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Olimpia Milano vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Sep 2020
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 75-68
21-16 24-17 8-18 22-17
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game71.4
vs
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game72.0
ItalyLega A - Super CupLega A - Super Cup - Final
Other2020
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna
25 Oct 2026
MIL94
VIR98
29 Sep 2026
MIL87
VIR85
26 Mar 2026
MIL103
VIR87
14 Dec 2025
MIL74
VIR63
07 Jun 2025
MIL78
VIR84
05 Jun 2025
MIL68
VIR78
08 Dec 2024
MIL73
VIR82
31 Oct 2024
MIL99
VIR90
22 Sep 2024
MIL98
VIR96
13 Jun 2024
MIL85
VIR73
11 Jun 2024
MIL81
VIR78
05 Apr 2024
MIL90
VIR75
10 Dec 2023
MIL82
VIR80
23 Sep 2023
MIL73
VIR78
23 Jun 2023
MIL67
VIR55
19 Jun 2023
MIL79
VIR72
11 Jun 2023
MIL79
VIR76
09 Jun 2023
MIL92
VIR82
19 Mar 2023
MIL69
VIR75
09 Nov 2022
MIL59
VIR64
28 Sep 2022
MIL64
VIR72
18 Jun 2022
MIL81
VIR64
14 Jun 2022
MIL77
VIR62
12 Jun 2022
MIL94
VIR82
05 Jan 2022
MIL102
VIR99
21 Sep 2021
MIL84
VIR90
07 Jun 2021
MIL72
VIR83
05 Jun 2021
MIL77
VIR83
17 Apr 2021
MIL94
VIR84
20 Sep 2020
MIL75
VIR68
19 Apr 2020
MIL v VIR
upcoming
14 Feb 2019
MIL84
VIR86
27 Jan 2019
MIL94
VIR75
05 Nov 2017
MIL72
VIR64
08 Nov 2015
MIL87
VIR72
20 May 2015
MIL99
VIR72
18 May 2015
MIL90
VIR67
26 Apr 2015
MIL117
VIR92
23 Feb 2014
MIL89
VIR66
27 Jan 2013
MIL91
VIR68
23 Oct 2011
MIL79
VIR64
10 Apr 2011
MIL71
VIR64
07 Mar 2010
MIL73
VIR71
19 Oct 2008
MIL68
VIR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Trieste
#14
W
85-67
85
67
+18
84avg 75
A26/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
A01/02
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H09/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
101-71
101
71
+30
no box
H27/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
110-77
110
77
+33
no box
A29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
W
102-62
102
62
+40
no box
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
81-67
81
67
+14
no box
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
91-77
91
77
+14
no box
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
H18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
18-19
25-12
19-21
14-16
18-18
24-15
21-25
23-16
19-23
17-22
18-13
26-18
28-20
24-16
23-17
32-16
27-25
33-19
18-17
24-18
30-13
27-15
21-16
24-12
20-23
22-18
15-14
24-23
26-16
15-20
26-20
19-20
23-21
25-18
24-18
27-15
16-8
14-23
19-21
160.6Avg total
89.1Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)93.171.4164.6+21.7100%
Season at home (4)87.270.5157.8+16.8100%
Season away (3)101.072.7173.7+28.3100%
Last 10 (10)89.171.5160.6+17.6100%
Last 5 (5)88.270.4158.6+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.083.0153.0-13.00%
vs Similar (7)79.676.3155.9+3.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)84.671.9156.5+12.882%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
90-60
90
60
+30
90avg 84
H18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
83-71
83
71
+12
81avg 84
A25/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
106-89
106
89
+17
112avg 84
H01/02
Lega A
Cremona
#14
W
87-66
87
66
+21
no box
A29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
W
79-75 OT
79
75
+4
no box
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
W
87-73
87
73
+14
no box
A04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#14
W
79-56
79
56
+23
no box
H09/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
W
88-76
88
76
+12
no box
A18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-8
27-20
16-20
28-12
21-21
23-18
19-16
20-16
25-25
27-22
29-11
25-31
17-22
21-10
24-24
25-10
11-15
23-7
15-29
19-17
18-24
17-22
31-11
21-16
11-14
15-22
34-27
24-23
19-15
25-15
13-13
22-13
17-18
22-9
19-25
16-20
19-24
21-18
22-17
26-17
158.1Avg total
85.7Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.672.0154.6+10.686%
Season at home (3)80.772.3153.0+8.367%
Season away (4)84.071.8155.8+12.2100%
Last 10 (10)85.772.4158.1+13.390%
Last 5 (5)82.472.6155.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)78.566.5145.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (3)82.382.3164.7+0.067%
vs Weaker (25)84.772.3157.0+12.492%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +5.1+5.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +5.1+5.1
