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Cremona vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Aug 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 66-87
22-17 10-21 24-24 10-25
Position#14
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Cremona
Italy
vs
Virtus Bologna 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega A - Super CupRound 1
Other2020
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03 Jan 2010
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VIR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H08/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A15/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H21/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
93-89
93
89
+4
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A18/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
103-92
103
92
+11
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
95-93
95
93
+2
H02/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
20-20
14-18
18-14
15-29
20-11
23-15
13-29
18-24
29-17
24-16
22-15
29-20
22-19
15-28
10-24
22-21
22-17
15-25
15-21
27-21
25-19
18-21
23-28
29-19
18-27
19-18
28-20
32-22
26-29
22-24
23-17
18-36
31-14
18-16
28-27
16-23
23-19
22-17
13-18
168.3Avg total
85.1Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.183.2168.3+1.960%
Last 5 (5)91.887.0178.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.879.2156.0-2.440%
vs Similar (16)80.580.3160.8+0.269%
vs Weaker (9)87.981.6169.4+6.367%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A08/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
99-87
99
87
+12
H14/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A22/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
94-62
94
62
+32
H25/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H29/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A05/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
97-68
97
68
+29
A12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A25/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
106-89
106
89
+17
H01/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
20-20
18-14
14-18
22-20
32-23
23-22
22-22
17-22
21-21
19-27
20-21
22-11
23-14
20-21
29-16
24-20
22-20
17-16
20-14
21-17
21-8
13-25
28-27
22-14
28-15
21-21
26-18
19-8
27-20
16-20
28-12
21-21
23-18
19-16
20-16
25-25
27-22
29-11
25-31
163.1Avg total
87.8Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.875.3163.1+12.580%
Last 5 (5)91.873.0164.8+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.374.3150.7+2.067%
vs Similar (7)75.976.1152.0-0.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)84.772.8157.6+11.990%
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.7+3.7
CremonaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H08/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A15/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H21/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A18/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H02/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A09/02
Lega A
88.9Avg total
46.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.542.385.8+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.941.586.4+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)42.143.185.3-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)46.842.188.9+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)49.045.894.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)44.038.082.0+6.080%-
vs Similar (16)41.743.985.6-2.250%-
vs Weaker (9)46.442.088.4+4.444%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A08/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H14/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H25/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H29/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A05/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A25/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H01/02
Lega A
81.6Avg total
45.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.136.077.1+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.335.476.7+5.971%-
Last 30 away (13)40.836.877.6+3.954%-
Last 10 (10)45.136.581.6+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)46.833.680.4+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.333.073.3+7.367%-
vs Similar (7)36.637.073.6-0.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.836.178.9+6.675%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
49%
30%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.324.2
54.6%
55.6%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.2
33.2%
33.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.014.5
76.3%
77.6%14.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
49%
30%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.622.3
59.3%
55.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.7
37.0%
33.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.413.3
68.6%
77.6%13.3
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Aug 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LWWWWLLWLW
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWWWLWL
#14
League position
#2
+3.2
Net rating
+17.2
116.7
Offensive rating
117.8
113.5
Defensive rating
100.6
53.0%
Effective FG%
57.8%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
17.2%
Turnover %
18.2%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.2%
3-point %
37.0%
55.1%
Assist %
67.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 117.8Defence113.5 · 100.6Shooting53.0% · 57.8%3-point %33.2% · 37.0%Ball care17.2% · 18.2%Off. rebounds35.8% · 32.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Cremona   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Cremona wins
2
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
08/12/19Cremona v Virtus Bologna78-66
16/02/19Virtus Bologna v Cremona91-102
09/02/19Cremona v Virtus Bologna87-70
28/10/18Virtus Bologna v Cremona66-84
31/03/18Cremona v Virtus Bologna91-78
03/12/17Virtus Bologna v Cremona79-78
26/03/16Virtus Bologna v Cremona73-66
06/12/15Cremona v Virtus Bologna73-63
12/04/15Cremona v Virtus Bologna81-76
20/12/14Virtus Bologna v Cremona70-83
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20AOlimpia Milano74-77
02/02/20HReggiana95-93
26/01/20HVirtus Roma103-92
18/01/20ATreviso94-84
05/01/20HBrindisi93-89
30/12/19ASassari74-84
26/12/19ABrescia76-91
21/12/19HVarese93-72
15/12/19APistoia71-84
08/12/19HVirtus Bologna78-66
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/20HPesaro106-89
25/01/20AVenezia83-71
18/01/20HPistoia90-60
12/01/20AVirtus Roma97-68
05/01/20ATrento83-77
29/12/19HOlimpia Milano83-70
25/12/19HFortitudo Bologna94-62
22/12/19ASassari77-91
14/12/19HBrindisi99-87
08/12/19ACremona66-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A - Super Cup 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Virtus Bologna
Lega A - Super Cup 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano220100%105.574.0+31.5
2 Cantu1010%71.0101.0-30.0
3 Varese1010%77.0110.0-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona2210241066
Virtus Bologna1721242587
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