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Limburg vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 70-74
21-21 21-14 16-14 12-25
Position#26
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
PAOK 🏆
Position#9
Record-
FormLLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 1· Sporthal Alverberg
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Limburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LimburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimburg
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#5
W
81-69
81
69
+12
79avg 71
H12/05
Pro Basketball League
Antwerp Giants
#2
W
81-76
81
76
+5
74avg 71
A15/05
Pro Basketball League
Antwerp Giants
#2
L
66-77
66
77
-11
57avg 71
H17/05
Pro Basketball League
Antwerp Giants
#2
L
68-90
68
90
-22
58avg 71
A19/05
Pro Basketball League
Antwerp Giants
#2
W
71-70
71
70
+1
62avg 71
H22/05
Pro Basketball League
Antwerp Giants
#2
L
64-76
64
76
-12
58avg 71
A24/05
Pro Basketball League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
83-78
83
78
+5
76avg 71
A14/09
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
74-65
74
65
+9
69avg 71
H20/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
84-44
84
44
+40
76avg 71
H27/09
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
86-66
86
66
+20
86avg 71
A05/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
21-14
25-18
18-15
15-18
24-17
19-16
23-25
18-26
20-19
11-18
17-14
12-26
22-21
21-26
13-17
17-18
21-8
18-25
15-19
15-18
17-17
13-26
19-15
23-23
17-20
21-18
22-17
20-20
19-10
23-20
12-15
15-11
22-8
25-7
22-18
24-23
19-16
23-14
20-13
146.9Avg total
75.8Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.871.1146.9+4.770%
Last 5 (5)78.265.8144.0+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)69.680.4150.0-10.929%
vs Similar (13)76.072.6148.6+3.462%
vs Weaker (10)81.465.6147.0+15.8100%
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#17
W
87-63
87
63
+24
74avg 69
H30/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
85-89
85
89
-4
80avg 69
A06/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
85-70
85
70
+15
86avg 69
H14/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#9
L
91-99
91
99
-8
83avg 69
A21/04
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
77-62
77
62
+15
67avg 69
H27/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
66-84
66
84
-18
57avg 69
A16/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
96-99 OT
96
99
-3
86avg 69
H18/05
Basket League
CSM Oradea
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
76avg 69
H19/09
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#11
L
69-79
69
79
-10
62avg 69
H21/09
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
80-72
80
72
+8
73avg 69
A05/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
21-15
13-15
30-7
24-22
18-25
20-25
23-17
22-18
14-12
24-21
25-19
28-29
19-20
21-29
23-21
18-18
22-18
17-15
20-11
18-22
19-24
13-20
16-18
22-29
27-15
18-17
22-28
19-24
25-21
22-25
15-10
22-12
8-17
23-21
16-29
18-20
28-17
23-18
11-17
161.4Avg total
81.7Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.779.7161.4+2.050%
Last 5 (5)78.482.8161.2-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.986.1160.1-12.213%
vs Similar (12)77.278.4155.6-1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)87.066.5153.5+20.5100%
This opponent (Limburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
LimburgPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LimburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H12/05
Pro Basketball League
Antwerp Giants
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A15/05
Pro Basketball League
Antwerp Giants
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H17/05
Pro Basketball League
Antwerp Giants
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A19/05
Pro Basketball League
Antwerp Giants
#2
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H22/05
Pro Basketball League
Antwerp Giants
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A24/05
Pro Basketball League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/09
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H20/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
37-19
37
19
+18
H27/09
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A05/10
BNXT League
73.3Avg total
37.8Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.737.174.8+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.235.973.1+1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)38.138.376.4-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)37.835.573.3+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.233.271.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.639.774.3-5.129%-
vs Similar (13)37.837.274.9+0.638%-
vs Weaker (10)39.735.274.9+4.570%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#17
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H30/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A06/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H14/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#9
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A21/04
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H27/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A16/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H18/05
Basket League
CSM Oradea
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H19/09
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#11
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H21/09
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A05/10
Basket League
81.9Avg total
41.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.978.8-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.138.478.4+1.765%-
Last 30 away (13)37.541.879.4-4.315%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.481.9+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.281.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.343.680.9-6.313%-
vs Similar (12)39.936.776.6+3.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)43.536.580.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Limburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Limburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limburg: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.9
52.0%
52.6%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.3
36.1%
34.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.814.4
72.7%
72.6%14.4
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.6
50.5%
52.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.1
34.2%
34.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.012.1
63.7%
72.6%12.1
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Limburg
WWWWLWLLWW
PAOK
WLWLLWLWLW
#26
League position
#9
+6.4
Net rating
+2.4
104.4
Offensive rating
106.1
98.0
Defensive rating
103.8
52.9%
Effective FG%
50.8%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
18.6%
Turnover %
17.4%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.1%
3-point %
34.2%
60.3%
Assist %
58.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 106.1Defence98.0 · 103.8Shooting52.9% · 50.8%3-point %36.1% · 34.2%Ball care18.6% · 17.4%Off. rebounds22.8% · 34.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Limburg   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Limburg wins
0
PAOK wins
No previous meetings.
Limburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24ALeiden86-66
27/09/24HDen Helder84-44
20/09/24HMechelen74-65
14/09/24ABelfius Mons83-78
24/05/24AAntwerp Giants64-76
22/05/24HAntwerp Giants71-70
19/05/24AAntwerp Giants68-90
17/05/24HAntwerp Giants66-77
15/05/24AAntwerp Giants81-76
12/05/24HMechelen81-69
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24APeristeri80-72
21/09/24HPetkim Spor69-79
19/09/24HCSM Oradea81-80
18/05/24HPanathinaikos96-99 OT
16/05/24APanathinaikos66-84
27/04/24HMaroussi77-62
21/04/24AAEK Athens91-99
14/04/24HAS Karditsas85-70
06/04/24ALavrio85-89
30/03/24HApollon Patras87-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Limburg
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
PAOK
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek110100%114.071.0+43.0
2 Dijon330100%106.071.3+34.7
3 Basketball Braunschweig110100%89.059.0+30.0
4 Bilbao330100%88.060.0+28.0
5 Ludwigsburg110100%86.062.0+24.0
6 Maroussi330100%101.078.7+22.3
7 Basket Zaragoza110100%106.084.0+22.0
8 Antwerp Giants110100%88.070.0+18.0
9 Tofas110100%99.081.0+18.0
10 Cholet110100%90.075.0+15.0
11 Sassari110100%82.069.0+13.0
12 Levice110100%83.072.0+11.0
13 BC Kalev/Cramo110100%66.063.0+3.0
14 Arges Pitesti110100%67.065.0+2.0
15 CSM Oradea110100%77.075.0+2.0
16 Alba Fehervar32167%96.391.3+5.0
17 Anorthosis32167%80.077.3+2.7
18 BC Prievidza32167%87.786.0+1.7
19 Sporting CP31233%72.374.3-2.0
20 CSM Constanta31233%74.376.7-2.3
21 BC Dnipro31233%71.089.0-18.0
22 Parnu1010%65.067.0-2.0
23 Spojnia Stargard1010%75.077.0-2.0
24 Le Portel1010%63.066.0-3.0
25 Spirou Charleroi2020%70.574.0-3.5
26 Kutaisi1010%69.077.0-8.0
27 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
28 Rilski Sportist1010%88.0100.0-12.0
29 Fribourg Olympic1010%75.090.0-15.0
30 Keravnos1010%81.099.0-18.0
31 Norrkoping1010%80.099.0-19.0
32 Bursaspor1010%84.0106.0-22.0
33 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
34 Caledonia Gladiators1010%62.086.0-24.0
35 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
36 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
37 AEK Larnaca1010%59.089.0-30.0
38 Balkan1010%55.095.0-40.0
39 Trepca1010%73.0118.0-45.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 39 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Limburg2121161270
PAOK2114142574
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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