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Lok. Plovdiv vs Balkan Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 89-94
24-18 22-27 19-26 24-23
Position#4
Record7-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Balkan 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#1
Record10-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game72.8
BulgariaNBLRound 13· Stadion Lokomotiv
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lok. Plovdiv v Balkan
06 Mar 2027
LOK. v BAL
upcoming
01 Jun 2026
LOK.84
BAL78
30 May 2026
LOK.82
BAL77
23 Dec 2025
LOK.89
BAL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lok. Plovdiv winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Balkan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lok. PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
80-83
80
83
-3
70avg 77
A11/10
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
96-59
96
59
+37
97avg 77
H18/10
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
89-86
89
86
+3
68avg 77
A27/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
61avg 77
A09/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
72avg 77
A15/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
88avg 77
H19/11
NBL
Levski
#10
W
82-70
82
70
+12
82avg 77
A24/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
91-75
91
75
+16
no box
H03/12
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
88-72
88
72
+16
81avg 77
H15/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
91-107
91
107
-16
79avg 77
A20/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
17-29
26-23
23-14
31-10
20-23
22-8
23-18
14-21
24-26
29-18
22-21
20-14
15-24
19-24
19-17
15-15
30-28
15-11
18-20
26-28
12-12
30-32
19-15
21-16
18-18
25-22
18-14
18-26
23-18
25-16
25-15
31-18
20-25
20-16
17-13
25-32
22-25
23-17
21-33
166.4Avg total
86.6Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.780.4166.1+5.464%
Season at home (5)90.077.0167.0+13.080%
Season away (6)82.283.2165.3-1.050%
Last 10 (10)86.679.8166.4+6.870%
Last 5 (5)90.083.4173.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)79.078.5157.5+0.550%
vs Similar (2)84.096.5180.5-12.50%
vs Weaker (7)88.176.3164.4+11.986%
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
77avg 81
H11/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 81
A19/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
75-70
75
70
+5
65avg 81
H26/10
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
99-81
99
81
+18
99avg 81
A03/11
NBL
Levski
#10
W
96-58
96
58
+38
98avg 81
H08/11
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
85-82
85
82
+3
79avg 81
H16/11
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
102-67
102
67
+35
110avg 81
H22/11
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
106-59
106
59
+47
100avg 81
A08/12
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
88-65
88
65
+23
80avg 81
A14/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
106-95
106
95
+11
102avg 81
A20/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
29-17
23-26
14-23
16-16
22-19
15-18
17-25
13-21
18-17
21-20
23-12
28-19
22-13
26-25
23-24
21-11
21-18
40-11
14-18
19-14
24-23
21-21
21-24
22-18
24-8
24-15
32-26
18-14
24-16
30-12
34-17
14-20
18-15
32-14
24-16
26-22
25-21
29-29
26-23
164.5Avg total
91.0Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.672.8163.5+17.891%
Season at home (6)88.070.5158.5+17.5100%
Season away (5)93.875.6169.4+18.280%
Last 10 (10)91.073.5164.5+17.590%
Last 5 (5)97.473.6171.0+23.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.389.3161.7-17.00%
vs Similar (10)85.383.7169.0+1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.171.8158.9+15.482%
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +7.0+7.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +7.0+7.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
Lok. PlovdivBalkan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A11/10
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H18/10
NBL
Beroe
#8
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A27/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A09/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A15/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H19/11
NBL
Levski
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A24/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H03/12
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H15/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A20/12
NBL
84.1Avg total
41.6Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)41.442.183.5-0.745%-
Last 30 at home (5)44.039.683.6+4.460%-
Last 30 away (6)39.244.283.3-5.033%-
Last 10 (10)41.642.584.1-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.686.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)38.044.582.5-6.550%-
vs Similar (2)43.047.590.5-4.550%-
vs Weaker (7)41.939.981.7+2.043%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H11/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A19/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H26/10
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A03/11
NBL
Levski
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H08/11
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H16/11
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H22/11
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A08/12
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A14/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A20/12
NBL
75.7Avg total
42.1Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.338.981.2+3.455%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.137.179.1+5.060%-
Last 30 away (14)42.540.983.4+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.133.675.7+8.580%-
Last 5 (5)42.834.277.0+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.340.375.7-5.033%-
vs Similar (10)42.142.284.3-0.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.736.680.2+7.169%-
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lok. Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lok. Plovdiv: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.5
53.1%
54.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.5
31.2%
32.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.717.5
77.1%
71.3%17.5
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.7
56.6%
54.5%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.4
36.0%
32.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.617.0
72.0%
71.3%17.0
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lok. Plovdiv
LWWWWWLWWL
Balkan
WWWWWWWWLW
#4
League position
#1
+5.0
Net rating
+23.9
108.3
Offensive rating
119.7
103.3
Defensive rating
95.8
50.5%
Effective FG%
55.6%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
14.5%
Turnover %
13.4%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.2%
3-point %
36.0%
61.4%
Assist %
66.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 119.7Defence103.3 · 95.8Shooting50.5% · 55.6%3-point %31.2% · 36.0%Ball care14.5% · 13.4%Off. rebounds26.2% · 31.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Lok. Plovdiv   ■ Balkan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lok. Plovdiv wins
1
Balkan wins
DateGameScore
11/10/25Balkan v Lok. Plovdiv83-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25ACherno More91-107
15/12/25HMinyor88-72
03/12/25HSpartak Pleven91-75
24/11/25ALevski82-70
19/11/25HAcademic Plovdiv98-93 OT
15/11/25ARilski Sportist78-74
09/11/25ABotev 201273-79
27/10/25ABeroe89-86
18/10/25HShumen96-59
11/10/25ABalkan80-83
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25AAcademic Plovdiv106-95
14/12/25ABotev 201288-65
08/12/25ABeroe106-59
22/11/25HShumen102-67
16/11/25HCherno More85-82
08/11/25HLevski96-58
03/11/25AMinyor99-81
26/10/25HRilski Sportist75-70
19/10/25ASpartak Pleven70-78
11/10/25HLok. Plovdiv83-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lok. Plovdiv
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL64%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game85.790.082.2
Allowed / game80.477.083.2
Point differential+5.4+13.0-1.0
Avg total166.1167.0165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Balkan
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %91%100%80%
Points / game90.688.093.8
Allowed / game72.870.575.6
Point differential+17.8+17.5+18.2
Avg total163.5158.5169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%50%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan1110191%90.672.8+17.8
2 Rilski Sportist1210283%91.676.8+14.8
3 Cherno More129375%91.282.4+8.8
4 Lok. Plovdiv117464%85.780.4+5.4
5 Spartak Pleven116555%81.579.7+1.7
6 Minyor126650%83.686.9-3.3
7 Beroe125742%82.186.1-4.0
8 Botev 2012125742%76.481.5-5.1
9 Academic Plovdiv123925%80.185.5-5.4
10 Levski1221017%73.886.5-12.8
11 Shumen111109%76.393.5-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lok. Plovdiv2422192489
Balkan1827262394
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