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Limburg vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 80-77
26-18 16-17 16-25 22-17
Position#4
Record16-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game72.2
Limburg 🏆
vs
Donar Groningen
Position#13
Record10-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game70.7
EuropeBNXT League· Sporthal Alverberg
Other2023-24
Meetings · Limburg v Donar Groningen
31 Jan 2027
LIMB v DGR
upcoming
14 Nov 2025
LIMB79
DGR82
07 Mar 2025
LIMB83
DGR66
05 Apr 2024
LIMB80
DGR77
01 Jun 2023
LIMB87
DGR67
07 Apr 2023
LIMB77
DGR88
20 May 2022
LIMB70
DGR78
25 Oct 2016
LIMB90
DGR97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Limburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LimburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimburg
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
77-68
77
68
+9
68avg 69
H26/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
66-84
66
84
-18
53avg 69
A02/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
80-67
80
67
+13
79avg 69
H09/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
87-73
87
73
+14
84avg 69
A14/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
61avg 69
H17/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
W
70-64
70
64
+6
64avg 69
A03/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#3
W
70-58
70
58
+12
56avg 69
A10/03
Belgian Cup
BAL Weert
#15
W
75-60
75
60
+15
68avg 69
H15/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
61-75
61
75
-14
48avg 69
A23/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
86-95
86
95
-9
78avg 69
A29/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
13-17
29-10
18-17
23-28
7-9
20-26
16-21
22-23
14-13
25-14
19-17
17-24
20-17
23-25
27-7
15-29
16-24
29-23
11-14
21-8
24-18
15-22
10-16
16-20
16-14
19-17
19-7
13-12
16-19
30-14
16-15
20-17
15-16
15-17
11-25
7-32
37-17
22-30
20-16
147.7Avg total
74.3Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.072.2149.2+4.767%
Season at home (11)77.271.1148.3+6.164%
Season away (13)76.873.2150.0+3.569%
Last 10 (10)74.373.4147.7+0.960%
Last 5 (5)72.470.4142.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.879.8149.5-10.025%
vs Similar (12)75.771.2146.8+4.558%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)78.566.6145.1+11.892%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#7
L
62-72
62
72
-10
no box
A17/12
DBL Cup
BAL Weert
#15
W
64-59
64
59
+5
56avg 64
A23/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
87-63
87
63
+24
88avg 64
A06/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
L
59-72
59
72
-13
48avg 64
A28/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
68-92
68
92
-24
71avg 64
A10/02
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
62-70
62
70
-8
48avg 64
H17/02
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
81-75
81
75
+6
74avg 64
H06/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
75avg 64
A19/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
78-72
78
72
+6
71avg 64
H23/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
55avg 64
H01/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
13-18
14-20
17-20
23-20
16-12
11-5
14-22
21-20
22-15
21-15
23-13
11-14
16-22
15-14
17-22
22-20
9-29
21-24
16-19
9-17
13-16
19-15
21-22
21-17
15-14
22-19
23-25
13-16
19-25
20-27
24-18
17-22
18-13
14-14
29-23
21-26
18-26
15-21
14-21
146.0Avg total
70.5Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)71.870.7142.4+1.150%
Season at home (11)70.068.3138.3+1.755%
Season away (9)74.073.6147.6+0.444%
Last 10 (10)70.575.5146.0-5.040%
Last 5 (5)73.079.4152.4-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.079.8151.8-7.833%
vs Similar (11)68.275.2143.4-7.027%
vs Weaker (12)72.463.7136.1+8.867%
This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
LimburgDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LimburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H26/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A02/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H09/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A14/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
H17/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A03/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#3
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A10/03
Belgian Cup
BAL Weert
#15
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H15/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A23/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A29/03
BNXT League
73.0Avg total
34.9Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.236.773.8+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.536.973.4-0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)37.736.574.2+1.247%-
Last 10 (10)34.938.173.0-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)37.034.671.6+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.239.573.8-5.225%-
