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Libertad vs Quilmes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 92-84
15-23 25-23 27-21 25-17
Position#14
Record14-14
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#20
Record9-18
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game84.4
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2018-19
Meetings · Libertad v Quilmes
10 Apr 2019
LIBE92
QUIL84
06 Feb 2017
LIBE78
QUIL73
18 Apr 2016
LIBE104
QUIL87
24 Apr 2015
LIBE92
QUIL90
31 Jan 2014
LIBE91
QUIL90
04 Dec 2011
LIBE99
QUIL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Quilmes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertadArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Lorenzo
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A09/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#8
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A11/03
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#4
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A17/03
Liga A
Estudiantes
#9
L
88-95
88
95
-7
A19/03
Liga A
Ferro
#3
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H22/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A25/03
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#6
L
74-101
74
101
-27
A26/03
Liga A
La Union
#11
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H30/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#13
W
94-93 OT
94
93
+1
A06/04
Liga A
Olimpico
#12
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A08/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
13-21
23-29
17-21
14-28
27-14
25-19
12-21
16-24
16-24
20-14
23-22
25-25
7-24
23-22
33-24
22-19
10-23
26-8
13-19
23-19
30-20
15-24
18-21
19-23
21-26
18-31
16-21
25-9
23-23
15-28
28-16
8-18
22-25
23-12
21-19
15-21
12-17
24-20
20-23
165.6Avg total
80.7Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.881.2161.0-1.550%
Season at home (14)83.077.4160.4+5.671%
Season away (14)76.685.1161.7-8.629%
Last 10 (10)80.784.9165.6-4.240%
Last 5 (5)83.287.0170.2-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.482.6161.0-4.336%
vs Similar (15)83.683.5167.1+0.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)72.268.0140.2+4.275%
This opponent (Quilmes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QuilmesArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#3
L
78-90
78
90
-12
H03/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
H10/03
Liga A
Estudiantes
#9
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H13/03
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#18
W
80-69
80
69
+11
A15/03
Liga A
Argentino
#17
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A18/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#12
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H25/03
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
80-87 OT
80
87
-7
H28/03
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
83-79 OT
83
79
+4
H30/03
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#4
L
88-92
88
92
-4
H03/04
Liga A
Argentino
#17
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H08/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
17-24
23-20
18-23
18-21
16-22
10-19
19-21
27-22
26-19
15-15
17-24
14-18
23-17
26-15
17-19
16-18
2-24
28-15
27-21
22-21
19-24
24-15
19-22
15-16
22-14
16-28
18-13
13-9
17-20
20-16
19-24
26-19
19-27
19-24
24-22
15-17
18-8
23-24
20-16
159.5Avg total
79.0Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.784.4163.1-5.733%
Season at home (16)80.282.3162.6-2.144%
Season away (11)76.587.5163.9-11.018%
Last 10 (10)79.080.5159.5-1.550%
Last 5 (5)82.281.0163.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)79.086.3165.3-7.229%
vs Similar (9)73.275.9149.1-2.733%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
LibertadQuilmes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Lorenzo
#1
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A09/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A11/03
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#4
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A17/03
Liga A
Estudiantes
#9
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A19/03
Liga A
Ferro
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H22/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A25/03
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A26/03
Liga A
La Union
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H30/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#13
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A06/04
Liga A
Olimpico
#12
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A08/04
Liga A
79.0Avg total
37.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.939.376.2-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.737.176.8+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)34.141.575.5-7.433%-
Last 10 (10)37.441.679.0-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.279.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.040.176.1-4.136%-
vs Similar (15)38.540.278.7-1.747%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)33.533.567.0+0.075%-
This opponent (Quilmes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H03/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H10/03
Liga A
Estudiantes
#9
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H13/03
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#18
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A15/03
Liga A
Argentino
#17
L
18-42
18
42
-24
A18/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H25/03
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H28/03
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H30/03
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#4
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H03/04
Liga A
Argentino
#17
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H08/04
Liga A
74.8Avg total
36.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.539.575.0-4.040%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.137.774.8-0.639%-
Last 30 away (12)33.242.275.4-9.142%-
Last 10 (10)36.538.374.8-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.072.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.740.777.4-4.038%-
vs Similar (9)32.836.769.4-3.944%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Libertad wins
3
Quilmes wins
DateGameScore
10/01/19Quilmes v Libertad64-66
10/05/17Quilmes v Libertad75-72
07/02/17Libertad v Quilmes78-73
19/04/16Libertad v Quilmes104-87
26/02/16Quilmes v Libertad101-89
25/04/15Libertad v Quilmes92-90
04/03/15Quilmes v Libertad99-89
08/02/14Quilmes v Libertad72-77
01/02/14Libertad v Quilmes91-90
13/02/12Quilmes v Libertad66-73
Libertadlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/19AOlimpico71-81
06/04/19AQuimsa94-93 OT
30/03/19HLa Union91-76
26/03/19AObras Sanitarias74-101
25/03/19AGimnasia86-84
22/03/19HFerro71-69
19/03/19AEstudiantes88-95
17/03/19AComunicaciones Mercedes75-84
11/03/19ABoca Juniors78-82
09/03/19ASan Lorenzo79-84
Quilmeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/19HArgentino76-65
03/04/19HComunicaciones Mercedes88-92
30/03/19HSan Martin83-79 OT
28/03/19HRegatas80-87 OT
25/03/19HOlimpico84-82
18/03/19AArgentino73-78
15/03/19AWeber Bahia80-69
13/03/19HEstudiantes85-80
10/03/19HInstituto de Cordoba63-83
03/03/19HFerro78-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad
Liga A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game79.883.076.6
Allowed / game81.277.485.1
Point differential-1.5+5.6-8.6
Avg total161.0160.4161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)60% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Quilmes
Liga A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW33%
HomeWLWLW44%
AwayLWLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %33%44%18%
Points / game78.780.276.5
Allowed / game84.482.387.5
Point differential-5.7-2.1-11.0
Avg total163.1162.6163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%12%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)50% (8)0% (3)
Overtime %11%19%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Lorenzo2321291%90.577.7+12.8
2 Instituto de Cordoba2718967%84.477.6+6.8
3 Obras Sanitarias27171063%81.781.5+0.3
4 Regatas29181162%84.381.8+2.4
5 Gimnasia28171161%83.479.4+4.0
6 Ferro30181260%83.677.5+6.1
7 Quimsa28161257%84.780.8+3.9
8 Comunicaciones Mercedes30161453%80.978.6+2.3
9 Estudiantes29151452%77.979.1-1.2
10 Libertad28141450%79.881.2-1.5
11 Olimpico27131448%78.777.5+1.3
12 San Martin27131448%79.683.0-3.4
13 Boca Juniors28131546%76.277.0-0.8
14 Hispano Americano26121446%83.384.5-1.3
15 La Union27121544%83.383.5-0.3
16 Weber Bahia27111641%72.177.6-5.5
17 Quilmes2791833%78.784.4-5.7
18 Penarol2891932%78.484.0-5.6
19 Argentino3082227%79.086.0-7.0
20 Atenas2872125%79.084.6-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Libertad1525272592
Quilmes2323211784
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