Olimpia MilanoVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A26/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A01/02
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H27/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
59-41
59
41
+18
A29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
81.6Avg total
46.1Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.036.777.7+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.136.278.2+5.971%-
Last 30 away (13)39.637.477.0+2.254%-
Last 10 (10)46.135.581.6+10.690%-
Last 5 (5)46.633.880.4+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.046.086.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (7)38.936.175.0+2.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)41.736.578.2+5.373%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A25/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H01/02
Lega A
Cremona
#14
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#14
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H09/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
74.7Avg total
39.8Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.335.376.6+6.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.834.075.8+7.881%-
Last 30 away (14)40.836.777.5+4.157%-
Last 10 (10)39.834.974.7+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.273.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)41.530.572.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar (3)39.342.081.3-2.70%-
vs Weaker (25)41.534.876.4+6.776%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 24% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.316.0
46.6%
-32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.7
37.2%
-26.1
🏀 Free throws24.718.5
74.9%
-18.5
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.622.3
59.3%
-44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.7
37.0%
-29.1
🏀 Free throws19.413.3
68.6%
-13.3
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Sep 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWWWWWWWWW
Virtus Bologna
WWWLWWWWWW
#1
League position
#2
+5.4
Net rating
+17.2
109.1
Offensive rating
117.8
103.7
Defensive rating
100.6
50.3%
Effective FG%
57.8%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
19.3%
Turnover %
18.2%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.2%
3-point %
37.0%
55.9%
Assist %
67.5%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)100% · 90%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
18/09/20HVenezia76-67
10/09/20HVarese91-77
07/09/20ABrescia91-79
04/09/20HBrescia81-67
01/09/20ACantu102-62
29/08/20AVarese110-77
27/08/20HCantu101-71
09/02/20HCremona77-74
01/02/20ABrindisi77-74
26/01/20ATrieste85-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/09/20ASassari88-76
13/09/20AReggiana74-72
09/09/20HCremona79-56
07/09/20HFortitudo Bologna84-86
04/09/20AFortitudo Bologna87-73
01/09/20HReggiana79-75 OT
29/08/20ACremona87-66
01/02/20HPesaro106-89
25/01/20AVenezia83-71
18/01/20HPistoia90-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A - Super Cup 2020
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.187.2101.0
Allowed / game71.470.572.7
Point differential+21.7+16.8+28.3
Avg total164.6157.8173.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%75%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A - Super Cup 2020
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%67%100%
Points / game82.680.784.0
Allowed / game72.072.371.8
Point differential+10.6+8.3+12.2
Avg total154.6153.0155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%33%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano770100%93.171.4+21.7
2 Virtus Bologna76186%82.672.0+10.6
3 Pesaro64267%83.072.5+10.5
4 Brindisi64267%88.078.3+9.7
5 Sassari74357%91.381.7+9.6
6 Venezia74357%75.672.9+2.7
7 Treviso63350%79.276.5+2.7
8 Fortitudo Bologna63350%84.382.7+1.7
9 Reggiana63350%79.879.5+0.3
10 Brescia63350%83.285.8-2.7
11 Trieste63350%71.377.8-6.5
12 Trento62433%77.878.7-0.8
13 Varese62433%83.391.3-8.0
14 Cremona61517%68.080.3-12.3
15 Cantu61517%74.087.2-13.2
16 Virtus Roma6060%65.799.0-33.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano212482275
Virtus Bologna1617181768
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