PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Lok. Plovdiv vs Beroe Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 117-88
34-21 29-26 38-21 16-20
Position#4
Record8-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Position#8
Record6-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game85.7
BulgariaNBLRound 15· Stadion Lokomotiv
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lok. Plovdiv v Beroe
30 Jan 2027
LOK. v BERO
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
LOK.96
BERO83
04 Jan 2026
LOK.117
BERO88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lok. Plovdiv winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Beroe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lok. PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Beroe
#8
W
89-86
89
86
+3
68avg 80
A27/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
61avg 80
A09/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
72avg 80
A15/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
88avg 80
H19/11
NBL
Levski
#10
W
82-70
82
70
+12
82avg 80
A24/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
91-75
91
75
+16
no box
H03/12
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
88-72
88
72
+16
81avg 80
H15/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
91-107
91
107
-16
79avg 80
A20/12
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
89-94
89
94
-5
79avg 80
H23/12
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
107-89
107
89
+18
110avg 80
A28/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
24-26
29-18
22-21
20-14
15-24
19-24
19-17
15-15
30-28
15-11
18-20
26-28
12-12
30-32
19-15
21-16
18-18
25-22
18-14
18-26
23-18
25-16
25-15
31-18
20-25
20-16
17-13
25-32
22-25
23-17
21-33
24-18
22-27
19-26
24-23
33-18
18-24
35-23
21-24
172.5Avg total
88.6Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.682.1169.7+5.562%
Season at home (6)89.879.8169.7+10.067%
Season away (7)85.784.0169.7+1.757%
Last 10 (10)88.683.9172.5+4.770%
Last 5 (5)93.287.4180.6+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.383.7166.0-1.333%
vs Similar (2)84.096.5180.5-12.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.577.9168.4+12.688%
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
86-89
86
89
-3
73avg 78
H27/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
64avg 78
A02/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
74-96
74
96
-22
56avg 78
H08/11
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
84-88
84
88
-4
73avg 78
A15/11
NBL
Levski
#10
W
89-76
89
76
+13
84avg 78
H19/11
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
no box
A22/11
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
59-106
59
106
-47
44avg 78
H08/12
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
84-74
84
74
+10
87avg 78
H19/12
NBL
Shumen
#11
L
83-90
83
90
-7
68avg 78
A23/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
89-81
89
81
+8
77avg 78
H28/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
26-24
18-29
21-22
26-32
18-18
8-18
25-19
24-24
11-23
17-26
22-23
15-27
21-17
34-28
14-16
25-15
27-21
22-23
15-17
16-13
28-27
24-18
13-23
14-18
16-24
12-30
17-34
17-16
23-21
18-23
26-14
31-19
22-23
12-21
18-27
22-18
26-20
20-22
21-21
169.8Avg total
81.5Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.685.7168.3-3.146%
Season at home (7)80.685.7166.3-5.157%
Season away (6)85.085.7170.7-0.733%
Last 10 (10)81.588.3169.8-6.830%
Last 5 (5)81.089.4170.4-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)84.292.4176.6-8.219%
vs Similar (4)88.284.0172.2+4.250%
vs Weaker (9)94.284.7178.9+9.689%
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
Lok. PlovdivBeroe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe
#8
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A27/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A09/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A15/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H19/11
NBL
Levski
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A24/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H03/12
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H15/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A20/12
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H23/12
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A28/12
NBL
86.4Avg total
43.1Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)42.542.384.8+0.254%-
Last 30 at home (6)44.340.584.8+3.867%-
Last 30 away (7)40.943.984.7-3.043%-
Last 10 (10)43.143.386.4-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)47.246.293.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.744.785.3-4.067%-
vs Similar (2)43.047.590.5-4.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.040.183.1+2.950%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H27/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A02/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H08/11
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A15/11
NBL
Levski
#10
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H19/11
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/11
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H08/12
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H19/12
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A23/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H28/12
NBL
84.3Avg total
42.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.543.186.7+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.142.185.2+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)44.044.488.4-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.484.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.882.8+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)42.144.886.9-2.838%-
vs Similar (4)41.541.583.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (9)47.041.288.2+5.867%-
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lok. Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lok. Plovdiv: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.4
53.2%
54.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.8
33.1%
32.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws24.518.7
76.3%
71.3%18.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.922.2
50.6%
54.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.55.9
28.8%
32.5%17.7
🏀 Free throws29.418.4
62.6%
71.3%18.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lok. Plovdiv
WLLWWWWWLW
Beroe
WLWLLWLLLL
#4
League position
#8
+7.7
Net rating
-5.2
111.3
Offensive rating
101.2
103.6
Defensive rating
106.4
51.8%
Effective FG%
48.2%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
14.3%
Turnover %
18.1%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.46
33.1%
3-point %
28.8%
63.6%
Assist %
58.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 101.2Defence103.6 · 106.4Shooting51.8% · 48.2%3-point %33.1% · 28.8%Ball care14.3% · 18.1%Off. rebounds27.2% · 29.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.46Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Lok. Plovdiv   ■ Beroe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lok. Plovdiv wins
0
Beroe wins
DateGameScore
27/10/25Beroe v Lok. Plovdiv86-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25AShumen107-89
23/12/25HBalkan89-94
20/12/25ACherno More91-107
15/12/25HMinyor88-72
03/12/25HSpartak Pleven91-75
24/11/25ALevski82-70
19/11/25HAcademic Plovdiv98-93 OT
15/11/25ARilski Sportist78-74
09/11/25ABotev 201273-79
27/10/25ABeroe89-86
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HAcademic Plovdiv89-81
23/12/25AShumen83-90
19/12/25HBotev 201284-74
08/12/25HBalkan59-106
22/11/25ACherno More90-96 OT
19/11/25HLevski89-76
15/11/25AMinyor84-88
08/11/25HRilski Sportist74-96
02/11/25ASpartak Pleven77-87
27/10/25HLok. Plovdiv86-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lok. Plovdiv
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%67%57%
Points / game87.689.885.7
Allowed / game82.179.884.0
Point differential+5.5+10.0+1.7
Avg total169.7169.7169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Beroe
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW46%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%57%33%
Points / game82.680.685.0
Allowed / game85.785.785.7
Point differential-3.1-5.1-0.7
Avg total168.3166.3170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan1312192%91.874.2+17.6
2 Rilski Sportist1310377%90.276.8+13.3
3 Cherno More1410471%90.482.6+7.8
4 Lok. Plovdiv138562%87.682.1+5.5
5 Minyor137654%84.186.8-2.7
6 Spartak Pleven126650%80.981.7-0.8
7 Beroe136746%82.685.7-3.1
8 Botev 2012136746%76.180.2-4.1
9 Academic Plovdiv1441029%81.286.4-5.1
10 Levski1321115%74.686.8-12.2
11 Shumen131128%76.392.9-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lok. Plovdiv34293816117
Beroe2126212088
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.