Los Angeles Clippers host the Charlotte Hornets on 15 November 2026 in the NBA, with the Clippers the clear favourite and the model expecting a decisive win. The Clippers finish 3-8 overall, scoring 112.3 points per game while conceding 117.5, and sit 25th in the league; at home they are 3-3, averaging 115.7 points and allowing 112.7. Their last five games include a 113-112 win over Oklahoma City, a 110-133 loss to Phoenix, and a 139-123 victory over New Orleans. Charlotte, 4-8 overall with 98.6 points scored and 109.6 allowed, is 22nd; on the road they are 1-4, 95.6 points for and 102.0 against. Their recent five games feature a 96-101 loss to Phoenix, a 124-112 win over Cleveland, and an 80-119 defeat by Boston. In all 10 meetings the Clippers have won every encounter, most recently 117-109 in January 2026. Pythia assigns a 69% chance to a Clippers win and 31% to a Hornets win, projecting a 111-105 score and 215.8 total points. The -1.5 spread gives a 67% chance the Clippers cover, while the 215.5 total has a 50% over probability; a 6% overtime likelihood is also noted. The Clippers' recent 139-123 win suggests they will continue to dominate this matchup.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Los Angeles Clippers win
69.2%fair 1.45
Best odds1.95
Implied49.7%
Edge+19.4pp
Charlotte Hornets win
30.8%fair 3.24
Best odds2.01
Implied50.3%
Edge-19.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 15:19 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Los Angeles Clippers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Total points distribution
Pythia expects about 216 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 210-214 (11%). The market's main line is 214.5.
Over/Under 209.5
Over 209.5
62.5%
@ 1.54+0.4pp
Under 209.5
37.5%
@ 2.55-0.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.54
Betfair
1.53
Marathon Be
1.52
Betano
1.52
WilliamHill
1.50
Under
Bet365
2.55
Betfair
2.50
WilliamHill
2.50
1xBet
2.48
Betano
2.35
Over/Under 214.5 · main line
Over 214.5
51.8%
@ 1.94+2.0pp
Under 214.5
48.2%
@ 2.00-2.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.94
1xBet
1.88
Marathon Be
1.86
Betano
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Under
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
1.98
1xBet
1.97
Betano
1.95
BetVictor
1.95
Over/Under 219.5
Over 219.5
41.1%
@ 2.36-0.5pp
Under 219.5
58.9%
@ 1.67+0.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.36
Bet365
2.30
BetVictor
2.25
WilliamHill
2.25
Betfair
2.22
Under
Betfair
1.67
Betano
1.60
WilliamHill
1.60
1xBet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
📊 3. Team Totals
Los Angeles Clippers total 103.5
Over 103.5
74.7%
@ 1.42+9.9pp
Under 103.5
25.3%
@ 2.72-9.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Under
Bet365
2.72
Betano
2.47
Los Angeles Clippers total 107.5 · main line
Over 107.5
62.6%
@ 1.95+13.3pp
Under 107.5
37.4%
@ 1.93-13.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.95
1xBet
1.88
Marathon Be
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathon Be
1.89
Los Angeles Clippers total 111.5
Over 111.5
49.1%
@ 2.35+8.9pp
Under 111.5
50.9%
@ 1.54-8.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.35
1xBet
2.28
Betano
2.22
Under
Bet365
1.54
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Charlotte Hornets total 103
Over 103
54.6%
Under 103
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charlotte Hornets total 107 · main line
Over 107
40.9%
@ 1.86-9.8pp
Under 107
59.1%
@ 1.94+9.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Under
1xBet
1.94
Marathon Be
1.88
Charlotte Hornets total 111
Over 111
28.4%
Under 111
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Winning margin distribution
Margin from Los Angeles Clippers's side (positive = Los Angeles Clippers win). Pythia's expected margin is +6.6; Los Angeles Clippers win by 1+ in 62% of simulations.
