Libertad vs Quilmes Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 05 Dec 2011

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 99-80

25-26 37-15 24-14 13-25

Position#3

Record11-6

FormWWWLW

Points / game77.8

Allowed / game73.1

Libertad 🏆

Quilmes

Position#16

Record3-14

FormLLLWL

Points / game74.0

Allowed / game83.3

Liga ARound 4

Other2011-12

Meetings · Libertad v Quilmes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Quilmes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#10

78-75

A15/10

Liga A

Quimsa

79-59

+20

H20/10

Liga A

Quimsa

71-78

-7

A22/10

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

90-60

+30

A08/11

Liga A

Atenas

#11

84-79

A10/11

Liga A

San Martin

#15

87-62

+25

H12/11

Liga A

Sionista

87-79

H14/11

Liga A

La Union

#10

80-68

+12

A19/11

Liga A

Regatas

77-80 OT

-3

A21/11

Liga A

Lanus

86-52

+34

H02/12

Liga A

18-20

15-22

21-15

24-18

17-19

17-15

21-16

24-9

20-15

16-25

23-17

12-21

18-24

26-13

27-10

19-13

27-17

16-26

22-17

19-19

20-13

20-22

25-13

22-14

15-19

25-21

22-9

25-30

24-12

17-13

22-27

17-16

21-16

15-18

21-16

14-21

16-19

17-11

28-11

25-11

151.1Avg total

81.9Scored

69.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	77.8	73.1	150.8	+4.7	65%
Season at home (8)	79.6	69.4	149.0	+10.2	75%
Season away (9)	76.1	76.3	152.4	-0.2	56%
Last 10 (10)	81.9	69.2	151.1	+12.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	68.2	151.6	+15.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	84.3	92.0	176.3	-7.7	0%
vs Similar (17)	73.6	73.5	147.1	+0.1	59%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	83.4	70.9	154.3	+12.5	80%

This opponent (Quilmes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Quilmes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

59-64

-5

A16/10

Liga A

Lanus

89-100

100

-11

A20/10

Liga A

Lanus

61-81

-20

H22/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

68-76

-8

H04/11

Liga A

Penarol

72-87

-15

H07/11

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

84-95

-11

A12/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

71-114

114

-43

A14/11

Liga A

Sionista

77-81

-4

H19/11

Liga A

San Martin

#15

86-76

+10

H21/11

Liga A

Quimsa

75-89

-14

A03/12

Liga A

25-15

9-16

13-17

12-16

21-25

19-31

24-22

25-22

14-20

8-20

24-18

15-23

15-13

20-14

17-25

16-24

9-22

14-15

20-19

29-31

23-22

18-23

17-27

26-23

17-29

22-31

16-31

16-23

21-25

15-17

19-20

22-19

18-26

27-17

18-11

23-22

21-22

17-26

18-16

19-25

160.5Avg total

74.2Scored

86.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	74.0	83.3	157.3	-9.3	18%
Season at home (9)	74.8	79.7	154.4	-4.9	33%
Season away (8)	73.1	87.4	160.5	-14.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	74.2	86.3	160.5	-12.1	10%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	91.0	169.6	-12.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	70.4	85.8	156.2	-15.3	0%
vs Similar (5)	82.6	77.4	160.0	+5.2	60%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadQuilmes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (9)	20.2	18.3	38.6	+1.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	17.4	37.0	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	15.8	35.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	20.5	18.9	39.5	+1.6	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	19.3	20.0	39.3	-0.7	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	18.3	21.0	39.3	-2.7	38%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	17.2	20.2	37.4	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (7)	19.7	22.0	41.7	-2.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	21.9	40.3	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	24.8	44.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.8	22.5	39.3	-5.6	18%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.6	17.8	39.4	+3.8	80%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	18.5	18.9	37.4	-0.4	41%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	19.9	17.6	37.5	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (9)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.6	37.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.0	35.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	17.2	18.8	36.0	-1.6	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.0	31%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	18.4	17.1	35.6	+1.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (7)	17.9	24.1	42.0	-6.3	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	21.0	37.9	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.8	42.6	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.5	21.1	37.5	-4.6	18%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.0	18.2	40.2	+3.8	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#10

33-42

-9

A15/10

Liga A

Quimsa

34-34

H20/10

Liga A

Quimsa

36-40

-4

A22/10

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

44-37

A08/11

Liga A

Atenas

#11

43-43

A10/11

Liga A

San Martin

#15

40-35

H12/11

Liga A

Sionista

40-40

H14/11

Liga A

La Union

#10

41-25

+16

A19/11

Liga A

Regatas

36-34

A21/11

Liga A

Lanus

33-30

H02/12

Liga A

74.0Avg total

38.0Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	38.6	38.2	76.8	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	39.9	38.0	77.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (9)	37.4	38.3	75.8	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	36.0	74.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	32.8	70.8	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	37.7	37.7	75.5	+0.0	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	40.2	39.0	79.2	+1.2	50%	-

