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Virtus Bologna vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 106-89
25-25 27-22 29-11 25-31
Position#1
Record17-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#17
Record1-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game91.1
ItalyLega ARound 21
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Pesaro
30 Dec 2023
VIR83
PES66
26 Mar 2023
VIR88
PES76
17 May 2022
VIR70
PES51
15 May 2022
VIR82
PES76
06 Nov 2021
VIR88
PES75
30 Dec 2020
VIR100
PES80
01 Feb 2020
VIR106
PES89
23 Mar 2019
VIR78
PES70
03 Feb 2018
VIR85
PES67
09 Feb 2016
VIR79
PES75
19 Apr 2015
VIR89
PES85
29 Dec 2013
VIR75
PES65
02 Dec 2012
VIR76
PES58
29 Apr 2012
VIR73
PES64
20 Feb 2011
VIR71
PES70
10 Jan 2010
VIR82
PES80
14 Feb 2009
VIR95
PES88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H01/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A08/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
99-87
99
87
+12
H14/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A22/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
94-62
94
62
+32
H25/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H29/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A05/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
97-68
97
68
+29
A12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A25/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
20-15
28-13
20-21
14-26
20-20
18-14
14-18
22-20
32-23
23-22
22-22
17-22
21-21
19-27
20-21
22-11
23-14
20-21
29-16
24-20
22-20
17-16
20-14
21-17
21-8
13-25
28-27
22-14
28-15
21-21
26-18
19-8
27-20
16-20
28-12
21-21
23-18
19-16
20-16
159.5Avg total
86.1Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.974.3159.2+10.689%
Season at home (9)86.171.7157.8+14.4100%
Season away (10)83.876.6160.4+7.280%
Last 10 (10)86.173.4159.5+12.780%
Last 5 (5)87.269.2156.4+18.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.374.3150.7+2.067%
vs Similar (8)75.877.0152.8-1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)83.672.0155.6+11.689%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
74-101
74
101
-27
A24/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H01/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
87-103
87
103
-16
A15/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A22/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
72-87
72
87
-15
H26/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
92-98
92
98
-6
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H05/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A11/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
82-107
82
107
-25
H19/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
26-29
16-31
20-18
13-18
14-22
18-19
18-15
16-17
14-14
16-21
19-19
24-25
30-31
20-26
13-21
26-27
20-14
20-27
13-23
17-21
18-27
13-17
24-22
28-28
21-26
18-20
25-24
27-25
20-23
17-16
12-18
22-18
19-16
21-17
18-26
19-25
25-28
19-36
19-18
166.1Avg total
77.0Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.791.1169.8-12.46%
Season at home (9)74.387.3161.7-13.00%
Season away (9)83.194.9178.0-11.811%
Last 10 (10)77.089.1166.1-12.110%
Last 5 (5)80.490.2170.6-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)77.391.2168.4-13.97%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
Virtus BolognaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A08/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H14/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H25/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H29/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A05/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A25/01
Lega A
79.4Avg total
44.0Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.635.876.4+4.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.634.775.3+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)40.637.177.7+3.650%-
Last 10 (10)44.035.479.4+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)45.632.277.8+13.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.333.073.3+7.367%-
vs Similar (8)36.937.474.2-0.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.335.677.8+6.774%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A24/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H01/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A15/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A22/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H26/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H05/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A11/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H19/01
Lega A
86.8Avg total
41.1Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.946.084.0-8.117%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.944.581.4-7.614%-
Last 30 away (16)38.947.486.2-8.519%-
Last 10 (10)41.145.786.8-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)43.247.490.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)37.946.084.0-8.117%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.222.0
59.1%
52.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.5
35.8%
35.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.312.8
66.3%
73.6%12.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.018.7
46.8%
52.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.77.9
28.5%
35.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.614.9
72.3%
73.6%14.9
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWWLWLW
Pesaro
LWLLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#17
+17.8
Net rating
-16.5
117.8
Offensive rating
103.6
100.0
Defensive rating
120.0
56.9%
Effective FG%
45.1%
44.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
17.1%
Turnover %
14.6%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.8%
3-point %
28.5%
66.7%
Assist %
48.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 103.6Defence100.0 · 120.0Shooting56.9% · 45.1%3-point %35.8% · 28.5%Ball care17.1% · 14.6%Off. rebounds33.2% · 31.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Virtus Bologna wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/20AVenezia83-71
18/01/20HPistoia90-60
12/01/20AVirtus Roma97-68
05/01/20ATrento83-77
29/12/19HOlimpia Milano83-70
25/12/19HFortitudo Bologna94-62
22/12/19ASassari77-91
14/12/19HBrindisi99-87
08/12/19ACremona66-78
01/12/19HCantu89-70
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/20HSassari82-107
11/01/20AFortitudo Bologna80-77
05/01/20HTrieste76-82
29/12/19AVenezia92-98
26/12/19HCantu72-87
22/12/19APistoia79-91
15/12/19AVarese87-103
08/12/19HOlimpia Milano65-71
01/12/19HCremona63-74
24/11/19ABrescia74-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game84.986.183.8
Allowed / game74.371.776.6
Point differential+10.6+14.4+7.2
Avg total159.2157.8160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%56%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Pesaro
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL6%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %6%0%11%
Points / game78.774.383.1
Allowed / game91.187.394.9
Point differential-12.4-13.0-11.8
Avg total169.8161.7178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1917289%84.974.3+10.6
2 Sassari1915479%85.374.9+10.4
3 Brescia1913668%82.974.6+8.3
4 Olimpia Milano2013765%80.574.0+6.5
5 Cremona1811761%81.080.4+0.6
6 Brindisi2012860%83.781.0+2.7
7 Venezia1910953%78.075.2+2.8
8 Fortitudo Bologna1910953%77.078.9-1.9
9 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
10 Reggiana1991047%82.683.3-0.7
11 Trento1991047%78.680.9-2.4
12 Cantu1881044%76.779.1-2.4
13 Treviso1971237%77.379.9-2.6
14 Virtus Roma1971237%77.284.8-7.6
15 Trieste1951426%74.680.6-6.1
16 Pistoia1951426%73.382.9-9.7
17 Pesaro181176%78.791.1-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna25272925106
Pesaro2522113189
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