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Liberty vs Missouri State Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 04 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position-
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Liberty v Missouri State
11 Mar 2026
LIBE69
MISS77
07 Feb 2026
LIBE79
MISS76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#223
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H07/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A12/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A14/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H21/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A27/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H11/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
42-38
0-0
37-38
0-0
30-32
0-0
47-43
0-0
28-26
0-0
45-38
0-0
41-40
0-0
39-40
0-0
37-48
0-0
36-46
0-0
29-32
0-0
36-42
0-0
27-34
0-0
54-44
0-0
40-45
0-0
31-31
0-0
41-31
0-0
38-41
0-0
37-33
0-0
32-44
153.2Avg total
75.7Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.777.5153.2-1.860%
Last 5 (5)73.075.4148.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)73.071.8144.8+1.269%
vs Weaker (17)80.269.9150.1+10.482%
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H14/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
87-91
87
91
-4
H19/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
81-86
81
86
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H06/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H07/03
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A10/03
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A11/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A13/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
25-35
0-0
42-41
0-0
34-44
0-0
53-47
0-0
22-29
0-0
45-41
0-0
38-37
0-0
32-35
0-0
34-43
0-0
47-43
0-0
43-38
0-0
44-36
0-0
27-37
0-0
36-38
0-0
31-36
0-0
44-36
0-0
33-37
0-0
44-32
0-0
27-30
0-0
39-39
149.4Avg total
74.0Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.075.4149.4-1.430%
Last 5 (5)73.671.8145.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.582.5160.0-5.025%
vs Similar (16)73.774.9148.6-1.244%
vs Weaker (5)66.458.6125.0+7.880%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +3.8+3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +3.8+3.8
LibertyMissouri State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#223
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A12/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A14/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H21/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A27/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H11/03
NCAA
71.1Avg total
35.2Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.432.670.0+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.932.274.2+9.781%-
Last 30 away (14)32.232.965.1-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)35.235.971.1-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)34.835.069.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)34.434.268.6+0.246%-
vs Weaker (17)39.731.371.0+8.482%-
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H14/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H19/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A27/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A28/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H06/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H07/03
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A10/03
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A11/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A13/03
NCAA
68.0Avg total
31.4Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.434.368.8+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.533.170.6+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)31.435.566.9-4.120%-
Last 10 (10)31.436.668.0-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)32.235.667.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.640.574.1-6.90%-
vs Similar (16)34.533.968.4+0.650%-
vs Weaker (5)30.426.056.4+4.460%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Liberty wins
1
Missouri State wins
DateGameScore
11/03/26Liberty v Missouri State69-77
07/02/26Liberty v Missouri State79-76
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HMissouri State69-77
07/03/26HSam Houston St.79-72
06/03/26HLouisiana Tech71-76
28/02/26AJacksonville State81-78
27/02/26AKennesaw State65-74
21/02/26HWestern Kentucky73-94
19/02/26HFlorida International90-89 OT
14/02/26AUTEP73-64
12/02/26ANew Mexico State77-75
07/02/26HMissouri State79-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26ALouisiana Tech66-69
11/03/26ALiberty77-69
10/03/26AFlorida International75-72
07/03/26HMiddle Tenn. St.63-75
06/03/26HWestern Kentucky87-74
28/02/26ASam Houston St.81-86
27/02/26ALouisiana Tech70-72
21/02/26AFlorida International67-70
19/02/26HKennesaw State87-91
14/02/26HDelaware67-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Missouri State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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