Libertad vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2014

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 88-92

20-17 13-24 23-21 32-30

Position#6

Record11-10

FormWLLLW

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game74.2

Libertad

Penarol 🏆

Position#2

Record15-6

FormWWWWL

Points / game81.3

Allowed / game75.0

Liga ARound 8

Other2013-14

Meetings · Libertad v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sionista

#12

83-66

+17

H21/11

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

83-81

H25/11

Liga A

Quimsa

74-82

-8

A30/11

Liga A

Atenas

73-88

-15

A02/12

Liga A

Lanus

#15

81-65

+16

H07/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

69-61

H09/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

69-81

-12

A14/12

Liga A

Regatas

76-86

-10

A16/12

Liga A

Penarol

77-82

-5

A20/12

Super 4

Argentino

82-77

H09/01

Liga A

22-15

15-12

21-10

25-29

25-21

14-17

18-24

26-19

18-20

16-20

14-22

26-20

15-23

13-24

26-22

19-19

27-14

13-13

22-23

19-15

22-15

11-16

19-18

17-12

8-16

19-27

22-15

20-23

8-24

16-18

23-22

29-22

14-18

22-23

20-23

21-18

23-11

26-19

14-23

19-24

153.6Avg total

76.7Scored

76.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	75.6	74.2	149.8	+1.4	52%
Season at home (10)	80.9	68.9	149.8	+12.0	100%
Season away (11)	70.8	79.0	149.8	-8.2	9%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	76.9	153.6	-0.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	77.4	152.0	-2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	74.2	81.5	155.8	-7.2	25%
vs Similar (21)	75.0	74.2	149.2	+0.9	52%
vs Weaker (4)	76.5	71.8	148.2	+4.8	50%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

77-73

A30/11

Liga A

Lanus

#15

98-79

+19

A02/12

Liga A

Regatas

90-86

H07/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

88-62

+26

H09/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

89-75

+14

H13/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

78-71

H16/12

Liga A

Libertad

82-77

H20/12

Super 4

Regatas

96-89

A21/12

Super 4

Quimsa

82-76

A21/12

Super 4

Olimpico

#13

93-100

100

-7

A09/01

Liga A

20-17

16-24

22-18

19-14

26-18

20-17

25-19

27-25

23-24

18-19

31-18

18-25

20-15

25-14

22-12

21-21

21-15

26-14

21-22

21-24

23-17

19-17

17-22

19-15

18-14

23-22

23-20

18-21

32-16

29-18

15-23

20-32

20-20

27-19

18-11

17-26

25-24

16-21

16-34

36-21

166.1Avg total

87.3Scored

78.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	81.3	75.0	156.4	+6.3	71%
Season at home (11)	82.8	70.3	153.1	+12.5	91%
Season away (10)	79.7	80.3	160.0	-0.6	50%
Last 10 (10)	87.3	78.8	166.1	+8.5	90%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	82.6	168.8	+3.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	61.0	88.0	149.0	-27.0	0%
vs Similar (9)	83.3	80.8	164.1	+2.6	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	81.8	74.0	155.8	+7.8	74%

This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.0	36.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.2	15.2	37.4	+6.9	92%	-
Last 30 away (18)	16.3	19.8	36.2	-3.5	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	17.7	35.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	16.8	31.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	15.5	21.8	37.2	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar (21)	19.2	17.7	36.9	+1.6	52%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.2	38.7	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	17.7	37.1	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.7	40.2	-1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	18.0	40.8	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	18.2	41.8	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	24.0	37.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.1	19.1	38.2	+0.0	63%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	18.0	34.8	-1.2	23%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	16.2	14.8	31.0	+1.3	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	17.3	20.1	37.4	-2.8	11%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	18.9	35.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	15.0	17.5	32.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (21)	17.3	17.7	35.0	-0.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (4)	15.0	18.8	33.8	-3.8	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	17.4	38.2	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	14.9	36.3	+6.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	18.5	40.4	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.0	17.2	39.2	+4.8	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.3	17.1	37.3	+3.2	63%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sionista

#12

37-27

+10

H21/11

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

39-38

H25/11

Liga A

Quimsa

34-40

-6

A30/11

Liga A

Atenas

28-47

-19

A02/12

Liga A

Lanus

#15

40-27

+13

H07/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

33-31

H09/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

27-43

-16

A14/12

Liga A

Regatas

24-42

-18

A16/12

Liga A

Penarol

36-41

-5

A20/12

Super 4

Argentino

49-30

+19

H09/01

Liga A

71.3Avg total

34.7Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	36.0	71.5	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.3	30.1	68.4	+8.3	92%	-
Last 30 away (18)	33.6	39.9	73.6	-6.3	11%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.7	36.6	71.3	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	37.4	71.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	30.5	39.2	69.8	-8.8	25%	-
vs Similar (21)	36.5	35.4	71.9	+1.1	48%	-
vs Weaker (4)	35.0	34.8	69.8	+0.2	50%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

