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Llaneros vs Broncos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 69-101
14-27 13-18 27-36 15-20
Position#14
Record4-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Broncos 🏆
Venezuela
Position#5
Record9-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game75.8
VenezuelaSuperliga· Domo Olímpico Hugo Chávez (San Juan de los Morros)
Other2023
Meetings · Llaneros v Broncos
21 May 2024
LLAN72
BRON74
27 Apr 2023
LLAN78
BRON82
16 Apr 2023
LLAN69
BRON101
13 Sep 2022
LLAN83
BRON90
09 Aug 2022
LLAN67
BRON70
06 May 2021
LLAN77
BRON72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Llaneros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Broncos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LlanerosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlaneros
Date
Competition
Centauros
#12
W
68-64
68
64
+4
64avg 69
A24/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
72-86
72
86
-14
64avg 69
A25/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
80-85
80
85
-5
66avg 69
H28/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
69-82
69
82
-13
56avg 69
H31/03
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
64-85
64
85
-21
61avg 69
A02/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
91avg 69
A05/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
no box
H08/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
85-80
85
80
+5
77avg 69
A09/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
79-59
79
59
+20
79avg 69
H11/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
82-87
82
87
-5
60avg 69
H15/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
10-19
9-12
21-14
11-26
23-21
14-18
24-21
24-23
17-14
28-16
11-32
11-17
23-29
12-19
23-17
20-19
14-19
12-27
18-20
19-18
29-17
24-20
18-27
28-29
23-19
20-23
20-20
17-20
26-27
22-13
20-20
22-17
26-12
16-13
15-17
27-21
15-25
18-18
22-23
159.8Avg total
78.6Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.581.5160.0-3.033%
Season at home (7)80.483.0163.4-2.614%
Season away (5)75.879.4155.2-3.660%
Last 10 (10)78.681.2159.8-2.640%
Last 5 (5)86.682.0168.6+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.582.3157.8-6.817%
vs Similar (10)82.983.6166.5-0.750%
vs Weaker (8)80.472.0152.4+8.462%
This opponent (Broncos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BroncosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBroncos
Date
Competition
Frontinos
#19
W
100-64
100
64
+36
106avg 82
H24/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
88-90
88
90
-2
71avg 82
A26/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
66-67
66
67
-1
48avg 82
A27/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
92-80
92
80
+12
80avg 82
A29/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
85-64
85
64
+21
88avg 82
H02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
90-73
90
73
+17
86avg 82
A04/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
90-78
90
78
+12
76avg 82
A08/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
103-95 OT
103
95
+8
no box
H10/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
89-97 OT
89
97
-8
no box
H12/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
93-57
93
57
+36
94avg 82
H14/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
18-21
29-9
28-16
22-19
22-28
18-23
26-20
9-15
25-22
14-16
18-14
20-29
24-17
22-20
26-14
19-20
19-14
27-12
20-18
24-17
23-12
24-20
19-24
24-19
23-12
27-19
16-28
25-21
17-25
22-23
25-20
19-21
15-22
22-19
26-20
23-21
27-14
21-9
22-13
166.1Avg total
89.6Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)90.775.8166.4+14.975%
Season at home (7)94.674.4169.0+20.186%
Season away (5)85.277.6162.8+7.660%
Last 10 (10)89.676.5166.1+13.170%
Last 5 (5)93.080.0173.0+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)76.179.9156.0-3.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.774.7162.4+12.978%
This opponent (Llaneros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.9+3.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.9+3.9
LlanerosBroncos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LlanerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Centauros
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A25/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H28/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H31/03
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A02/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A05/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H08/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A09/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H11/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H15/04
Superliga
82.4Avg total
41.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.937.775.6+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.339.380.5+2.053%-
Last 30 away (15)34.536.170.6-1.527%-
Last 10 (10)41.341.182.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)46.441.087.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.837.473.2-1.633%-
