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Lok. Plovdiv vs Balkan Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record4-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game78.0
Lok. Plovdiv
Bulgaria
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Balkan
Bulgaria
Position#1
Record5-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game71.6
BulgariaNBLRound 19· Hristo Bonev
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lok. Plovdiv v Balkan
06 Mar 2027
LOK. v BAL
upcoming
01 Jun 2026
LOK.84
BAL78
30 May 2026
LOK.82
BAL77
23 Dec 2025
LOK.89
BAL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lok. Plovdiv win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Balkan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lok. PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#8
W
92-73
92
73
+19
85avg 81
A11/10
NBL
CSM Oradea
#16
W
79-69
79
69
+10
73avg 81
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#9
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
85avg 81
A17/10
NBL
Mykonos
#6
L
84-86
84
86
-2
67avg 81
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#14
W
87-65
87
65
+22
83avg 81
H24/10
NBL
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
95-83
95
83
+12
92avg 81
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
79-88
79
88
-9
66avg 81
A31/10
NBL
Neftchi IK
#39
W
76-72
76
72
+4
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cherno More
#7
W
85-69
85
69
+16
no box
H07/11
NBL
VEF Riga
#13
L
83-85
83
85
-2
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
23-19
29-18
19-21
17-20
26-18
20-15
16-16
24-21
15-19
26-28
22-19
16-14
20-21
24-25
24-26
22-24
22-11
18-20
25-10
24-11
21-20
24-26
26-26
14-25
25-20
17-20
23-23
13-19
23-11
14-23
26-19
24-18
22-14
19-15
20-22
24-20
28-22
17-22
14-21
164.3Avg total
85.8Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.278.0166.2+10.280%
Season at home (2)86.067.0153.0+19.0100%
Season away (3)89.785.3175.0+4.367%
Last 10 (10)85.878.5164.3+7.370%
Last 5 (5)83.679.4163.0+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)84.587.5172.0-3.038%
vs Similar (1)85.069.0154.0+16.0100%
vs Weaker (13)90.478.6169.0+11.892%
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Botev 2012
#10
W
91-66
91
66
+25
74avg 78
A10/10
NBL
BC Roma
#19
L
72-77 OT
72
77
-5
62avg 78
A13/10
Eurocup
Levski
#12
W
101-83
101
83
+18
98avg 78
H16/10
NBL
Lietkabelis
#22
L
57-64
57
64
-7
54avg 78
H20/10
Eurocup
Yambol
#13
W
84-73
84
73
+11
78avg 78
A23/10
NBL
Manresa
#8
L
65-76
65
76
-11
52avg 78
H27/10
Eurocup
CSKA Sofia
#11
W
94-65
94
65
+29
94avg 78
H30/10
NBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
78-69
78
69
+9
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Spartak Pleven
#8
W
77-71
77
71
+6
no box
A07/11
NBL
PAOK
#7
L
56-79
56
79
-23
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
28-14
24-15
16-13
12-13
21-16
12-18
24-22
26-22
23-14
26-25
26-22
10-13
15-20
20-16
12-15
22-20
19-15
24-16
19-22
17-25
19-14
14-15
15-22
35-14
17-19
21-20
21-12
18-24
23-15
20-16
17-14
22-19
12-25
22-12
21-15
12-19
20-34
9-19
15-7
149.8Avg total
77.5Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.471.6161.0+17.8100%
Season at home (2)97.574.0171.5+23.5100%
Season away (3)84.070.0154.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.572.3149.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)74.072.0146.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.480.6148.0-13.114%
vs Similar (1)79.078.0157.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)88.277.6165.9+10.682%
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
Lok. PlovdivBalkan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#8
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/10
NBL
CSM Oradea
#16
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A17/10
NBL
Mykonos
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H24/10
NBL
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A31/10
NBL
Neftchi IK
#39
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cherno More
#7
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H07/11
NBL
VEF Riga
#13
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
78.6Avg total
42.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.540.785.2+3.870%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.838.584.2+7.288%-
Last 30 away (14)43.143.286.3-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.436.278.6+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)43.636.079.6+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)43.642.485.9+1.262%-
