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Leiden vs Limburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 75-61
17-20 16-15 17-15 25-11
Position#5
Record13-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game69.5
Leiden 🏆
vs
Position#4
Record16-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game71.1
EuropeBNXT League· Vijf Meihal
Other2023-24
Meetings · Leiden v Limburg
23 Jan 2027
LEI v LIMB
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
LEI75
LIMB77
05 Oct 2024
LEI66
LIMB86
23 Mar 2024
LEI75
LIMB61
15 Apr 2023
LEI59
LIMB55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Limburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#1
W
70-58
70
58
+12
no box
H18/01
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#1
L
72-87 OT
72
87
-15
no box
A21/01
DBL Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
L
77-90
77
90
-13
76avg 69
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
BAL Weert
#15
W
72-64
72
64
+8
65avg 69
H27/01
BNXT League
Varese
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
75avg 69
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#2
L
57-78
57
78
-21
56avg 69
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#20
W
86-60
86
60
+26
98avg 69
H10/02
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
82-101
82
101
-19
73avg 69
A17/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
70-45
70
45
+25
72avg 69
H02/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
68-75
68
75
-7
60avg 69
A16/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
15-22
13-16
21-8
21-21
10-17
14-21
21-19
27-21
16-24
13-20
21-25
15-13
16-16
23-20
18-15
19-27
27-13
19-18
16-19
15-16
16-25
11-21
15-16
23-15
20-22
20-17
23-6
26-26
19-25
17-18
20-32
11-10
22-11
14-14
23-10
20-17
19-24
19-16
10-18
147.0Avg total
73.5Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.469.5146.9+7.972%
Season at home (9)77.162.7139.8+14.489%
Season away (9)77.776.3154.0+1.356%
Last 10 (10)73.573.5147.0+0.050%
Last 5 (5)72.671.8144.4+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)66.879.2146.0-12.422%
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.868.0141.8+5.878%
vs Weaker (10)80.170.7150.8+9.480%
This opponent (Limburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LimburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimburg
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#5
W
77-64
77
64
+13
76avg 70
H19/01
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#5
W
71-47
71
47
+24
72avg 70
A21/01
Belgian Cup
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
77-68
77
68
+9
68avg 70
H26/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
66-84
66
84
-18
53avg 70
A02/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
80-67
80
67
+13
79avg 70
H09/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
87-73
87
73
+14
84avg 70
A14/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
61avg 70
H17/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
W
70-64
70
64
+6
64avg 70
A03/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#3
W
70-58
70
58
+12
56avg 70
A10/03
Belgian Cup
BAL Weert
#15
W
75-60
75
60
+15
68avg 70
H15/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
23-23
12-17
19-13
13-12
24-15
18-9
16-11
17-24
13-17
29-10
18-17
23-28
7-9
20-26
16-21
22-23
14-13
25-14
19-17
17-24
20-17
23-25
27-7
15-29
16-24
29-23
11-14
21-8
24-18
15-22
10-16
16-20
16-14
19-17
19-7
13-12
16-19
30-14
16-15
141.9Avg total
74.4Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.371.1148.4+6.273%
Season at home (11)77.271.1148.3+6.164%
Season away (11)77.471.1148.5+6.382%
Last 10 (10)74.467.5141.9+6.980%
Last 5 (5)74.669.0143.6+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.284.8157.0-12.733%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.168.4144.5+7.770%
vs Weaker (13)78.566.6145.1+11.892%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
LeidenLimburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H18/01
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A21/01
DBL Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
BAL Weert
#15
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H27/01
BNXT League
Varese
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#20
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H10/02
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A17/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H02/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A16/03
BNXT League
75.5Avg total
37.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.835.172.0+1.759%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.034.670.6+1.471%-
Last 30 away (15)37.635.773.3+1.947%-
Last 10 (10)37.837.775.5+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.276.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.840.474.2-6.722%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.032.467.4+2.667%-
