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AEK Athens vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 14:15
Final 99-91
29-28 20-19 29-21 21-23
Position#9
Record11-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Position#10
Record10-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game79.4
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 4· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · AEK Athens v PAOK
16 Jan 2027
AAT v PAK
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
AAT76
PAK78
27 Apr 2025
AAT89
PAK85
05 Apr 2025
AAT89
PAK76
19 Jan 2025
AAT91
PAK68
21 Apr 2024
AAT99
PAK91
25 Nov 2023
AAT90
PAK70
27 Dec 2022
AAT71
PAK83
22 Jan 2022
AAT72
PAK67
16 May 2021
AAT87
PAK81
11 May 2021
AAT102
PAK89
27 Jan 2021
AAT76
PAK56
05 Dec 2020
AAT85
PAK84
28 Mar 2020
AAT v PAK
upcoming
13 Mar 2019
AAT62
PAK63
13 Oct 2018
AAT91
PAK71
19 May 2018
AAT88
PAK93
11 Apr 2018
AAT72
PAK81
25 Feb 2017
AAT77
PAK71
06 May 2015
AAT85
PAK93
13 Feb 2011
AAT73
PAK80
17 Apr 2010
AAT73
PAK90
04 Apr 2009
AAT93
PAK85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
PAOK
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
94avg 80
A02/03
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
108-112 OT
108
112
-4
101avg 80
H05/03
Champions League
Promitheas
#7
L
87-91
87
91
-4
87avg 80
H09/03
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
89-100
89
100
-11
81avg 80
A12/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
90-82
90
82
+8
90avg 80
A16/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
L
67-79
67
79
-12
63avg 80
H20/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
97-101
97
101
-4
no box
H23/03
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
88-85
88
85
+3
79avg 80
H01/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
79-89
79
89
-10
71avg 80
A06/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
100-67
100
67
+33
104avg 80
H14/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
22-22
23-16
27-24
18-15
20-21
19-25
20-16
14-17
18-23
29-20
26-31
15-35
29-20
19-24
26-21
24-17
23-20
23-22
20-23
12-11
17-20
17-24
21-24
29-29
22-29
25-18
21-25
13-20
28-19
25-21
22-25
13-26
29-24
16-25
21-14
31-10
19-13
30-23
20-21
179.0Avg total
89.9Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)87.185.6172.6+1.544%
Season at home (13)90.985.2176.1+5.854%
Season away (12)82.986.0168.9-3.133%
Last 10 (10)89.989.1179.0+0.840%
Last 5 (5)86.284.2170.4+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)84.392.4176.8-8.10%
vs Similar (10)85.686.8172.4-1.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.678.9168.5+10.770%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#17
W
87-70
87
70
+17
72avg 66
H03/02
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
63-77
63
77
-14
63avg 66
A11/02
Basket League
Aris
#25
L
74-76
74
76
-2
72avg 66
H15/02
Greek Cup
AEK Athens
#9
L
85-94
85
94
-9
75avg 66
H02/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
79-95
79
95
-16
68avg 66
A10/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
73-89
73
89
-16
70avg 66
H17/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
L
78-97
78
97
-19
no box
A24/03
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
87-63
87
63
+24
74avg 66
H30/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
85-89
85
89
-4
80avg 66
A06/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
85-70
85
70
+15
86avg 66
H14/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-10
18-22
21-18
23-20
22-24
14-16
15-18
12-19
25-11
18-18
14-17
17-30
23-22
22-22
16-23
24-27
19-20
28-25
15-34
17-16
22-24
20-22
16-18
15-25
26-23
15-19
18-29
19-26
23-26
21-15
13-15
30-7
24-22
18-25
20-25
23-17
22-18
14-12
24-21
25-19
161.6Avg total
79.6Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.079.4154.4-4.540%
Season at home (13)78.576.8155.3+1.862%
Season away (12)71.182.3153.4-11.217%
Last 10 (10)79.682.0161.6-2.430%
Last 5 (5)81.681.6163.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)70.983.9154.8-12.919%
vs Similar (10)78.280.4158.6-2.250%
vs Weaker (3)80.362.3142.7+18.0100%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
AEK AthensPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A02/03
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H05/03
Champions League
Promitheas
#7
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H09/03
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A12/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A16/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H23/03
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H01/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A06/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H14/04
Basket League
83.2Avg total
