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Lithuania vs Turkey Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 81-84
18-21 22-25 19-20 22-18
Position-
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Turkey 🏆
Position-
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International
Other2025
Meetings · Lithuania v Turkey
26 Feb 2027
LITH v TURK
upcoming
20 Aug 2025
LITH81
TURK84
09 Sep 2014
LITH73
TURK61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lithuania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Turkey winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLithuania
Date
Competition
Greece
#25
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
H01/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
68-87
68
87
-19
no box
H05/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
H07/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
63-98
63
98
-35
no box
A09/09
World Cup
Poland
#24
W
83-64
83
64
+19
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
59-65
59
65
-6
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
82-67
82
67
+15
80avg 89
A21/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
94-72
94
72
+22
103avg 89
H24/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
82-48
82
48
+34
86avg 89
A21/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
78avg 89
H24/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
19-23
25-15
28-9
25-24
13-25
17-24
13-14
33-21
20-22
22-20
25-21
20-28
18-21
9-28
16-21
16-19
19-11
27-19
21-15
18-17
19-24
13-9
9-15
23-9
21-18
20-16
18-24
23-27
20-19
21-16
30-10
15-18
22-14
25-10
20-6
28-19
32-24
7-21
15-11
153.2Avg total
80.5Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.572.7153.2+7.870%
Last 5 (5)79.865.4145.2+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.290.0161.2-18.80%
vs Similar (9)84.378.0162.3+6.356%
vs Weaker (17)82.868.6151.4+14.288%
TurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTurkey
Date
Competition
Latvia
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
H24/02
World Cup
Belgium
#35
W
82-54
82
54
+28
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Italy
#9
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
W
76-75
76
75
+1
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
W
92-66
92
66
+26
84avg 68
H22/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
W
81-76
81
76
+5
71avg 68
A25/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
67-80
67
80
-13
56avg 68
H20/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
L
71-83
71
83
-12
66avg 68
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#3
L
71-73
71
73
-2
64avg 68
A15/08
DBB Supercup
Czech Republic
#4
W
79-65
79
65
+14
70avg 68
H16/08
DBB Supercup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
23-23
7-21
21-13
22-14
23-17
19-14
18-9
24-24
15-26
17-18
24-19
16-16
19-14
19-17
22-28
27-20
16-17
19-12
30-17
21-14
19-17
14-23
27-22
12-17
19-31
19-12
17-20
16-26
22-20
16-23
17-14
25-17
10-11
16-21
20-24
23-13
18-16
19-12
19-24
151.5Avg total
77.3Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.374.2151.5+3.150%
Last 5 (5)73.875.4149.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.681.8156.3-7.211%
vs Similar (12)77.873.0150.8+4.858%
vs Weaker (9)85.775.4161.1+10.278%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
LithuaniaTurkey
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LithuaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece
#25
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H01/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H05/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H07/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A09/09
World Cup
Poland
#24
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H22/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A26/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A21/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H24/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H24/02
EuroBasket
82.7Avg total
42.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.580.2+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.540.282.7+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)40.836.977.7+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)42.440.382.7+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.882.0+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.841.877.5-6.025%-
vs Similar (9)43.840.984.7+2.967%-
vs Weaker (17)41.936.578.4+5.471%-
TurkeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H24/02
World Cup
Belgium
#35
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A27/02
World Cup
Italy
#9
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A22/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H25/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H22/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A25/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H20/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A15/08
DBB Supercup
Czech Republic
#4
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H16/08
DBB Supercup
77.2Avg total
39.3Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.076.5+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.636.974.6+0.753%-
Last 30 away (13)39.739.479.1+0.346%-
Last 10 (10)39.337.977.2+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.473.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.744.280.9-7.611%-
vs Similar (12)38.535.373.8+3.267%-
vs Weaker (9)40.435.375.8+5.167%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lithuaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lithuania: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.217.3
53.9%
55.4%34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.8
38.3%
34.4%29.5
🏀 Free throws22.315.5
69.4%
74.1%15.5
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Turkeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turkey: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.6
53.0%
55.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.47.4
26.9%
34.4%22.1
🏀 Free throws18.114.8
81.4%
74.1%14.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/8 games with a box score before 20 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lithuania
WWWWLWLWLW
Turkey
WLLLWWWLWL
+21.8
Net rating
+1.8
112.2
Offensive rating
109.5
90.4
Defensive rating
107.7
55.5%
Effective FG%
47.7%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.6%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.3%
3-point %
26.9%
71.2%
Assist %
58.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 109.5Defence90.4 · 107.7Shooting55.5% · 47.7%3-point %38.3% · 26.9%Ball care17.0% · 16.6%Off. rebounds28.0% · 36.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Lithuania   ■ Turkey
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lithuania wins
0
Turkey wins
DateGameScore
09/09/14Lithuania v Turkey73-61
Lithuanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25HEstonia82-75
21/02/25APoland82-48
24/11/24HNorth Macedonia94-72
21/11/24ANorth Macedonia82-67
26/02/24AEstonia59-65
22/02/24HPoland83-64
09/09/23ALatvia63-98
07/09/23HSlovenia100-84
05/09/23HSerbia68-87
01/09/23HGreece92-67
Turkeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/08/25HCzech Republic79-65
15/08/25AGermany71-73
23/02/25AIceland71-83
20/02/25HItaly67-80
25/11/24AHungary81-76
22/11/24HHungary92-66
25/02/24HIceland76-75
22/02/24AItaly80-87
27/02/23ABelgium82-54
24/02/23HLatvia74-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lithuania
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Turkey
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lithuania1822192281
Turkey2125201884
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