PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mechelen vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 72-69
17-23 24-13 20-22 11-11
Position#8
Record6-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Position#11
Record3-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game77.9
EuropeBNXT League· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai (Mechelen)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mechelen v Leuven Bears
13 Mar 2027
MECH v LEUV
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
MECH57
LEUV81
03 Jan 2025
MECH82
LEUV86
02 Nov 2024
MECH72
LEUV67
10 Apr 2024
MECH90
LEUV76
16 Dec 2023
MECH72
LEUV69
07 May 2023
MECH98
LEUV89
03 May 2023
MECH75
LEUV62
21 Jan 2023
MECH91
LEUV75
18 May 2022
MECH77
LEUV69
14 May 2022
MECH78
LEUV75
10 May 2022
MECH63
LEUV72
29 Jan 2022
MECH74
LEUV65
05 Feb 2021
MECH70
LEUV79
06 Dec 2019
MECH63
LEUV73
13 Apr 2019
MECH77
LEUV68
12 Jan 2019
MECH75
LEUV92
26 Sep 2018
MECH74
LEUV90
17 Mar 2018
MECH88
LEUV85
03 Dec 2017
MECH90
LEUV86
22 Apr 2017
MECH78
LEUV67
26 Dec 2016
MECH100
LEUV67
08 Apr 2016
MECH84
LEUV63
03 Dec 2015
MECH85
LEUV80
06 Mar 2015
MECH79
LEUV73
08 Oct 2014
MECH80
LEUV86
30 Mar 2014
MECH86
LEUV94
05 Oct 2013
MECH79
LEUV88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
L
52-70
52
70
-18
46avg 69
A13/10
BNXT League
BCCA Neufchateau
#13
W
101-80
101
80
+21
no box
A20/10
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#14
W
102-74
102
74
+28
101avg 69
H28/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
84-73
84
73
+11
83avg 69
A31/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
W
69-45
69
45
+24
69avg 69
H12/11
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
50-63
50
63
-13
38avg 69
H18/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
70-87
70
87
-17
61avg 69
A24/11
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
88-74
88
74
+14
80avg 69
A01/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#8
W
90-69
90
69
+21
no box
H09/12
Belgian Cup
Antwerp Giants
#8
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
A13/12
Belgian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-24
7-15
17-17
18-14
27-27
21-14
25-21
28-18
24-17
29-11
21-22
28-24
21-19
19-21
22-19
22-14
15-13
17-14
18-11
19-7
19-16
15-18
9-9
7-20
20-19
25-23
12-26
13-19
21-16
18-16
24-17
25-25
20-16
23-22
22-20
25-11
25-17
17-17
18-19
19-24
149.7Avg total
78.5Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.573.1148.6+2.555%
Season at home (6)75.568.3143.8+7.267%
Season away (5)75.678.8154.4-3.240%
Last 10 (10)78.571.2149.7+7.370%
Last 5 (5)75.474.0149.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.475.1149.5-0.750%
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.476.6151.0-2.350%
vs Weaker (5)81.269.2150.4+12.080%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#11
W
75-68
75
68
+7
no box
A20/10
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#11
W
67-57
67
57
+10
no box
H22/10
Belgian Cup
Oostende
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
64avg 66
A28/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
67avg 66
H31/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
68-80
68
80
-12
59avg 66
A09/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
84-60
84
60
+24
84avg 66
H14/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
69-88
69
88
-19
50avg 66
A19/11
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
64-79
64
79
-15
55avg 66
A26/11
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
90-70
90
70
+20
no box
H08/12
Belgian Cup
Liege
#6
L
93-94
93
94
-1
no box
A11/12
Belgian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
17-16
15-14
18-14
17-13
12-24
16-17
28-28
19-22
19-21
21-19
19-22
14-22
18-21
16-19
15-20
19-20
23-15
20-18
21-10
20-17
9-22
22-24
19-23
19-19
14-10
13-20
19-22
18-27
23-17
20-18
23-20
24-15
23-23
19-23
25-26
26-22
152.9Avg total
75.8Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.177.9153.0-2.827%
Season at home (5)77.873.2151.0+4.640%
Season away (6)72.881.8154.7-9.017%
Last 10 (10)75.877.1152.9-1.340%
Last 5 (5)80.078.2158.2+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.078.8153.8-3.840%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.175.0153.1+3.140%
vs Weaker (15)82.871.6154.4+11.267%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
MechelenLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
L
17-39
17
39
-22
A13/10
BNXT League
BCCA Neufchateau
#13
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A20/10
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#14
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H28/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A31/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H12/11
BNXT League
Liege
#6