This opponent (Quilmes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

34-31

A16/10

Liga A

Lanus

40-56

-16

A20/10

Liga A

Lanus

22-40

-18

H22/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

35-27

H04/11

Liga A

Penarol

23-37

-14

H07/11

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

41-45

-4

A12/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

39-60

-21

A14/11

Liga A

Sionista

36-42

-6

H19/11

Liga A

San Martin

#15

45-43

H21/11

Liga A

Quimsa

38-48

-10

A03/12

Liga A

78.2Avg total

35.3Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	36.5	41.2	77.7	-4.7	38%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	35.7	37.3	73.0	-1.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (7)	37.6	46.1	83.7	-8.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.3	42.9	78.2	-7.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	47.6	87.4	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	33.3	43.5	76.8	-10.3	18%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.6	36.0	79.6	+7.6	80%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	19.5	15.8	35.3	+3.8	65%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	19.8	14.8	34.5	+5.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (9)	19.3	16.7	36.0	+2.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	15.1	38.3	+8.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	15.2	38.8	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	19.4	16.7	36.1	+2.6	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	19.8	14.0	33.8	+5.8	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	17.6	20.2	37.8	-2.6	38%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (7)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.6	20.8	38.5	-3.2	36%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	20.0	16.6	36.6	+3.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	17.2	37.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	17.9	18.1	36.0	-0.2	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	21.8	19.5	41.3	+2.3	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	20.6	22.5	43.1	-1.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	20.3	23.6	43.9	-3.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (7)	20.9	21.1	42.0	-0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	22.8	43.1	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.4	43.6	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	20.1	22.5	42.5	-2.4	36%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.6	22.6	44.2	-1.0	80%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	38.8	34.4	73.2	+4.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	39.8	31.4	71.1	+8.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (9)	38.0	37.0	75.0	+1.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	32.3	75.6	+11.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	33.6	77.8	+10.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	37.3	34.8	72.1	+2.5	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	41.7	33.5	75.2	+8.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	38.1	42.7	80.8	-4.6	25%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	39.1	42.3	81.4	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (7)	36.9	43.1	80.0	-6.3	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	43.4	82.3	-4.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	43.4	82.2	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	37.7	43.3	81.0	-5.5	27%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.0	41.4	80.4	-2.4	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Quilmes wins

No previous meetings.

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/12/11	H	Lanus	86-52
21/11/11	A	Regatas	77-80 OT
19/11/11	A	La Union	80-68
14/11/11	H	Sionista	87-79
12/11/11	H	San Martin	87-62
10/11/11	A	Atenas	84-79
08/11/11	A	Olimpico	90-60
22/10/11	A	Quimsa	71-78
20/10/11	H	Quimsa	79-59
15/10/11	A	La Union	78-75

Quilmeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/12/11	A	Quimsa	75-89
21/11/11	H	San Martin	86-76
19/11/11	H	Sionista	77-81
14/11/11	A	Obras Sanitarias	71-114
12/11/11	A	de Julio de Morteros	84-95
07/11/11	H	Penarol	72-87
04/11/11	H	Weber Bahia	68-76
22/10/11	H	Lanus	61-81
20/10/11	A	Lanus	89-100
16/10/11	A	Gimnasia	59-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2011-12

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	65%
Home	LWWWW	75%
Away	LWWWL	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	65%	75%	56%
Points / game	77.8	79.6	76.1
Allowed / game	73.1	69.4	76.3
Point differential	+4.7	+10.2	-0.2
Avg total	150.8	149.0	152.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	50%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (1)	75% (4)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

Quilmes

Liga A 2011-12

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	18%
Home	LLLLW	33%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	18%	33%	0%
Points / game	74.0	74.8	73.1
Allowed / game	83.3	79.7	87.4
Point differential	-9.3	-4.9	-14.2
Avg total	157.3	154.4	160.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Obras Sanitarias	18	15	3	83%	85.0	74.4	+10.6
2	Regatas	17	12	5	71%	82.3	76.9	+5.4
3	Weber Bahia	17	12	5	71%	78.6	73.9	+4.7
4	Libertad	17	11	6	65%	77.8	73.1	+4.7
5	Quimsa	17	11	6	65%	78.3	73.7	+4.6
6	Penarol	17	11	6	65%	82.6	78.6	+3.9
7	Sionista	18	11	7	61%	84.8	82.3	+2.5
8	Lanus	17	8	9	47%	74.4	72.3	+2.1
9	Boca Juniors	17	8	9	47%	74.4	79.5	-5.1
10	La Union	18	8	10	44%	77.9	79.4	-1.4
11	Gimnasia	18	7	11	39%	78.4	78.9	-0.6
12	Olimpico	16	6	10	38%	78.2	81.6	-3.3
13	San Martin	17	5	12	29%	72.6	79.9	-7.2
14	de Julio de Morteros	17	5	12	29%	71.1	79.1	-8.0
15	Atenas	18	5	13	28%	77.7	81.8	-4.1
16	Quilmes	17	3	14	18%	74.0	83.3	-9.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	25	37	24	13	99
Quilmes	26	15	14	25	80

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Quilmes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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