Libertad vs Quilmes Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Apr 2016

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 104-87

32-20 22-17 24-29 26-21

Position#6

Record28-24

FormLWWLL

Points / game81.4

Allowed / game80.1

Libertad 🏆

Quilmes

Position#17

Record23-30

FormWLWLW

Points / game81.4

Allowed / game82.7

Liga A

Other2015-16

Meetings · Libertad v Quilmes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Quilmes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

#18

100-83

100

+17

H11/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

68-93

-25

A15/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

101-91

101

+10

A17/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

71-96

-25

A19/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

86-91

-5

H22/03

Liga A

Atenas

#14

82-87 OT

-5

H31/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

84-74

+10

H02/04

Liga A

Quimsa

60-59

H06/04

Liga A

Olimpico

62-98

-36

A14/04

Liga A

Quimsa

56-79

-23

A16/04

Liga A

15-22

26-13

31-27

28-21

19-26

18-26

12-18

19-23

26-19

20-22

24-22

31-28

20-24

16-20

18-27

17-25

18-22

21-18

22-24

25-27

16-14

15-20

21-15

24-27

22-16

22-26

23-19

17-13

20-18

11-11

11-16

18-14

17-33

14-27

14-19

17-19

15-18

18-17

14-20

9-24

162.1Avg total

77.0Scored

85.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (52)	81.4	80.1	161.4	+1.3	54%
Season at home (26)	86.1	74.8	161.0	+11.3	81%
Season away (26)	76.6	85.3	161.9	-8.7	27%
Last 10 (10)	77.0	85.1	162.1	-8.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	68.8	79.4	148.2	-10.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	77.5	87.5	165.0	-10.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (26)	82.3	82.7	165.1	-0.4	50%
vs Weaker (1)	95.0	70.0	165.0	+25.0	100%

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Quilmes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

89-74

+15

H18/03

Liga A

Ferro

#15

84-96

-12

H20/03

Liga A

Ferro

#15

78-80 OT

-2

A25/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

86-94

-8

A26/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

79-87

-8

A29/03

Liga A

Regatas

94-78

+16

H06/04

Liga A

Penarol

96-102 OT

102

-6

A09/04

Liga A

San Martin

#10

112-109

112

109

H10/04

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

84-89

-5

A15/04

Liga A

Sionista

#20

82-80

A17/04

Liga A

24-16

22-20

16-17

27-21

15-23

31-19

16-23

22-31

17-15

6-20

20-13

24-19

14-27

30-16

18-27

24-24

15-23

26-15

15-27

23-22

22-13

27-23

21-20

24-22

18-22

25-29

24-18

21-19

23-26

26-20

25-24

38-39

20-21

9-26

24-23

31-19

16-21

23-21

23-15

20-23

177.3Avg total

88.4Scored

88.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (53)	81.4	82.7	164.1	-1.2	43%
Season at home (26)	85.8	82.4	168.3	+3.4	65%
Season away (27)	77.1	82.9	160.0	-5.7	22%
Last 10 (10)	88.4	88.9	177.3	-0.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	93.6	91.6	185.2	+2.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	80.2	80.4	160.6	-0.2	40%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	85.9	82.9	168.7	+3.0	52%
vs Weaker (2)	82.0	76.0	158.0	+6.0	100%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadQuilmes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	15.6	35.6	+4.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	21.7	40.7	-2.7	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	11.0	32.0	+10.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.6	21.2	37.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.7	39.1	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	39%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.7	40.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	22.6	42.6	-2.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	20.0	38.1	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.2	36.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	23.0	42.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.7	39.8	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	18.8	42.5	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.9	43.4	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.8	45.8	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.0	18.2	40.2	+3.8	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.1	65%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	50%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

#18

41-35

H11/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

37-52

-15

A15/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

46-41

A17/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

36-44

-8

A19/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

39-40

-1

H22/03

Liga A

Atenas

#14

31-34

-3

H31/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

44-42

H02/04

Liga A

Quimsa

31-29

H06/04

Liga A

Olimpico

31-60

-29

A14/04

Liga A

Quimsa

33-35

-2

A16/04

Liga A

78.1Avg total

36.9Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	39.2	78.1	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.8	34.7	73.5	+4.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	44.3	83.4	-5.2	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	41.2	78.1	-4.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	40.0	74.0	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.5	42.5	84.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	38.6	39.5	78.1	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	29.0	68.0	+10.0	100%	-