vs Weaker (10)40.134.374.4+5.880%-
This opponent (Limburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LimburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H19/01
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#5
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A21/01
Belgian Cup
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H26/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A02/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H09/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A14/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
H17/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A03/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#3
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A10/03
Belgian Cup
BAL Weert
#15
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H15/03
BNXT League
71.3Avg total
35.3Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.537.374.9+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.637.575.1+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)37.437.274.6+0.244%-
Last 10 (10)35.336.071.3-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)34.837.071.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.843.381.2-5.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.636.574.1+1.140%-
vs Weaker (13)37.635.072.6+2.662%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.8 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.4
51.8%
52.2%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.17.1
39.2%
33.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws11.97.8
65.5%
71.4%7.8
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Limburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limburg: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.7
48.6%
52.2%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.17.5
39.3%
33.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.211.9
69.2%
71.4%11.9
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LWLWLWWLLW
Limburg
WWWLWWLWWW
#5
League position
#4
-3.0
Net rating
+9.7
98.8
Offensive rating
103.8
101.8
Defensive rating
94.1
54.0%
Effective FG%
51.9%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
20.0%
Turnover %
17.4%
21.1%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.2%
3-point %
39.3%
68.4%
Assist %
64.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 103.8Defence101.8 · 94.1Shooting54.0% · 51.9%3-point %39.2% · 39.3%Ball care20.0% · 17.4%Off. rebounds21.1% · 26.0%Free throws0.20 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Leiden   ■ Limburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Leiden wins
0
Limburg wins
DateGameScore
15/04/23Leiden v Limburg59-55
24/03/23Limburg v Leiden70-73
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24AOostende68-75
02/03/24HSpirou Charleroi70-45
17/02/24ALWD Basket82-101
10/02/24HDen Helder86-60
07/02/24AChemnitz57-78
31/01/24HVarese81-77
27/01/24HBAL Weert72-64
24/01/24ACSM Oradea77-90
21/01/24ADen Bosch72-87 OT
18/01/24HDen Bosch70-58
Limburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24HBAL Weert75-60
10/03/24ASpirou Charleroi70-58
03/03/24AZwolle70-64
17/02/24HOostende71-90
14/02/24ALeuven Bears87-73
09/02/24HCircus Brussels80-67
02/02/24AAntwerp Giants66-84
26/01/24HOkapi Aalst77-68
21/01/24ALeuven Bears71-47
19/01/24HLeuven Bears77-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL72%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWLWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %72%89%56%
Points / game77.477.177.7
Allowed / game69.562.776.3
Point differential+7.9+14.4+1.3
Avg total146.9139.8154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Limburg
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeLWWLW64%
AwayWWLWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%64%82%
Points / game77.377.277.4
Allowed / game71.171.171.1
Point differential+6.2+6.1+6.3
Avg total148.4148.3148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%55%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2321291%80.770.8+9.8
2 Den Bosch1916384%81.269.8+11.3
3 Antwerp Giants2317674%82.072.4+9.6
4 Limburg2216673%77.371.1+6.2
5 Leiden1813572%77.469.5+7.9
6 Zwolle1912763%75.969.0+6.9
7 Liege2213959%79.078.1+0.9
8 Spirou Charleroi22121055%72.974.6-1.8
9 Donar Groningen189950%71.769.3+2.4
10 Circus Brussels23111248%78.877.1+1.7
11 Mechelen22101245%76.177.0-0.8
12 BAL Weert1881044%70.373.3-3.1
13 Kortrijk24101442%78.079.7-1.7
14 Leuven Bears2381535%75.779.0-3.3
15 Feyenoord1961332%72.480.6-8.2
16 Belfius Mons2371630%76.482.4-6.0
17 QSTA Utd1951426%73.380.1-6.8
18 Okapi Aalst2361726%76.381.7-5.4
19 Den Helder2051525%67.279.9-12.7
20 LWD Basket1841422%76.884.7-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden1716172575
Limburg2015151161
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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