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Limburg vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 83-66
30-11 21-25 21-11 11-19
Position#4
Record14-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game74.9
Limburg 🏆
vs
Donar Groningen
Position#14
Record7-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game85.9
EuropeBNXT League· Sporthal Alverberg
Other2024-25
Meetings · Limburg v Donar Groningen
31 Jan 2027
LIMB v DGR
upcoming
14 Nov 2025
LIMB79
DGR82
07 Mar 2025
LIMB83
DGR66
05 Apr 2024
LIMB80
DGR77
01 Jun 2023
LIMB87
DGR67
07 Apr 2023
LIMB77
DGR88
20 May 2022
LIMB70
DGR78
25 Oct 2016
LIMB90
DGR97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Limburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LimburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimburg
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
73-85
73
85
-12
61avg 72
A17/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
65-76
65
76
-11
55avg 72
A26/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#7
W
71-68
71
68
+3
no box
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Antwerp Giants
#7
L
78-91 OT
78
91
-13
no box
A05/01
Belgian Cup
LWD Basket
#10
W
75-57
75
57
+18
72avg 72
H10/01
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
94-79
94
79
+15
92avg 72
A17/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
73-69
73
69
+4
68avg 72
A22/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
57-85
57
85
-28
39avg 72
A26/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
69-77
69
77
-8
61avg 72
A08/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
107-85
107
85
+22
115avg 72
A16/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
21-16
22-27
15-25
18-21
17-21
14-19
16-15
17-24
13-20
21-17
20-7
19-14
19-19
15-18
16-21
26-14
17-15
17-15
15-13
25-26
22-24
16-17
31-12
19-21
14-11
20-21
20-16
13-28
18-22
6-21
20-14
21-15
18-19
14-22
16-21
22-18
24-24
29-18
32-25
153.4Avg total
76.2Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.074.9155.9+6.167%
Season at home (8)86.267.0153.2+19.2100%
Season away (13)77.879.8157.5-2.046%
Last 10 (10)76.277.2153.4-1.050%
Last 5 (5)80.079.0159.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.284.5157.7-11.30%
vs Similar (9)75.677.0152.6-1.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.173.7158.8+11.486%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
78-112
78
112
-34
70avg 72
H11/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
79-124
79
124
-45
63avg 72
A17/01
BNXT League
Tartu Ulikool
#14
L
70-89
70
89
-19
62avg 72
H21/01
ENBL
Den Bosch
#8
L
98-102
98
102
-4
85avg 72
H23/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 72
H26/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#7
W
84-79
84
79
+5
no box
H28/01
DBL Cup
Opava
#6
L
86-88
86
88
-2
80avg 72
A04/02
ENBL
Mechelen
#3
L
75-85
75
85
-10
68avg 72
H08/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 72
H16/02
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
71-113
71
113
-42
65avg 72
A01/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
17-27
21-23
18-30
19-30
20-29
19-32
21-33
12-19
25-21
22-23
11-26
16-25
19-20
30-27
33-30
23-18
18-16
21-19
20-23
28-11
12-25
16-20
28-23
19-34
16-17
24-25
27-12
17-26
24-20
17-19
17-20
20-15
26-23
23-28
22-18
13-38
14-26
26-19
18-30
176.6Avg total
81.4Scored
95.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.285.9163.1-8.733%
Season at home (11)78.584.5162.9-6.036%
Season away (10)75.887.5163.3-11.730%
Last 10 (10)81.495.2176.6-13.830%
Last 5 (5)81.489.8171.2-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.590.7168.2-13.211%
vs Similar (4)83.280.0163.2+3.250%
vs Weaker (7)76.975.4152.3+1.471%
This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -3.0-3.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -3.0-3.0
LimburgDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LimburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A17/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A26/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#7
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Antwerp Giants
#7
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A05/01
Belgian Cup
LWD Basket
#10
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H10/01
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A17/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A22/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A26/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A16/02
BNXT League
76.7Avg total
37.8Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.478.5+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.333.276.6+10.183%-
Last 30 away (18)37.941.879.7-3.839%-
Last 10 (10)37.838.976.7-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.680.8-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.042.778.7-6.733%-