36-41

-5

A30/11

Liga A

Lanus

#15

46-35

+11

A02/12

Liga A

Regatas

41-43

-2

H07/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

45-29

+16

H09/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

47-29

+18

H13/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

42-34

H16/12

Liga A

Libertad

41-36

H20/12

Super 4

Regatas

61-34

+27

A21/12

Super 4

Quimsa

47-39

A21/12

Super 4

Olimpico

#13

41-45

-4

A09/01

Liga A

81.2Avg total

44.7Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	36.6	76.9	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	32.6	73.4	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	40.7	80.3	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	36.5	81.2	+8.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	37.6	84.0	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	31.0	45.0	76.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	43.0	36.8	79.8	+6.2	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	39.4	36.2	75.5	+3.2	53%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.6	18.5	39.1	+2.1	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	21.5	17.8	39.2	+3.8	100%	-
vs Similar (21)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.8	52%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	18.2	38.8	+2.2	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	18.2	39.7	+3.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	19.8	39.7	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	22.0	39.8	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	24.0	37.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.3	18.2	39.4	+3.1	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.3	39.9	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.2	19.8	40.9	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.1	42.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	22.2	24.5	46.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar (21)	18.8	19.9	38.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.0	41.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.2	21.9	44.1	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	22.4	44.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.3	23.9	44.2	-3.6	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	63%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	39.1	78.8	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	41.8	38.2	80.0	+3.5	83%	-
Last 30 away (18)	38.3	39.7	78.0	-1.3	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	40.3	82.3	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	40.0	80.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	43.8	42.2	86.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (21)	38.5	38.8	77.3	-0.3	52%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.5	37.0	78.5	+4.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	40.0	81.3	+1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	38.2	78.9	+2.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.1	41.7	83.8	+0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	42.3	84.9	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	45.0	84.8	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	43.0	73.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.3	44.0	84.3	-3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	42.5	37.8	80.3	+4.6	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
20/12/13	Penarol v Libertad	82-77
06/02/13	Penarol v Libertad	87-71
28/01/13	Libertad v Penarol	65-76
21/11/12	Libertad v Penarol	80-78
05/05/12	Libertad v Penarol	85-88
03/05/12	Libertad v Penarol	76-90
28/04/12	Penarol v Libertad	85-59
26/04/12	Penarol v Libertad	83-86
18/02/12	Libertad v Penarol	80-75
10/12/11	Penarol v Libertad	82-73

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/01/14	H	Argentino	82-77
20/12/13	A	Penarol	77-82
16/12/13	A	Regatas	76-86
14/12/13	A	La Union	69-81
09/12/13	H	Gimnasia	69-61
07/12/13	H	Lanus	81-65
02/12/13	A	Atenas	73-88
30/11/13	A	Quimsa	74-82
25/11/13	H	Estudiantes	83-81
21/11/13	H	Sionista	83-66

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/01/14	A	Olimpico	93-100
21/12/13	A	Quimsa	82-76
21/12/13	A	Regatas	96-89
20/12/13	H	Libertad	82-77
16/12/13	H	Boca Juniors	78-71
13/12/13	H	Obras Sanitarias	89-75
09/12/13	H	La Union	88-62
07/12/13	H	Regatas	90-86
02/12/13	A	Lanus	98-79
30/11/13	A	Gimnasia	77-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	52%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLLLL	9%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	52%	100%	9%
Points / game	75.6	80.9	70.8
Allowed / game	74.2	68.9	79.0
Point differential	+1.4	+12.0	-8.2
Avg total	149.8	149.8	149.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	60%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	100% (2)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Penarol

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	71%
Home	WWWWW	91%
Away	WWWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	71%	91%	50%
Points / game	81.3	82.8	79.7
Allowed / game	75.0	70.3	80.3
Point differential	+6.3	+12.5	-0.6
Avg total	156.4	153.1	160.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	55%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	67% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	21	18	3	86%	83.6	72.8	+10.8
2	Penarol	21	15	6	71%	81.3	75.0	+6.3
3	Gimnasia	21	14	7	67%	73.7	71.5	+2.1
4	Atenas	21	13	8	62%	76.9	76.5	+0.4
5	Quilmes	21	13	8	62%	76.7	77.0	-0.3
6	Boca Juniors	22	12	10	55%	76.0	71.5	+4.6
7	Obras Sanitarias	22	12	10	55%	72.8	73.0	-0.2
8	Sionista	21	11	10	52%	73.0	71.2	+1.8
9	Libertad	21	11	10	52%	75.6	74.2	+1.4
10	Quimsa	22	10	12	45%	77.6	79.5	-1.9
11	Olimpico	21	8	13	38%	76.3	78.5	-2.2
12	Argentino	21	8	13	38%	71.5	76.7	-5.2
13	Estudiantes	20	7	13	35%	73.2	75.3	-2.1
14	La Union	21	7	14	33%	73.5	79.0	-5.5
15	Weber Bahia	21	6	15	29%	72.7	77.3	-4.7
16	Lanus	21	4	17	19%	69.2	74.8	-5.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	20	13	23	32	88
Penarol	17	24	21	30	92

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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