Libertad vs Quilmes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2014

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 91-90

27-24 23-19 26-20 15-27

Position#6

Record15-13

FormLLWWW

Points / game77.8

Allowed / game76.2

Libertad 🏆

Quilmes

Position#8

Record17-11

FormLWLWL

Points / game79.4

Allowed / game80.2

Liga ARound 15

Other2013-14

Meetings · Libertad v Quilmes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Quilmes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

76-86

-10

A16/12

Liga A

Penarol

77-82

-5

A20/12

Super 4

Argentino

82-77

H09/01

Liga A

Penarol

88-92

-4

H11/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

86-67

+19

H14/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

85-97

-12

H16/01

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

82-95

-13

A21/01

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

91-77

+14

H23/01

Liga A

Sionista

#12

86-85

A27/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

73-64

A29/01

Liga A

8-24

16-18

23-22

29-22

14-18

22-23

20-23

21-18

23-11

26-19

14-23

19-24

20-17

13-24

23-21

32-30

23-18

19-16

17-19

27-14

33-25

19-18

21-21

12-33

29-25

11-21

20-26

22-23

26-25

19-18

20-22

26-12

19-17

16-17

27-22

24-29

24-17

11-22

18-12

20-13

164.8Avg total

82.6Scored

82.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	77.8	76.2	154.1	+1.6	54%
Season at home (14)	82.8	73.0	155.8	+9.8	86%
Season away (14)	72.9	79.5	152.4	-6.6	21%
Last 10 (10)	82.6	82.2	164.8	+0.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	83.6	167.0	-0.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	77.8	77.4	155.2	+0.4	40%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	78.2	77.6	155.8	+0.7	55%
vs Weaker (4)	76.5	71.8	148.2	+4.8	50%

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Quilmes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

92-89

A16/12

Liga A

Atenas

74-91

-17

A19/12

Super 4

Lanus

#15

82-72

+10

H09/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

106-102 OT

106

102

H11/01

Liga A

La Union

#16

104-103 OT

104

103

A14/01

Liga A

Regatas

68-96

-28

A16/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

99-93 OT

A21/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

77-81

-4

H24/01

Liga A

Argentino

76-71

H27/01

Liga A

Penarol

82-85

-3

H30/01

Liga A

19-23

28-15

17-24

28-27

21-19

19-26

18-27

16-19

9-23

23-9

24-20

26-20

9-18

23-19

30-24

16-17

29-19

20-24

18-30

27-21

21-28

18-21

16-22

13-25

20-17

20-16

19-25

22-23

15-30

26-11

20-14

16-26

22-17

13-15

19-23

22-16

20-20

21-12

20-29

21-24

174.3Avg total

86.0Scored

88.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	79.4	80.2	159.6	-0.9	61%
Season at home (14)	80.4	76.4	156.9	+4.0	71%
Season away (14)	78.3	84.1	162.4	-5.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	86.0	88.3	174.3	-2.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	85.2	165.6	-4.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	78.7	83.2	161.9	-4.5	40%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	78.3	79.5	157.7	-1.2	60%
vs Weaker (4)	83.8	76.2	160.0	+7.5	100%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadQuilmes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.0	38.3	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.8	16.4	40.2	+7.4	100%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	19.7	41.6	+2.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	21.8	48.0	+4.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.4	19.0	36.4	-1.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.4	18.2	39.5	+3.2	70%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.5	37.3	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.4	39.9	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.4	42.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.4	20.7	39.1	-2.3	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.9	18.9	37.8	-0.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.5	18.0	36.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.3	18.9	35.2	-2.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.1	16.4	32.5	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.4	21.1	37.5	-4.6	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	19.6	36.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	19.2	34.4	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	14.8	17.6	32.4	-2.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	16.6	19.0	35.6	-2.4	30%	-
vs Weaker (4)	15.0	18.8	33.8	-3.8	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	17.4	35.7	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	16.1	34.3	+2.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	18.7	37.1	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	16.8	37.9	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	15.0	34.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.7	18.5	36.2	-0.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.1	17.3	35.4	+0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	13.0	33.0	+7.0	75%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

24-42

-18

A16/12

Liga A

Penarol

36-41

-5

A20/12

Super 4

Argentino

49-30

+19

H09/01

Liga A

Penarol

33-41

-8

H11/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

42-34

H14/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

52-43

H16/01

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

40-46

-6

A21/01

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

45-43

H23/01

Liga A

Sionista

#12

35-34

A27/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

35-39

-4

A29/01

Liga A

78.4Avg total

39.1Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	36.9	73.5	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	32.8	72.7	+7.1	93%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.6	40.5	74.1	-6.9	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	39.3	78.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	41.0	82.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	32.2	36.6	68.8	-4.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	38.0	37.2	75.2	+0.8	55%	-
vs Weaker (4)	35.0	34.8	69.8	+0.2	50%	-

