Libertad vs Olimpico Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Jan 2014

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 91-77

26-25 19-18 20-22 26-12

Position#6

Record12-13

FormWLWLL

Points / game77.2

Allowed / game76.4

Libertad 🏆

Olimpico

Position#13

Record12-13

FormWWWWW

Points / game76.0

Allowed / game76.3

Liga ARound 12

Other2013-14

Meetings · Libertad v Olimpico

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Olimpico winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lanus

#15

81-65

+16

H07/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

69-61

H09/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

69-81

-12

A14/12

Liga A

Regatas

76-86

-10

A16/12

Liga A

Penarol

77-82

-5

A20/12

Super 4

Argentino

82-77

H09/01

Liga A

Penarol

88-92

-4

H11/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

86-67

+19

H14/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

85-97

-12

H16/01

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

82-95

-13

A21/01

Liga A

27-14

13-13

22-23

19-15

22-15

11-16

19-18

17-12

8-16

19-27

22-15

20-23

8-24

16-18

23-22

29-22

14-18

22-23

20-23

21-18

23-11

26-19

14-23

19-24

20-17

13-24

23-21

32-30

23-18

19-16

17-19

27-14

33-25

19-18

21-21

12-33

29-25

11-21

20-26

22-23

159.8Avg total

79.5Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	77.2	76.4	153.5	+0.8	48%
Season at home (13)	82.2	72.7	154.8	+9.5	85%
Season away (12)	71.8	80.3	152.1	-8.6	8%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	80.3	159.8	-0.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	85.6	170.2	-1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	77.8	77.4	155.2	+0.4	40%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	77.3	77.1	154.4	+0.2	50%
vs Weaker (4)	76.5	71.8	148.2	+4.8	50%

This opponent (Olimpico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpico

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

84-89

-5

A30/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

75-58

+17

H07/12

Liga A

Lanus

#15

84-65

+19

H09/12

Liga A

Regatas

76-99

-23

A14/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

84-81

A16/12

Liga A

Penarol

100-93

100

H09/01

Liga A

Argentino

61-59

H11/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

74-64

+10

H14/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

68-54

+14

H17/01

Liga A

Libertad

95-82

+13

H21/01

Liga A

19-29

20-14

17-25

28-21

15-18

21-20

20-9

19-11

19-12

20-15

32-20

13-18

19-18

12-24

17-32

28-25

22-19

16-23

23-17

23-22

24-25

21-16

34-16

21-36

14-13

16-12

12-24

19-10

25-11

15-17

19-19

15-17

20-10

18-13

14-18

16-13

25-29

21-11

26-20

23-22

154.5Avg total

80.1Scored

74.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	76.0	76.3	152.3	-0.3	48%
Season at home (14)	76.5	71.6	148.1	+4.9	64%
Season away (11)	75.4	82.3	157.6	-6.9	27%
Last 10 (10)	80.1	74.4	154.5	+5.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	70.4	150.0	+9.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	78.0	84.6	162.6	-6.6	40%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	73.3	73.0	146.2	+0.3	52%
vs Weaker (4)	80.8	78.2	159.0	+2.5	50%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadOlimpico

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.1	37.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	16.2	39.0	+6.6	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.8	20.1	36.9	-3.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.3	39.0	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	19.2	44.8	+6.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.4	19.0	36.4	-1.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.5	37.1	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.5	17.6	37.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.3	19.8	37.1	-2.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.6	39.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	18.4	18.5	36.9	-0.1	48%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	16.0	35.8	+3.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.7	18.4	35.1	-1.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.3	15.7	32.1	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	21.1	38.1	-4.1	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	19.5	36.4	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.6	37.2	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	14.8	17.6	32.4	-2.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	17.2	18.4	35.5	-1.2	30%	-
vs Weaker (4)	15.0	18.8	33.8	-3.8	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	17.1	34.8	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.2	16.6	35.8	+2.6	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	15.7	17.8	33.4	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	16.5	34.5	+1.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	13.8	32.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.2	17.2	35.4	+1.0	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	18.0	16.4	34.3	+1.6	48%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.2	20.5	36.8	-4.2	25%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lanus

#15

40-27

+13

H07/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

33-31

H09/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

27-43

-16

A14/12

Liga A

Regatas

24-42

-18

A16/12

Liga A

Penarol

36-41

-5

A20/12

Super 4

Argentino

49-30

+19

H09/01

Liga A

Penarol

33-41

-8

H11/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

42-34

H14/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

52-43

H16/01

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

40-46

-6

A21/01

Liga A

75.4Avg total

37.6Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	36.6	73.0	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	31.9	71.1	+7.2	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.8	41.2	75.0	-7.4	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	37.8	75.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	38.8	82.0	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	32.2	36.6	68.8	-4.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	37.9	36.7	74.6	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	35.0	34.8	69.8	+0.2	50%	-

This opponent (Olimpico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OlimpicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

