.3	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.1	21.8	37.9	-5.8	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	21.2	38.3	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.0	39.4	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.7	22.6	41.2	-3.9	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.5	20.6	39.1	-2.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	16.7	18.0	34.7	-1.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	18.3	35.6	-0.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	21.5	40.6	-2.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.4	37.6	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.8	21.7	39.4	-3.9	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.1	19.2	38.3	-0.1	39%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.3	18.1	38.4	+2.2	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.4	18.7	36.1	-1.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	16.7	35.8	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.9	18.7	36.6	-0.8	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.6	18.9	38.5	+0.7	58%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.2	16.7	36.8	+3.5	83%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

#16

46-34

+12

H16/02

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

41-39

A02/03

Liga A

Manresa

42-55

-13

A03/03

ACB

Quimsa

#13

41-31

+10

H04/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

57-36

+21

H08/03

Liga A

San Martin

#10

48-46

H10/03

Liga A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

36-30

H10/03

ACB

Quilmes

#20

41-53

-12

A13/03

Liga A

Penarol

#16

28-40

-12

A15/03

Liga A

Barcelona

39-36

A17/03

ACB

81.9Avg total

41.9Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	39.7	79.0	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.0	35.7	75.7	+4.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.6	43.2	81.8	-4.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	40.0	81.9	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	41.0	79.4	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.0	41.3	79.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	40.1	38.4	78.5	+1.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	39.5	39.5	79.0	+0.0	50%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hispano Americano

#15

31-41

-10

A23/01

Liga A

Ferro

24-37

-13

A25/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

34-19

+15

H31/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

42-38

H06/02

Liga A

Argentino

#17

43-36

H12/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

35-33

H14/02

Liga A

Quimsa

#13

41-51

-10

H02/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

39-34

A09/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

41-42

-1

A11/03

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

32-48

-16

A17/03

Liga A

74.1Avg total

36.2Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	39.2	76.5	-2.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.1	38.2	78.4	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	33.5	40.5	74.0	-7.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	37.9	74.1	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	41.6	79.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	36.6	41.2	77.8	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	38.1	39.5	77.6	-1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	36.8	34.7	71.5	+2.2	67%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.3	38.4	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	17.4	37.3	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	20.9	39.4	-2.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	17.6	36.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.4	36.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.3	21.7	41.0	-2.3	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.9	17.9	37.9	+2.0	61%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.0	18.5	32.5	-4.5	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.7	21.4	43.1	+0.4	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	19.6	40.2	+0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.0	39.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	23.6	21.8	45.3	+1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.5	20.8	41.3	-0.3	25%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.8	17.8	35.7	+0.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	20.4	41.9	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.6	44.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	20.4	44.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.2	21.1	43.3	+1.1	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	19.0	43.5	+5.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.7	42.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.3	21.2	43.5	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	20.1	40.3	+0.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	23.7	45.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.2	41.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	21.2	23.5	44.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.7	20.4	42.1	+1.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.2	15.7	36.8	+5.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	39.6	79.9	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.4	37.8	79.2	+3.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.3	41.1	80.4	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	39.2	80.5	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	38.8	81.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	41.6	42.8	84.3	-1.2	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	40.5	37.9	78.4	+2.6	61%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.5	37.5	76.0	+1.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	41.3	83.9	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.0	42.5	86.5	+1.5	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.8	39.7	80.5	+1.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	43.7	84.6	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	43.0	84.0	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	44.8	45.2	90.1	-0.4	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	42.2	41.2	83.4	+0.9	42%	-
vs Weaker (6)	39.0	33.5	72.5	+5.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 85.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	21.6	53.2%	53.8%	43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.4	9.4	40.2%	32.9%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	19.7	13.8	70.1%	71.7%	13.8

They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Libertadtheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	21.0	56.3%	53.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	9.6	33.6%	32.9%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	17.6	13.1	74.4%	71.7%	13.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	19.9	50.7%	53.8%	39.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	9.1	34.1%	32.9%	27.2
🏀 Free throws	19.1	13.8	72.4%	71.7%	13.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	20.9	54.0%	53.8%	41.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.1	35.2%	32.9%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.4	75.5%	71.7%	14.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Libertad wins