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

47-38

A16/12

Liga A

Atenas

40-45

-5

A19/12

Super 4

Lanus

#15

32-32

H09/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

32-37

-5

H11/01

Liga A

La Union

#16

49-43

A14/01

Liga A

Regatas

39-49

-10

A16/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

40-33

A21/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

41-41

H24/01

Liga A

Argentino

35-32

H27/01

Liga A

Penarol

41-32

H30/01

Liga A

77.8Avg total

39.6Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	36.8	73.8	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.9	34.7	71.5	+2.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	39.0	76.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	38.2	77.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	37.4	76.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	36.1	39.2	75.3	-3.1	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	36.9	36.3	73.2	+0.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.5	31.0	69.5	+7.5	75%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	18.9	39.1	+1.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.1	41.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.1	19.4	39.5	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	18.2	38.8	+2.2	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	19.1	39.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	21.9	38.9	-4.8	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	23.8	43.9	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.6	41.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.1	20.7	39.8	-1.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.1	18.9	37.0	-0.9	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.0	24.2	43.2	-5.2	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.8	41.9	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	20.7	43.1	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	21.8	45.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.8	22.2	47.0	+2.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.1	21.1	41.2	-0.9	35%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.2	42.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	20.9	41.6	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	21.5	42.7	-0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.8	42.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.8	41.6	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.2	22.7	43.9	-1.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.8	18.8	42.5	+5.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	40.0	81.4	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.9	40.2	83.1	+2.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.0	39.9	79.9	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	42.9	86.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	42.6	84.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	45.6	40.8	86.4	+4.8	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	40.2	40.4	80.7	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.5	37.0	78.5	+4.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	41.7	81.2	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	40.1	80.7	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.2	43.4	81.6	-5.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	45.6	86.4	-4.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	45.4	83.0	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.9	40.9	79.8	-2.0	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	39.3	41.7	80.9	-2.4	27%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.8	43.0	85.8	-0.2	25%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Quilmes wins

Date	Game	Score
13/02/12	Quilmes v Libertad	66-73
05/12/11	Libertad v Quilmes	99-80

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/01/14	A	Estudiantes	73-64
27/01/14	A	Sionista	86-85
23/01/14	H	Olimpico	91-77
21/01/14	A	Olimpico	82-95
16/01/14	H	Obras Sanitarias	85-97
14/01/14	H	Boca Juniors	86-67
11/01/14	H	Penarol	88-92
09/01/14	H	Argentino	82-77
20/12/13	A	Penarol	77-82
16/12/13	A	Regatas	76-86

Quilmeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/01/14	H	Penarol	82-85
27/01/14	H	Argentino	76-71
24/01/14	H	Weber Bahia	77-81
21/01/14	A	Weber Bahia	99-93 OT
16/01/14	A	Regatas	68-96
14/01/14	A	La Union	104-103 OT
11/01/14	H	Gimnasia	106-102 OT
09/01/14	H	Lanus	82-72
19/12/13	A	Atenas	74-91
16/12/13	A	Atenas	92-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	54%
Home	WLWLW	86%
Away	LLLWW	21%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	54%	86%	21%
Points / game	77.8	82.8	72.9
Allowed / game	76.2	73.0	79.5
Point differential	+1.6	+9.8	-6.6
Avg total	154.1	155.8	152.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	57%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	67% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Quilmes

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	61%
Home	WWLWL	71%
Away	LWWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	61%	71%	50%
Points / game	79.4	80.4	78.3
Allowed / game	80.2	76.4	84.1
Point differential	-0.9	+4.0	-5.8
Avg total	159.6	156.9	162.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	29%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	69% (16)	62% (8)	75% (8)
Overtime %	18%	14%	21%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	28	25	3	89%	85.0	73.2	+11.8
2	Penarol	29	22	7	76%	83.1	76.6	+6.5
3	Gimnasia	28	17	11	61%	75.4	73.8	+1.6
4	Quilmes	28	17	11	61%	79.4	80.2	-0.9
5	Boca Juniors	29	17	12	59%	74.6	70.6	+4.0
6	Atenas	28	16	12	57%	78.5	78.4	+0.1
7	Libertad	28	15	13	54%	77.8	76.2	+1.6
8	Obras Sanitarias	28	15	13	54%	73.4	73.2	+0.1
9	Quimsa	28	13	15	46%	77.4	78.9	-1.5
10	Sionista	29	13	16	45%	74.2	73.9	+0.3
11	Olimpico	28	12	16	43%	75.9	77.7	-1.8
12	Estudiantes	28	11	17	39%	72.9	74.0	-1.1
13	Argentino	28	10	18	36%	71.9	76.7	-4.8
14	Weber Bahia	28	9	19	32%	74.7	78.0	-3.3
15	La Union	28	7	21	25%	74.2	82.1	-7.9
16	Lanus	27	6	21	22%	70.3	75.6	-5.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	27	23	26	15	91
Quilmes	24	19	20	27	90

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Quilmes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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