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Llaneros vs Broncos Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 May 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 72-74
23-27 18-12 17-16 14-19
Position#16
Record2-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Broncos 🏆
Venezuela
Position#10
Record1-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game82.5
VenezuelaSuperliga· Domo Olímpico Hugo Chávez
Other2024
Meetings · Llaneros v Broncos
21 May 2024
LLAN72
BRON74
27 Apr 2023
LLAN78
BRON82
16 Apr 2023
LLAN69
BRON101
13 Sep 2022
LLAN83
BRON90
09 Aug 2022
LLAN67
BRON70
06 May 2021
LLAN77
BRON72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Llaneros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Broncos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LlanerosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlaneros
Date
Competition
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
72-91
72
91
-19
60avg 66
A24/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
73-92
73
92
-19
63avg 66
A25/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
73-102
73
102
-29
60avg 66
H28/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#18
W
76-72
76
72
+4
67avg 66
A02/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
89-72
89
72
+17
87avg 66
A07/05
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
80-88
80
88
-8
68avg 66
A10/05
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
L
61-63
61
63
-2
56avg 66
A11/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
71avg 66
A14/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
89-96
89
96
-7
81avg 66
H17/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
67-71 OT
67
71
-4
43avg 66
H19/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-34
21-21
16-16
16-20
13-26
16-19
25-19
19-28
18-24
15-30
25-26
15-22
24-16
20-24
9-16
23-16
24-15
27-15
23-21
15-21
18-25
31-17
14-22
17-24
15-22
17-19
17-13
12-9
14-18
21-20
23-28
23-25
23-13
22-26
19-27
25-30
20-15
19-16
16-16
8-16
159.9Avg total
76.1Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.679.0156.6-1.429%
Season at home (2)78.083.5161.5-5.50%
Season away (5)77.477.2154.6+0.240%
Last 10 (10)76.183.8159.9-7.720%
Last 5 (5)75.681.8157.4-6.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)77.389.4166.6-12.111%
vs Similar ◀ (3)75.373.3148.7+2.033%
vs Weaker (8)88.880.4169.1+8.488%
This opponent (Broncos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BroncosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBroncos
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
A05/06
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 71
H08/06
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
85-73
85
73
+12
81avg 71
H09/06
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
54avg 71
A12/06
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
84-93
84
93
-9
74avg 71
A03/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 71
A07/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
72-73
72
73
-1
no box
A09/05
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
65-89
65
89
-24
41avg 71
A12/05
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
68avg 71
H15/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
66avg 71
H18/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
18-20
20-20
21-20
25-18
14-26
12-32
22-6
27-17
24-18
16-17
18-21
13-20
28-25
18-16
10-19
13-24
20-22
27-28
24-19
27-8
12-19
7-21
30-23
17-19
23-17
11-23
21-14
10-17
15-33
17-19
23-20
20-17
24-19
15-23
22-28
18-26
24-17
22-19
15-20
156.9Avg total
76.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.282.5158.7-6.317%
Season at home (2)80.084.5164.5-4.50%
Season away (4)74.281.5155.8-7.225%
Last 10 (10)76.580.4156.9-3.930%
Last 5 (5)74.680.4155.0-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.281.6156.8-6.420%
vs Similar ◀ (1)81.087.0168.0-6.00%
vs Weaker (24)86.879.8166.5+7.062%
This opponent (Llaneros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
LlanerosBroncos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LlanerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A24/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A25/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H28/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#18
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A02/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A07/05
Superliga
Spartans
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A10/05
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A11/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A14/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H17/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H19/05
Superliga
81.2Avg total
39.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.482.9+0.053%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.241.181.2-0.950%-
Last 30 away (18)42.341.783.9+0.656%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.581.2-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.278.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.843.883.6-3.937%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)43.032.075.0+11.0100%-