vs Similar (12)37.937.275.2+0.742%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)37.635.072.6+2.662%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#7
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A17/12
DBL Cup
BAL Weert
#15
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A23/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A06/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A28/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A10/02
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H17/02
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H06/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A19/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H23/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H01/04
BNXT League
71.1Avg total
33.5Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.136.371.4-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.836.070.8-1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)35.436.672.1-1.236%-
Last 10 (10)33.537.671.1-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)32.838.471.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.240.876.0-5.733%-
vs Similar (11)32.638.671.3-6.018%-
vs Weaker (12)36.832.269.0+4.767%-
This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Limburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limburg: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.319.1
47.4%
52.2%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.68.0
38.8%
33.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.111.1
64.9%
71.4%11.1
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.7
50.0%
52.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.4
35.4%
33.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws15.610.6
67.9%
71.4%10.6
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Limburg
LLWWWLWWLW
Donar Groningen
LWLWLLLWWL
#4
League position
#13
+0.7
Net rating
-2.0
102.6
Offensive rating
99.8
101.9
Defensive rating
101.8
51.1%
Effective FG%
51.3%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
17.1%
Turnover %
21.9%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.8%
3-point %
35.4%
62.4%
Assist %
63.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 99.8Defence101.9 · 101.8Shooting51.1% · 51.3%3-point %38.8% · 35.4%Ball care17.1% · 21.9%Off. rebounds25.9% · 30.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Limburg   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Limburg wins
7
Donar Groningen wins
DateGameScore
03/06/23Donar Groningen v Limburg97-88
01/06/23Limburg v Donar Groningen87-67
07/04/23Limburg v Donar Groningen77-88
18/03/23Donar Groningen v Limburg68-66
24/05/22Donar Groningen v Limburg110-88
20/05/22Limburg v Donar Groningen70-78
15/11/16Donar Groningen v Limburg98-70
25/10/16Limburg v Donar Groningen90-97
Limburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/24ADen Bosch86-95
23/03/24ALeiden61-75
15/03/24HBAL Weert75-60
10/03/24ASpirou Charleroi70-58
03/03/24AZwolle70-64
17/02/24HOostende71-90
14/02/24ALeuven Bears87-73
09/02/24HCircus Brussels80-67
02/02/24AAntwerp Giants66-84
26/01/24HOkapi Aalst77-68
Donar Groningenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/24HOostende68-94
23/03/24HSpirou Charleroi78-72
19/03/24AAntwerp Giants76-86
06/03/24HLiege81-75
17/02/24HFeyenoord62-70
10/02/24ADen Bosch68-92
28/01/24AZwolle59-72
06/01/24AQSTA Utd87-63
23/12/23ABAL Weert64-59
17/12/23AZwolle62-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Limburg
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL67%
HomeLWWLW64%
AwayLWWLL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %67%64%69%
Points / game77.077.276.8
Allowed / game72.271.173.2
Point differential+4.7+6.1+3.5
Avg total149.2148.3150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%55%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWLWWL55%
AwayWWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %50%55%44%
Points / game71.870.074.0
Allowed / game70.768.373.6
Point differential+1.1+1.7+0.4
Avg total142.4138.3147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%27%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2422292%81.270.7+10.5
2 Den Bosch2118386%82.771.1+11.6
3 Antwerp Giants2418675%82.072.2+9.8
4 Leiden2015575%77.669.5+8.1
5 Limburg2416867%77.072.2+4.7
6 Zwolle2012860%75.769.5+6.2
7 Spirou Charleroi24131154%73.074.7-1.6
8 Liege25131252%79.279.5-0.3
9 Donar Groningen20101050%71.870.7+1.1
10 Circus Brussels25121348%78.677.2+1.4
11 BAL Weert2091145%71.074.3-3.4
12 Mechelen25111444%76.476.8-0.3
13 Leuven Bears25101540%75.978.1-2.2
14 Kortrijk26101638%77.980.4-2.5
15 Belfius Mons2591636%76.881.5-4.7
16 Feyenoord2171433%73.380.8-7.4
17 LWD Basket2161529%78.084.1-6.1
18 QSTA Utd2161529%72.879.1-6.4
19 Okapi Aalst2571828%76.280.8-4.6
20 Den Helder2251723%67.180.5-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Limburg2616162280
Donar Groningen1817251777
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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