Date	Game	Score
19/01/19	Libertad v Estudiantes	88-69
18/03/17	Libertad v Estudiantes	72-81
14/02/17	Estudiantes v Libertad	85-73
14/11/16	Libertad v Estudiantes	84-82
10/11/16	Estudiantes v Libertad	77-64
02/05/16	Estudiantes v Libertad	83-86
19/12/15	Libertad v Estudiantes	95-70
23/10/15	Libertad v Estudiantes	78-61
04/10/15	Estudiantes v Libertad	73-74
18/03/15	Libertad v Estudiantes	74-82

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/03/19	A	Barcelona	76-90
15/03/19	A	Penarol	69-68
13/03/19	A	Quilmes	80-85
10/03/19	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	87-72
10/03/19	H	San Martin	91-84
08/03/19	H	Obras Sanitarias	87-76
04/03/19	H	Quimsa	79-64
03/03/19	A	Manresa	91-101
02/03/19	A	Comunicaciones Mercedes	82-86
16/02/19	H	Penarol	90-66

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/03/19	A	Comunicaciones Mercedes	75-84
11/03/19	A	Boca Juniors	78-82
09/03/19	A	San Lorenzo	79-84
02/03/19	H	Quimsa	81-93
14/02/19	H	Obras Sanitarias	96-91 OT
12/02/19	H	Argentino	89-79
06/02/19	H	Gimnasia	79-82
31/01/19	H	Weber Bahia	73-51
25/01/19	A	Ferro	68-84
23/01/19	A	Hispano Americano	69-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	48%
Home	WWWWW	73%
Away	WLLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	48%	73%	25%
Points / game	76.4	79.5	73.6
Allowed / game	78.3	75.3	81.2
Point differential	-2.0	+4.2	-7.6
Avg total	154.7	154.7	154.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	36%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	50% (2)	25% (4)
Overtime %	4%	9%	0%

Libertad

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	48%
Home	WLWWL	67%
Away	LLLLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	12	9
Win %	48%	67%	22%
Points / game	79.0	83.3	73.2
Allowed / game	79.8	78.2	82.0
Point differential	-0.8	+5.2	-8.8
Avg total	158.8	161.5	155.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	50% (4)	50% (4)
Overtime %	5%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	18	17	1	94%	92.7	76.4	+16.2
2	Instituto de Cordoba	20	14	6	70%	85.7	76.2	+9.4
3	Ferro	23	15	8	65%	83.5	78.2	+5.3
4	Gimnasia	22	14	8	64%	82.6	78.4	+4.3
5	Obras Sanitarias	22	13	9	59%	81.5	82.2	-0.7
6	Regatas	24	14	10	58%	83.8	82.2	+1.6
7	Quimsa	21	12	9	57%	85.1	80.5	+4.6
8	Comunicaciones Mercedes	23	13	10	57%	81.3	78.6	+2.8
9	Boca Juniors	22	12	10	55%	74.9	75.6	-0.7
10	Hispano Americano	19	10	9	53%	83.8	83.4	+0.4
11	San Martin	21	11	10	52%	79.3	81.6	-2.2
12	Estudiantes	23	11	12	48%	76.4	78.3	-2.0
13	Olimpico	21	10	11	48%	78.0	76.8	+1.2
14	Libertad	21	10	11	48%	79.0	79.8	-0.8
15	La Union	21	9	12	43%	85.0	85.3	-0.4
16	Weber Bahia	21	7	14	33%	71.1	80.0	-8.9
17	Penarol	20	6	14	30%	77.6	84.8	-7.2
18	Quilmes	22	6	16	27%	77.9	85.2	-7.3
19	Argentino	23	6	17	26%	79.9	87.1	-7.3
20	Atenas	19	3	16	16%	77.7	84.3	-6.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	25	24	22	24	95
Libertad	25	7	23	33	88

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Libertad Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature