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Toros de Aragua vs Llaneros Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 May 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 72-76
16-24 24-20 16-9 16-23
Position#18
Record-
FormLLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#16
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
VenezuelaSuperliga· Gimnasio Rafael Romero Bolívar
Other2024
Meetings · Toros de Aragua v Llaneros
30 Apr 2025
TORO93
LLAN95
30 Mar 2025
TORO77
LLAN66
02 May 2024
TORO72
LLAN76
21 Apr 2023
TORO94
LLAN100
09 Apr 2023
TORO80
LLAN85
24 Aug 2022
TORO69
LLAN85
27 Jul 2022
TORO63
LLAN60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toros de Aragua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Llaneros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toros de AraguaVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAragua
Date
Competition
Brillantes
#6
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
H25/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
73-97
73
97
-24
no box
H29/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
no box
A30/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
no box
A02/05
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
84-96
84
96
-12
78avg 66
H04/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
67-91
67
91
-24
53avg 66
A08/05
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
82-102
82
102
-20
79avg 66
A12/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
no box
A14/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
55-90
55
90
-35
35avg 66
H19/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
84-76
84
76
+8
84avg 66
H21/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
26-21
18-22
12-15
19-26
15-29
24-12
15-30
19-29
18-19
21-13
19-21
20-16
24-22
21-24
20-17
23-27
22-25
25-21
14-23
23-24
16-18
12-24
16-25
23-31
22-21
21-33
16-17
15-16
23-16
22-25
18-21
9-24
14-21
13-29
19-16
28-23
25-17
12-19
19-17
166.1Avg total
78.0Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.088.1166.1-10.130%
Last 5 (5)75.290.2165.4-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)73.685.6159.2-12.08%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)79.580.0159.5-0.550%
This opponent (Llaneros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LlanerosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlaneros
Date
Competition
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
72-96
72
96
-24
64avg 68
H06/05
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
78-94
78
94
-16
68avg 68
A09/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
96-68
96
68
+28
105avg 68
A11/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
no box
H14/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
70-92
70
92
-22
48avg 68
A18/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
70-77
70
77
-7
66avg 68
A19/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
73avg 68
A21/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
72-91
72
91
-19
60avg 68
A24/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
73-92
73
92
-19
63avg 68
A25/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
73-102
73
102
-29
60avg 68
H28/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
17-21
24-36
18-21
20-27
23-13
10-28
25-26
27-17
21-18
26-22
22-11
16-15
16-23
25-22
21-18
18-22
22-27
17-29
13-14
22-13
17-22
16-16
15-26
10-27
29-26
23-20
21-15
19-34
21-21
16-16
16-20
13-26
16-19
25-19
19-28
18-24
15-30
25-26
15-22
166.7Avg total
77.9Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.988.8166.7-10.920%
Last 5 (5)74.290.0164.2-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)77.089.7166.7-12.711%
vs Similar (4)72.277.5149.8-5.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)89.282.0171.2+7.275%
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.6-1.6
Toros de AraguaLlaneros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toros de AraguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brillantes
#6
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H25/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H29/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A02/05
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H04/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A08/05
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A12/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A14/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
23-45
23
45
-22
H19/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H21/05
Superliga
85.6Avg total
41.3Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.943.079.9-6.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.743.581.1-5.827%-
Last 30 away (15)36.142.578.7-6.427%-
Last 10 (10)41.344.385.6-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.281.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)36.243.880.0-7.719%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)41.537.579.0+4.075%-
This opponent (Llaneros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LlanerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H06/05
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A09/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A11/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H14/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A18/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A19/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A21/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A24/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A25/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H28/05
Superliga
81.6Avg total
37.3Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.742.683.3-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.942.282.1-2.340%-
Last 30 away (15)41.542.984.4-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)37.344.381.6-7.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.048.484.4-12.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.644.483.9-4.833%-
vs Similar (4)38.841.580.2-2.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.239.083.2+5.275%-
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toros de Araguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros de Aragua: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀17%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.623.9
50.2%
50.4%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.94.3
25.4%
32.2%12.9
🏀 Free throws24.115.3
63.5%
68.8%15.3
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Llanerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Llaneros: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.819.0
46.6%
50.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.8
31.2%
32.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.211.6
67.4%
68.8%11.6
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toros de Aragua
WLLLLLWLLW
Llaneros
LLLLLLWWLL
#18
League position
#16
-14.5
Net rating
-16.2
94.0
Offensive rating
94.8
108.4
Defensive rating
111.1
47.1%
Effective FG%
46.7%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
22.9%
Turnover %
18.4%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.25
25.4%
3-point %
31.2%
61.0%
Assist %
61.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 94.8Defence108.4 · 111.1Shooting47.1% · 46.7%3-point %25.4% · 31.2%Ball care22.9% · 18.4%Off. rebounds32.1% · 27.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Toros de Aragua   ■ Llaneros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Toros de Aragua wins
7
Llaneros wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/23HFrontinos84-76
19/05/23HTrotamundos55-90
14/05/23ALlaneros88-92 OT
12/05/23ABroncos82-102
08/05/23AGuaros de Lara67-91
04/05/23HBroncos84-96
02/05/23AHeroes de Falcon85-79
30/04/23ATrotamundos77-82
29/04/23HCentauros73-97
25/04/23HBrillantes85-76
Llaneroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/23HGuaros de Lara73-102
25/05/23AGuaros de Lara73-92
24/05/23AGuaros de Lara72-91
21/05/23AHeroes de Falcon83-88
19/05/23AGaiteros del Zulia70-77
18/05/23ABrillantes70-92
14/05/23HToros de Aragua92-88 OT
11/05/23AFrontinos96-68
09/05/23ABroncos78-94
06/05/23HGuaros de Lara72-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toros de Aragua
Superliga 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Llaneros
Superliga 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panteras110100%81.058.0+23.0
2 Piratas de La Guaira110100%20.00.0+20.0
3 Gladiadores110100%82.070.0+12.0
4 Trotamundos1010%70.082.0-12.0
5 Cocodrilos1010%0.020.0-20.0
6 Diablos1010%58.081.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toros de Aragua1624161672
Llaneros242092376
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