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

46-36

+10

H18/03

Liga A

Ferro

#15

46-42

H20/03

Liga A

Ferro

#15

23-35

-12

A25/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

44-43

A26/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

41-38

A29/03

Liga A

Regatas

49-36

+13

H06/04

Liga A

Penarol

43-51

-8

A09/04

Liga A

San Martin

#10

49-46

H10/04

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

29-47

-18

A15/04

Liga A

Sionista

#20

39-42

-3

A17/04

Liga A

82.5Avg total

40.9Scored

41.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	38.3	78.2	+1.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.7	36.8	81.5	+7.9	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.9	39.9	74.8	-4.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	41.6	82.5	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	44.4	86.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	39.8	39.2	79.0	+0.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	40.0	38.3	78.3	+1.7	65%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.0	36.5	74.5	+1.5	50%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.2	42.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	18.9	41.4	+3.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	21.6	42.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	20.7	39.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	17.8	34.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	18.5	34.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	22.3	20.0	42.3	+2.4	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	28.0	18.0	46.0	+10.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.7	41.3	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	20.1	41.3	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	19.3	41.3	+2.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.0	43.4	+3.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	65%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	16.5	37.0	+4.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	23.1	44.2	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	22.3	45.4	+0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	24.1	42.9	-5.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	22.1	42.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.4	36.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	26.5	46.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	21.2	22.8	44.0	-1.6	35%	-
vs Weaker (1)	28.0	23.0	51.0	+5.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	23.0	45.7	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.0	24.4	48.4	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	21.7	42.9	-0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	23.9	49.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	24.4	51.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.4	22.2	42.6	-1.8	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	23.0	23.2	46.3	-0.2	39%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.5	23.0	46.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	43.3	86.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.6	41.2	86.8	+4.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.1	45.6	85.7	-5.6	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	42.8	82.3	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	37.2	70.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	36.0	45.0	81.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	43.5	42.8	86.3	+0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	56.0	41.0	97.0	+15.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	42.8	87.0	+1.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.1	44.5	89.7	+0.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.3	41.0	84.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	44.6	90.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.2	44.4	94.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	40.4	41.2	81.6	-0.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	45.0	43.4	88.4	+1.7	65%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.0	39.5	83.5	+4.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Quilmes wins

Date	Game	Score
26/02/16	Quilmes v Libertad	101-89
25/04/15	Libertad v Quilmes	92-90
04/03/15	Quilmes v Libertad	99-89
08/02/14	Quilmes v Libertad	72-77
01/02/14	Libertad v Quilmes	91-90
13/02/12	Quilmes v Libertad	66-73
05/12/11	Libertad v Quilmes	99-80

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/04/16	A	Quimsa	56-79
14/04/16	A	Olimpico	62-98
06/04/16	H	Quimsa	60-59
02/04/16	H	Instituto de Cordoba	84-74
31/03/16	H	Atenas	82-87 OT
22/03/16	H	Weber Bahia	86-91
19/03/16	A	San Lorenzo	71-96
17/03/16	A	Obras Sanitarias	101-91
15/03/16	A	Gimnasia	68-93
11/03/16	H	Boca Juniors	100-83

Quilmeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/04/16	A	Sionista	82-80
15/04/16	A	Estudiantes	84-89
10/04/16	H	San Martin	112-109
09/04/16	A	Penarol	96-102 OT
06/04/16	H	Regatas	94-78
29/03/16	A	Gimnasia	79-87
26/03/16	A	Obras Sanitarias	86-94
25/03/16	A	Ferro	78-80 OT
20/03/16	H	Ferro	84-96
18/03/16	H	Olimpico	89-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	54%
Home	WLLWW	81%
Away	LWLLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	52	26	26
Win %	54%	81%	27%
Points / game	81.4	86.1	76.6
Allowed / game	80.1	74.8	85.3
Point differential	+1.3	+11.3	-8.7
Avg total	161.4	161.0	161.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	54%	19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	64% (11)	62% (8)	67% (3)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Quilmes

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	43%
Home	WWLWW	65%
Away	LLLLW	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	53	26	27
Win %	43%	65%	22%
Points / game	81.4	85.8	77.1
Allowed / game	82.7	82.4	82.9
Point differential	-1.2	+3.4	-5.7
Avg total	164.1	168.3	160.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	35%	4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (16)	71% (7)	33% (9)
Overtime %	6%	4%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpico	51	35	16	69%	82.7	76.4	+6.3
2	Gimnasia	51	31	20	61%	83.0	76.6	+6.4
3	Quimsa	50	29	21	58%	81.4	76.9	+4.5
4	Penarol	52	30	22	58%	84.0	82.9	+1.1
5	San Lorenzo	52	29	23	56%	83.9	79.8	+4.1
6	La Union	52	28	24	54%	80.2	78.7	+1.6
7	Libertad	52	28	24	54%	81.4	80.1	+1.3
8	Obras Sanitarias	52	28	24	54%	83.8	84.1	-0.3
9	Weber Bahia	52	28	24	54%	76.0	78.7	-2.6
10	San Martin	52	26	26	50%	85.2	84.4	+0.8
11	Estudiantes	53	26	27	49%	74.8	79.1	-4.3
12	Regatas	52	24	28	46%	79.1	79.3	-0.2
13	Atenas	52	23	29	44%	77.0	78.9	-1.9
14	Ferro	52	23	29	44%	77.0	79.1	-2.1
15	Argentino	50	22	28	44%	77.6	80.0	-2.4
16	Quilmes	53	23	30	43%	81.4	82.7	-1.2
17	Instituto de Cordoba	52	22	30	42%	76.3	78.0	-1.6
18	Boca Juniors	52	22	30	42%	78.9	81.1	-2.2
19	Lanus	50	21	29	42%	80.8	82.5	-1.7
20	Sionista	50	18	32	36%	76.4	81.6	-5.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	32	22	24	26	104
Quilmes	20	17	29	21	87

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Quilmes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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