vs Similar (1)46.032.078.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker (13)45.539.384.8+6.277%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botev 2012
#10
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A10/10
NBL
BC Roma
#19
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A13/10
Eurocup
Levski
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H16/10
NBL
Lietkabelis
#22
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H20/10
Eurocup
Yambol
#13
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A23/10
NBL
Manresa
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H27/10
Eurocup
CSKA Sofia
#11
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H30/10
NBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A04/11
Eurocup
Spartak Pleven
#8
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A07/11
NBL
PAOK
#7
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H10/11
Eurocup
77.3Avg total
39.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.881.9+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.140.480.5-0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)42.241.283.4+1.064%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.977.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.680.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.442.975.3-10.429%-
vs Similar (1)35.043.078.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.140.084.1+4.168%-
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lok. Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lok. Plovdiv: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.7
54.6%
55.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.4
31.5%
29.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.617.4
77.0%
71.2%17.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.6
54.5%
55.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.2
30.4%
29.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.011.1
69.4%
71.2%11.1
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lok. Plovdiv
LWWLWWLWWW
Balkan
LWWWLWLWLW
#4
League position
#1
+6.2
Net rating
+3.6
96.7
Offensive rating
91.7
90.5
Defensive rating
88.1
51.5%
Effective FG%
50.8%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
13.5%
Turnover %
17.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.5%
3-point %
30.4%
58.8%
Assist %
60.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 91.7Defence90.5 · 88.1Shooting51.5% · 50.8%3-point %31.5% · 30.4%Ball care13.5% · 17.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Lok. Plovdiv   ■ Balkan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lok. Plovdiv wins
5
Balkan wins
DateGameScore
05/06/26Balkan v Lok. Plovdiv81-80
01/06/26Lok. Plovdiv v Balkan84-78
30/05/26Lok. Plovdiv v Balkan82-77
27/05/26Balkan v Lok. Plovdiv94-89 OT
25/05/26Balkan v Lok. Plovdiv88-73
14/03/26Balkan v Lok. Plovdiv82-90
23/12/25Lok. Plovdiv v Balkan89-94
11/10/25Balkan v Lok. Plovdiv83-80
Lok. Plovdivlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HVEF Riga83-85
07/11/26HCherno More85-69
04/11/26HNeftchi IK76-72
31/10/26ARilski Sportist79-88
28/10/26HFribourg Olympic95-83
24/10/26HPolytechnica87-65
20/10/26AMykonos84-86
17/10/26ABeroe98-95 OT
14/10/26HCSM Oradea79-69
11/10/26ASpartak Pleven92-73
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HPAOK56-79
07/11/26ASpartak Pleven77-71
04/11/26AKK Bosna78-69
30/10/26HCSKA Sofia94-65
27/10/26HManresa65-76
23/10/26AYambol84-73
20/10/26HLietkabelis57-64
16/10/26HLevski101-83
13/10/26ABC Roma72-77 OT
10/10/26ABotev 201291-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lok. Plovdiv
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game88.286.089.7
Allowed / game78.067.085.3
Point differential+10.2+19.0+4.3
Avg total166.2153.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Balkan
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.497.584.0
Allowed / game71.674.070.0
Point differential+17.8+23.5+14.0
Avg total161.0171.5154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan550100%89.471.6+17.8
2 Minyor550100%107.092.4+14.6
3 Rilski Sportist54180%92.674.0+18.6
4 Lok. Plovdiv54180%88.278.0+10.2
5 Botev Academic54180%91.082.6+8.4
6 Shumen54180%94.090.2+3.8
7 Cherno More53260%83.672.8+10.8
8 Spartak Pleven53260%82.476.8+5.6
9 Beroe51420%93.689.0+4.6
10 Botev 201251420%78.891.4-12.6
11 CSKA Sofia51420%78.498.6-20.2
12 Levski5050%78.294.2-16.0
13 Yambol5050%72.292.0-19.8
14 Polytechnica5050%70.896.6-25.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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