41.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.842.683.5-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.540.582.0+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.144.884.9-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)41.841.483.2+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.282.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.148.988.0-9.80%-
vs Similar (10)41.439.480.8+2.070%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.940.683.5+2.350%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#17
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H03/02
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/02
Basket League
Aris
#25
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H15/02
Greek Cup
AEK Athens
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H02/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A10/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H17/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A24/03
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H30/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A06/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H14/04
Basket League
81.5Avg total
41.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.577.0-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.937.777.6+2.265%-
Last 30 away (13)36.639.576.2-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.681.5+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.282.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.940.976.9-5.031%-
vs Similar (10)41.737.278.9+4.560%-
vs Weaker (3)39.733.072.7+6.7100%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.5
57.7%
52.4%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.8
31.0%
33.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.216.2
76.4%
71.5%16.2
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.622.6
54.3%
52.4%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.0
27.3%
33.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws19.214.0
72.9%
71.5%14.0
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WLWLLWLLLW
PAOK
WLWLLLLLLW
#9
League position
#10
-0.3
Net rating
-2.4
112.5
Offensive rating
103.2
112.7
Defensive rating
105.6
53.4%
Effective FG%
49.7%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.9%
Turnover %
18.7%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.0%
3-point %
27.3%
62.3%
Assist %
63.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 103.2Defence112.7 · 105.6Shooting53.4% · 49.7%3-point %31.0% · 27.3%Ball care16.9% · 18.7%Off. rebounds32.5% · 30.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ AEK Athens   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
AEK Athens wins
4
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24PAOK v AEK Athens85-94
25/11/23AEK Athens v PAOK90-70
01/04/23PAOK v AEK Athens78-72
27/12/22AEK Athens v PAOK71-83
14/05/22PAOK v AEK Athens96-72
22/01/22AEK Athens v PAOK72-67
16/05/21AEK Athens v PAOK87-81
13/05/21PAOK v AEK Athens81-73
11/05/21AEK Athens v PAOK102-89
13/03/21PAOK v AEK Athens85-87 OT
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HLavrio100-67
06/04/24AApollon Patras79-89
01/04/24HMaroussi88-85
23/03/24HPeristeri97-101
20/03/24HPromitheas67-79
16/03/24AMaroussi90-82
12/03/24AMurcia89-100
09/03/24HPromitheas87-91
05/03/24HHapoel Holon108-112 OT
02/03/24APAOK94-85
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HAS Karditsas85-70
06/04/24ALavrio85-89
30/03/24HApollon Patras87-63
24/03/24AAS Karditsas78-97
17/03/24HPanathinaikos73-89
10/03/24AKolossos Rhodes79-95
02/03/24HAEK Athens85-94
15/02/24HAris74-76
11/02/24AAris63-77
03/02/24HApollon Patras87-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW44%
HomeLLLWW54%
AwayWLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %44%54%33%
Points / game87.190.982.9
Allowed / game85.685.286.0
Point differential+1.5+5.8-3.1
Avg total172.6176.1168.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %40%62%17%
Points / game75.078.571.1
Allowed / game79.476.882.3
Point differential-4.5+1.8-11.2
Avg total154.4155.3153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W10100100%84.665.1+19.5
2 Panathinaikos2524196%85.670.2+15.4
3 Olympiacos2623388%84.669.3+15.3
4 Klaipedos Neptunas W97278%75.660.7+14.9
5 Kibirkstis Vilnius W129375%82.063.2+18.8
6 Peristeri26161062%82.876.2+6.6
7 Promitheas25151060%83.579.1+4.4
8 Aris26131350%75.076.1-1.1
9 AEK Athens25111444%87.185.6+1.5
10 PAOK25101540%75.079.4-4.5
11 Kolossos Rhodes26101638%81.184.4-3.3
12 Siauliai W114736%72.671.0+1.6
13 Maroussi2591636%82.286.1-3.9
14 Lavrio2591636%76.085.3-9.2
15 AS Karditsas2581732%75.481.0-5.6
16 Aistes LSU Kaunas W1221017%57.077.6-20.6
17 Apollon Patras2542116%67.483.7-16.3
18 Panevezys W121118%58.185.2-27.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2920292199
PAOK2819212391
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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