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H18/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A24/11
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A01/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H09/12
Belgian Cup
Antwerp Giants
#8
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A13/12
Belgian Cup
74.8Avg total
39.3Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.178.2-0.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.237.778.9+3.547%-
Last 30 away (15)37.040.677.6-3.640%-
Last 10 (10)39.335.574.8+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.636.076.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.139.776.8-2.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.338.676.9-0.436%-
vs Weaker (5)43.639.082.6+4.660%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#11
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H22/10
Belgian Cup
Oostende
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A28/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H31/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A09/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H14/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A19/11
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A26/11
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H08/12
Belgian Cup
Liege
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A11/12
Belgian Cup
73.4Avg total
35.6Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.736.677.3+4.166%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.533.377.8+11.293%-
Last 30 away (15)37.239.776.9-2.540%-
Last 10 (9)35.637.973.4-2.333%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.075.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.238.274.4-2.060%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.238.278.4+2.060%-
vs Weaker (14)42.734.977.6+7.871%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.4
54.0%
52.2%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.45.3
30.5%
33.1%15.9
🏀 Free throws22.915.4
67.2%
71.4%15.4
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.3
50.3%
52.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.26.2
32.3%
33.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws15.311.5
75.2%
71.4%11.5
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WWWLLWWWWL
Leuven Bears
LWLLWLLLWW
#8
League position
#11
+5.3
Net rating
-3.6
100.1
Offensive rating
104.1
94.8
Defensive rating
107.8
51.5%
Effective FG%
49.7%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
20.8%
Turnover %
17.1%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.5%
3-point %
32.3%
56.2%
Assist %
54.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 104.1Defence94.8 · 107.8Shooting51.5% · 49.7%3-point %30.5% · 32.3%Ball care20.8% · 17.1%Off. rebounds25.8% · 29.4%Free throws0.40 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Mechelen   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Mechelen wins
3
Leuven Bears wins
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23AAntwerp Giants79-77
09/12/23HAntwerp Giants90-69
01/12/23ACircus Brussels88-74
24/11/23AKortrijk70-87
18/11/23HLiege50-63
12/11/23HOostende69-45
31/10/23ALeuven Bears84-73
28/10/23HKortrijk102-74
20/10/23ABCCA Neufchateau101-80
13/10/23ALimburg52-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/23ALiege93-94
08/12/23HLiege90-70
26/11/23ACircus Brussels64-79
19/11/23AKortrijk69-88
14/11/23HOkapi Aalst84-60
09/11/23ALimburg68-80
31/10/23HMechelen73-84
28/10/23AOostende75-91
22/10/23HBelfius Mons67-57
20/10/23ABelfius Mons75-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW55%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game75.575.575.6
Allowed / game73.168.378.8
Point differential+2.5+7.2-3.2
Avg total148.6143.8154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game75.177.872.8
Allowed / game77.973.281.8
Point differential-2.8+4.6-9.0
Avg total153.0151.0154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Bosch109190%82.467.8+14.6
2 Limburg119282%76.565.7+10.7
3 Antwerp Giants119282%82.674.1+8.5
4 Oostende119282%78.070.5+7.5
5 Leiden108280%80.670.7+9.9
6 Zwolle107370%77.766.8+10.9
7 Circus Brussels127558%78.676.2+2.3
8 Kortrijk127558%79.980.7-0.8
9 BAL Weert95456%72.673.7-1.1
10 Donar Groningen116555%72.166.4+5.7
11 Mechelen116555%75.573.1+2.5
12 Liege116555%74.475.5-1.2
13 Feyenoord105550%76.382.9-6.6
14 Spirou Charleroi125742%71.375.7-4.3
15 Leuven Bears113827%75.177.9-2.8
16 QSTA Utd102820%71.381.9-10.6
17 Den Helder102820%65.780.2-14.5
18 LWD Basket101910%72.181.1-9.0
19 Belfius Mons111109%71.581.2-9.6
20 Okapi Aalst110110%76.889.4-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen1724201172
Leuven Bears2313221169
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.