vs Similar (10)38.240.278.4-2.020%-
vs Weaker (8)40.634.975.5+5.875%-
This opponent (Broncos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BroncosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frontinos
#19
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H24/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A26/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A29/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A04/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A08/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H10/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H12/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H14/04
Superliga
81.0Avg total
42.3Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.236.877.1+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.936.176.1+3.860%-
Last 30 away (15)40.537.578.1+3.053%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.781.0+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)44.036.880.8+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)37.835.973.8+1.958%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.837.479.3+4.456%-
This opponent (Llaneros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Llanerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Llaneros: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.3
50.9%
50.8%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.1
30.1%
31.3%21.3
🏀 Free throws23.213.9
59.9%
65.6%13.9
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Broncostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Broncos: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.5
56.6%
50.8%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.4
32.5%
31.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws24.117.8
73.9%
65.6%17.8
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Llaneros
LWWLWLLLLW
Broncos
WLWWWWWLLW
#14
League position
#5
-3.5
Net rating
+22.9
94.5
Offensive rating
111.3
98.0
Defensive rating
88.4
48.7%
Effective FG%
53.2%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
44.8%
22.0%
Turnover %
16.9%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.1%
3-point %
32.5%
56.9%
Assist %
59.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 111.3Defence98.0 · 88.4Shooting48.7% · 53.2%3-point %30.1% · 32.5%Ball care22.0% · 16.9%Off. rebounds27.4% · 27.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Llaneros   ■ Broncos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Llaneros wins
6
Broncos wins
DateGameScore
02/04/23Broncos v Llaneros85-64
13/09/22Llaneros v Broncos83-90
09/08/22Llaneros v Broncos67-70
05/08/22Broncos v Llaneros81-72
22/07/22Broncos v Llaneros90-65
06/05/21Llaneros v Broncos77-72
16/04/21Broncos v Llaneros85-77
Llaneroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/23HBrillantes82-87
11/04/23HToros de Aragua79-59
09/04/23AToros de Aragua85-80
08/04/23HFrontinos97-102 OT
05/04/23ATrotamundos90-82
02/04/23ABroncos64-85
31/03/23HGaiteros del Zulia69-82
28/03/23HFrontinos80-85
25/03/23AGuaros de Lara72-86
24/03/23ACentauros68-64
Broncoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/23HGaiteros del Zulia93-57
12/04/23HTrotamundos89-97 OT
10/04/23HFrontinos103-95 OT
08/04/23AToros de Aragua90-78
04/04/23AFrontinos90-73
02/04/23HLlaneros85-64
29/03/23AHeroes de Falcon92-80
27/03/23AGaiteros del Zulia66-67
26/03/23ABrillantes88-90
24/03/23HFrontinos100-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Llaneros
Superliga 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL33%
HomeLLLWL14%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %33%14%60%
Points / game78.580.475.8
Allowed / game81.583.079.4
Point differential-3.0-2.6-3.6
Avg total160.0163.4155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
Broncos
Superliga 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%86%60%
Points / game90.794.685.2
Allowed / game75.874.477.6
Point differential+14.9+20.1+7.6
Avg total166.4169.0162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%57%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %17%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores1311285%83.173.4+9.7
2 Piratas de La Guaira108280%80.971.8+9.1
3 Guaros de Lara1310377%82.276.5+5.7
4 Broncos129375%90.775.8+14.9
5 Cocodrilos129375%74.868.3+6.5
6 Trotamundos139469%80.578.5+1.9
7 Guaiqueries138562%86.080.4+5.6
8 Panteras138562%78.574.3+4.2
9 Brillantes138562%81.877.8+4.1
10 Heroes de Falcon137654%82.580.2+2.4
11 Gaiteros del Zulia137654%75.678.8-3.2
12 Centauros135838%72.876.8-3.9
13 Llaneros124833%78.581.5-3.0
14 Frontinos134931%80.388.2-7.8
15 Spartans103730%73.876.8-3.0
16 Marinos103730%79.889.9-10.1
17 Gigantes113827%75.883.2-7.4
18 Cangrejeros112918%77.085.5-8.5
19 Diablos112918%76.587.1-10.6
20 Toros de Aragua131128%72.482.5-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Llaneros1413271569
Broncos27183620101
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