vs Weaker (8)44.639.484.0+5.275%-
This opponent (Broncos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BroncosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A05/06
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H08/06
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H09/06
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A12/06
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A03/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A07/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A09/05
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A12/05
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H15/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H18/05
Superliga
79.0Avg total
39.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.741.985.6+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.542.288.6+4.362%-
Last 30 away (17)41.641.783.4-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)39.439.679.0-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.476.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.840.476.2-4.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)44.036.080.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker (24)45.442.587.8+2.954%-
This opponent (Llaneros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Llanerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Llaneros: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.0
49.9%
50.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.2
27.7%
32.2%21.6
🏀 Free throws18.713.1
70.1%
68.8%13.1
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Broncostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Broncos: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.719.5
44.6%
50.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.4
29.2%
32.2%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.816.0
70.2%
68.8%16.0
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Llaneros
LLLLLWWLLL
Broncos
LLLLWLLWLW
#16
League position
#10
-10.9
Net rating
-2.8
95.4
Offensive rating
97.6
106.2
Defensive rating
100.4
46.6%
Effective FG%
44.3%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
19.9%
Turnover %
15.8%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
27.7%
3-point %
29.2%
52.9%
Assist %
57.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence95.4 · 97.6Defence106.2 · 100.4Shooting46.6% · 44.3%3-point %27.7% · 29.2%Ball care19.9% · 15.8%Off. rebounds27.8% · 28.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Llaneros   ■ Broncos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Llaneros wins
9
Broncos wins
DateGameScore
09/05/23Broncos v Llaneros94-78
27/04/23Llaneros v Broncos78-82
16/04/23Llaneros v Broncos69-101
02/04/23Broncos v Llaneros85-64
13/09/22Llaneros v Broncos83-90
09/08/22Llaneros v Broncos67-70
05/08/22Broncos v Llaneros81-72
22/07/22Broncos v Llaneros90-65
06/05/21Llaneros v Broncos77-72
16/04/21Broncos v Llaneros85-77
Llaneroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/24HFrontinos67-71 OT
17/05/24HTrotamundos89-96
14/05/24AGladiadores81-91
11/05/24APioneros61-63
10/05/24ASpartans80-88
07/05/24AFrontinos89-72
02/05/24AToros de Aragua76-72
28/05/23HGuaros de Lara73-102
25/05/23AGuaros de Lara73-92
24/05/23AGuaros de Lara72-91
Broncoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/24HGladiadores79-82
15/05/24HPioneros81-87
12/05/24ASpartans65-89
09/05/24ATrotamundos72-73
07/05/24ABrillantes76-71
03/05/24AGladiadores84-93
12/06/23ATrotamundos69-80
09/06/23HTrotamundos85-73
08/06/23HTrotamundos73-82
05/06/23ATrotamundos81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Llaneros
Superliga 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLL0%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %29%0%40%
Points / game77.678.077.4
Allowed / game79.083.577.2
Point differential-1.4-5.5+0.2
Avg total156.6161.5154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %14%50%0%
Broncos
Superliga 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%0%25%
Points / game76.280.074.2
Allowed / game82.584.581.5
Point differential-6.3-4.5-7.2
Avg total158.7164.5155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores990100%87.474.1+13.3
2 Marinos97278%77.368.4+8.9
3 Trotamundos97278%81.877.6+4.2
4 Cocodrilos75271%66.666.7-0.1
5 Guaiqueries64267%69.265.5+3.7
6 Spartans74357%84.179.1+5.0
7 Heroes de Falcon74357%62.063.6-1.6
8 Piratas de La Guaira95456%68.463.2+5.2
9 Pioneros95456%75.977.8-1.9
10 Brillantes73443%82.376.1+6.1
11 Gaiteros del Zulia73443%69.176.3-7.1
12 Centauros72529%73.774.1-0.4
13 Llaneros72529%77.679.0-1.4
14 Panteras72529%70.172.9-2.7
15 Frontinos72529%71.082.4-11.4
16 Toros de Aragua92722%74.384.4-10.1
17 Broncos61517%76.282.5-6.3
18 Diablos71614%69.178.4-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Llaneros2318171472
Broncos2712161974
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