Spread Los Angeles Clippers -4
LAC -4
60.5%
@ 2.48+21.6pp
CHA +4
39.5%
@ 1.62-21.6pp
Best 5 market prices
LAC
Pinnacle
2.48
Marathon Be
2.25
1xBet
2.23
Bet365
2.15
CHA
Bet365
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.58
Marathon Be
1.57
Spread Los Angeles Clippers -1 · main line
LAC -1
68.5%
@ 1.96+19.2pp
CHA +1
31.5%
@ 1.96-19.2pp
Best 5 market prices
LAC
Pinnacle
1.96
SBO
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Marathon Be
1.89
Bet365
1.83
CHA
1xBet
1.96
Bet365
1.96
SBO
1.93
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.89
Spread Los Angeles Clippers +2
LAC +2
72.6%
@ 1.77+17.8pp
CHA -2
27.4%
@ 2.20-17.8pp
Best 5 market prices
LAC
Pinnacle
1.77
Marathon Be
1.66
1xBet
1.66
Bet365
1.64
CHA
1xBet
2.20
Bet365
2.17
Pinnacle
2.14
Marathon Be
2.11
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
Los Angeles ClippersCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Los Angeles Clippers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winner
LAC win
61.2%
@ 1.78+7.7pp
CHA win
38.8%
@ 2.05-7.7pp
2nd half Spread Los Angeles Clippers 0 · main line
LAC 0
61.2%
@ 1.91+12.3pp
CHA 0
38.8%
@ 1.83-12.3pp
2nd half Over/Under 109.5 · main line
Over
40.6%
@ 1.92-8.1pp
Under
59.4%
@ 1.85+8.1pp
Los Angeles Clippers 2nd half total 54.5 · main line
Over
51.0%
@ 1.89+1.5pp
Under
49.0%
@ 1.85-1.5pp
Charlotte Hornets 2nd half total 54.5 · main line
Over
37.3%
@ 1.87-12.7pp
Under
62.7%
@ 1.87+12.7pp
2nd half Spread Los Angeles Clippers -1
LAC -1
57.6%
@ 2.08+12.6pp
CHA +1
42.4%
@ 1.70-12.6pp
2nd half Spread Los Angeles Clippers +1
LAC +1
64.7%
@ 1.78+12.2pp
CHA -1
35.3%
@ 1.97-12.2pp
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)
LAC
59.1%
@ 1.98+11.3pp
Draw
3.4%
@ 22.00-1.1pp
CHA
37.5%
@ 2.07-10.2pp
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Attempts per game
Made per game
Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
50.5
27.0
53.5%
54.0%
54.0
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
36.6
14.1
38.5%
35.1%
42.3
🏀Free throws
20.0
16.4
82.0%
77.3%
16.4
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Attempts per game
Made per game
Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
43.1
22.7
52.7%
54.0%
45.4
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
45.5
14.7
32.3%
35.1%
44.1
🏀Free throws
20.0
16.9
84.5%
77.3%
16.9
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 45.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
53.3
31.2
58.5%
54.0%
62.4
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
33.6
11.5
34.2%
35.1%
34.5
🏀Free throws
23.5
18.6
79.1%
77.3%
18.6
Their opponents take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
52.4
28.6
54.6%
54.0%
57.2
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
35.1
12.4
35.3%
35.1%
37.2
🏀Free throws
20.5
16.1
78.5%
77.3%
16.1
Their opponents take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Attempts per game
Made per game
Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
52.9
29.8
56.3%
54.0%
59.6
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
32.6
12.3
37.7%
35.1%
36.9
🏀Free throws
23.8
19.2
80.5%
77.3%
19.2
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Attempts per game
Made per game
Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
43.2
23.3
54.0%
54.0%
46.7
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
46.0
17.0
37.0%
35.1%
51.0
🏀Free throws
20.2
16.6
82.0%
77.3%
16.6
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 46.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
52.2
29.0
55.5%
54.0%
57.9
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
35.4
12.9
36.5%
35.1%
38.7
🏀Free throws
21.3
16.7
78.1%
77.3%
16.7
Their opponents take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
50.4
26.8
53.1%
54.0%
53.5
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
35.5
12.2
34.4%
35.1%
36.7
🏀Free throws
20.8
16.5
79.2%
77.3%
16.5
Their opponents take 86.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
💪 9. Team Strengths
Side by side
Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Los Angeles Clippers
WLWLLLLLLL
Charlotte Hornets
LWLLLLLLWW
#25
League position
#22
-2.7
Net rating
-4.1
110.0
Offensive rating
106.3
112.8
Defensive rating
110.4
55.3%
Effective FG%
50.5%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.1%
Turnover %
15.0%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.23
38.5%
3-point %
32.3%
62.0%
Assist %
58.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%
Profile
■ Los Angeles Clippers■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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