vs Similar (9)39.038.377.3+0.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.436.878.1+4.664%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H11/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A17/01
BNXT League
Tartu Ulikool
#14
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H21/01
ENBL
Den Bosch
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H23/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H26/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H28/01
DBL Cup
Opava
#6
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A04/02
ENBL
Mechelen
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H08/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H16/02
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
27-64
27
64
-37
A01/03
BNXT League
85.2Avg total
38.0Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.980.9-3.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.241.882.0-1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)37.642.179.6-4.536%-
Last 10 (10)38.047.285.2-9.230%-
Last 5 (5)37.847.084.8-9.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.244.281.3-7.033%-
vs Similar (4)40.539.079.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (7)41.139.180.3+2.071%-
This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Limburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limburg: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.2
51.3%
52.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.4
34.1%
34.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.215.0
70.8%
71.9%15.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.1
54.3%
52.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.9
36.1%
34.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.112.6
78.3%
71.9%12.6
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Limburg
WLLWWWLWLL
Donar Groningen
LWLLWWLLLL
#4
League position
#14
+3.5
Net rating
-17.6
106.8
Offensive rating
105.9
103.3
Defensive rating
123.5
51.3%
Effective FG%
54.2%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
58.7%
18.2%
Turnover %
20.9%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.1%
3-point %
36.1%
64.3%
Assist %
60.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 105.9Defence103.3 · 123.5Shooting51.3% · 54.2%3-point %34.1% · 36.1%Ball care18.2% · 20.9%Off. rebounds31.9% · 26.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Limburg   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Limburg wins
7
Donar Groningen wins
DateGameScore
22/04/24Donar Groningen v Limburg85-93
05/04/24Limburg v Donar Groningen80-77
03/06/23Donar Groningen v Limburg97-88
01/06/23Limburg v Donar Groningen87-67
07/04/23Limburg v Donar Groningen77-88
18/03/23Donar Groningen v Limburg68-66
24/05/22Donar Groningen v Limburg110-88
20/05/22Limburg v Donar Groningen70-78
15/11/16Donar Groningen v Limburg98-70
25/10/16Limburg v Donar Groningen90-97
Limburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25AQSTA Utd107-85
08/02/25ADen Helder69-77
26/01/25ADen Bosch57-85
22/01/25AAntwerp Giants73-69
17/01/25AFeyenoord94-79
10/01/25HLWD Basket75-57
05/01/25AAntwerp Giants78-91 OT
03/01/25HAntwerp Giants71-68
26/12/24AMechelen65-76
17/12/24ASpirou Charleroi73-85
Donar Groningenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AAntwerp Giants71-113
16/02/25HOkapi Aalst91-84
08/02/25HMechelen75-85
04/02/25AOpava86-88
28/01/25HLWD Basket84-79
26/01/25HLeuven Bears82-76
23/01/25HDen Bosch98-102
21/01/25HTartu Ulikool70-89
17/01/25AKortrijk79-124
11/01/25HOostende78-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Limburg
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21813
Win %67%100%46%
Points / game81.086.277.8
Allowed / game74.967.079.8
Point differential+6.1+19.2-2.0
Avg total155.9153.2157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%62%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeLLWLW36%
AwayLWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %33%36%30%
Points / game77.278.575.8
Allowed / game85.984.587.5
Point differential-8.7-6.0-11.7
Avg total163.1162.9163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%9%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2320387%90.775.3+15.4
2 Kortrijk2218482%96.877.5+19.3
3 Mechelen2317674%80.874.4+6.3
4 Limburg2114767%81.074.9+6.1
5 Circus Brussels2315865%78.376.3+2.0
6 Spirou Charleroi2314961%80.473.6+6.8
7 Okapi Aalst23131057%82.678.6+4.0
8 Antwerp Giants22121055%80.979.7+1.2
9 Den Bosch24131154%82.181.2+1.0
10 Leuven Bears23121152%79.775.4+4.3
11 Belfius Mons23121152%80.778.8+1.8
12 LWD Basket23121152%80.683.3-2.7
13 Leiden23111248%76.880.7-3.9
14 Zwolle2381535%80.584.3-3.9
15 Donar Groningen2171433%77.285.9-8.7
16 Den Helder2371630%70.983.2-12.3
17 Feyenoord2361726%80.889.8-9.0
18 BAL Weert2332013%69.784.1-14.4
19 QSTA Utd232219%77.390.1-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Limburg3021211183
Donar Groningen1125111966
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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