39-43

-4

A30/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

36-38

-2

H07/12

Liga A

Lanus

#15

39-27

+12

H09/12

Liga A

Regatas

31-42

-11

A14/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

38-42

-4

A16/12

Liga A

Penarol

45-41

H09/01

Liga A

Argentino

30-25

H11/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

40-28

+12

H14/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

38-23

+15

H17/01

Liga A

Libertad

46-40

H21/01

Liga A

73.1Avg total

38.2Scored

34.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	35.5	71.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	38.7	34.2	72.9	+4.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	33.0	37.5	70.5	-4.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	34.9	73.1	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	31.4	71.2	+8.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.0	37.6	74.6	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	36.3	34.9	71.2	+1.5	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	36.0	36.5	72.5	-0.5	25%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	18.9	39.4	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	19.6	39.3	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.1	41.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.9	19.4	39.2	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	18.2	38.8	+2.2	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.3	39.8	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.8	18.2	38.1	+1.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.9	23.4	42.3	-4.5	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.4	24.6	47.0	-2.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	18.0	19.5	37.4	-1.5	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.8	19.2	43.0	+4.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	20.9	42.6	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	20.7	40.5	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.4	43.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	24.8	47.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.8	22.2	47.0	+2.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	35%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.9	20.4	40.3	-0.6	45%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.6	19.6	37.2	-2.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (12)	23.1	21.6	44.7	+1.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.6	22.4	41.0	-3.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	22.5	43.5	-1.5	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	40.0	80.9	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.2	39.8	82.0	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	40.3	79.7	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	42.5	84.4	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	46.8	88.2	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	45.6	40.8	86.4	+4.8	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	39.5	40.4	79.9	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.5	37.0	78.5	+4.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.6	41.1	80.7	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.8	38.4	76.2	-0.5	41%	-
Last 30 away (12)	42.0	45.0	87.0	-3.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	39.5	81.4	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	39.0	78.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	41.0	47.0	88.0	-6.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	38.1	39.5	77.7	-1.4	35%	-
vs Weaker (4)	44.8	41.8	86.5	+3.0	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Olimpico wins

Date	Game	Score
21/01/14	Olimpico v Libertad	95-82
11/11/13	Libertad v Olimpico	81-64
09/11/13	Olimpico v Libertad	76-57
16/02/13	Olimpico v Libertad	74-67
01/12/12	Libertad v Olimpico	79-74
20/10/12	Olimpico v Libertad	75-69
15/09/12	Libertad v Olimpico	86-64
12/03/12	Olimpico v Libertad	67-69
14/01/12	Libertad v Olimpico	85-75
08/11/11	Olimpico v Libertad	60-90

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/01/14	A	Olimpico	82-95
16/01/14	H	Obras Sanitarias	85-97
14/01/14	H	Boca Juniors	86-67
11/01/14	H	Penarol	88-92
09/01/14	H	Argentino	82-77
20/12/13	A	Penarol	77-82
16/12/13	A	Regatas	76-86
14/12/13	A	La Union	69-81
09/12/13	H	Gimnasia	69-61
07/12/13	H	Lanus	81-65

Olimpicolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/01/14	H	Libertad	95-82
17/01/14	H	Boca Juniors	68-54
14/01/14	H	Obras Sanitarias	74-64
11/01/14	H	Argentino	61-59
09/01/14	H	Penarol	100-93
16/12/13	A	La Union	84-81
14/12/13	A	Regatas	76-99
09/12/13	H	Lanus	84-65
07/12/13	H	Gimnasia	75-58
30/11/13	A	Atenas	84-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	48%
Home	WWLWL	85%
Away	LLLLL	8%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	48%	85%	8%
Points / game	77.2	82.2	71.8
Allowed / game	76.4	72.7	80.3
Point differential	+0.8	+9.5	-8.6
Avg total	153.5	154.8	152.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	54%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	67% (3)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Olimpico

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	48%
Home	WWWWW	64%
Away	LWLLW	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	14	11
Win %	48%	64%	27%
Points / game	76.0	76.5	75.4
Allowed / game	76.3	71.6	82.3
Point differential	-0.3	+4.9	-6.9
Avg total	152.3	148.1	157.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	100% (1)	33% (6)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	25	22	3	88%	84.9	72.8	+12.1
2	Penarol	25	19	6	76%	83.0	75.7	+7.3
3	Gimnasia	25	17	8	68%	76.2	73.2	+3.0
4	Quilmes	25	16	9	64%	79.5	80.4	-0.9
5	Atenas	25	14	11	56%	77.3	77.8	-0.5
6	Boca Juniors	25	13	12	52%	74.0	71.2	+2.8
7	Obras Sanitarias	25	13	12	52%	72.7	72.9	-0.2
8	Libertad	25	12	13	48%	77.2	76.4	+0.8
9	Olimpico	25	12	13	48%	76.0	76.3	-0.3
10	Quimsa	26	12	14	46%	76.9	78.3	-1.4
11	Sionista	25	11	14	44%	73.6	73.0	+0.6
12	Estudiantes	24	10	14	42%	73.2	74.3	-1.1
13	Argentino	25	9	16	36%	71.6	77.0	-5.4
14	Weber Bahia	25	8	17	32%	74.5	77.7	-3.2
15	La Union	25	7	18	28%	73.9	81.6	-7.7
16	Lanus	25	5	20	20%	69.6	75.4	-5.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	26	19	20	26	91
Olimpico	25	18	22	12	77

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Olimpico Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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