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Los Angeles Lakers vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Projected 114-103
Projected total 217.1
Scheduled
Position#2
Record11-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game122.2
Allowed / game114.2
Los Angeles Lakers
USA
Vs
80%
20%
■ LAL 80%■ CHA 20%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
3.4/10
Below normal
Charlotte Hornets
USA
Position#22
Record4-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game109.6
USANBA· Crypto.com Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Los Angeles Lakers v Charlotte Hornets
17 Nov 2026
LAL v CHA
upcoming
15 Jan 2026
LAL117
CHA135
19 Feb 2025
LAL97
CHA100
28 Dec 2023
LAL133
CHA112
23 Dec 2022
LAL130
CHA134
08 Nov 2021
LAL126
CHA123
18 Mar 2021
LAL116
CHA105
27 Oct 2019
LAL120
CHA101
29 Mar 2019
LAL129
CHA115
05 Jan 2018
LAL94
CHA108
28 Feb 2017
LAL104
CHA109
31 Jan 2016
LAL82
CHA101
09 Nov 2014
LAL107
CHA92
31 Jan 2014
LAL100
CHA110
18 Dec 2012
LAL101
CHA100
31 Jan 2012
LAL106
CHA73
04 Mar 2011
LAL92
CHA84
03 Feb 2010
LAL99
CHA97
27 Jan 2009
LAL110
CHA117
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Los Angeles Lakers face Charlotte Hornets on 17 November 2026 in the NBA, with the Lakers the clear favourite as the Pythia model rates them 80% to win, reflecting their 11-2 season record, 122.2 points per game and 114.2 allowed, and a league position of 1; the Hornets sit 4-7, 98.8 points per game, 110.4 allowed, and 21st. The Lakers have won 5 of 6 home games, averaging 129.0 points and conceding 119.7, and are undefeated in their last five outings, including a 123-112 win over the Bucks, a 124-114 win over the Hawks and a 121-116 win over the Pistons. The Hornets have won only 1 of 4 road games, scoring 95.5 and allowing 102.2, and have managed one win in their last five, a 124-112 victory over the Cavaliers. In their 10-game history, the Lakers lead 6-4, though the Hornets last defeated them 135-117 on 15 January 2026. Pythia projects a 114-103 score, 217.1 total points, an 80% chance the Lakers will win and a 20% chance the Hornets will win, with a 4% chance of overtime. The home team line is 114-103 and the model estimates an 80% probability the Lakers will cover.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Los Angeles Lakers win
79.7%fair 1.25
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets win
20.3%fair 4.93
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Los Angeles LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLakers
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
129-136
129
136
-7
123avg 109
H28/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
103-87
103
87
+16
93avg 109
A29/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
95-112
95
112
-17
84avg 109
A31/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
131-125
131
125
+6
131avg 109
H02/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
138-117
138
117
+21
141avg 109
H03/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
116-103
116
103
+13
108avg 109
A05/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
124-118
124
118
+6
104avg 109
H07/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
W
121-116
121
116
+5
112avg 109
A08/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
124-114
124
114
+10
119avg 109
A10/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
123-112
123
112
+11
120avg 109
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-32
35-36
30-34
26-34
25-22
31-16
29-28
18-21
38-15
15-38
27-32
15-27
36-23
30-31
38-28
27-43
37-30
42-42
32-21
27-24
28-28
33-26
26-20
29-29
20-29
33-31
34-15
37-43
38-14
23-34
27-33
33-35
31-22
37-35
27-33
29-24
30-28
31-22
33-23
29-39
234.4Avg total
120.4Scored
114.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)122.2114.2236.4+7.985%
Season at home (6)129.0119.7248.7+9.383%
Season away (7)116.3109.6225.9+6.786%
Last 10 (10)120.4114.0234.4+6.480%
Last 5 (5)121.6112.6234.2+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)99.7123.5223.2-23.80%
vs Similar (14)110.7104.9215.6+5.971%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)125.1113.9239.0+11.290%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#15
W
115-110
115
110
+5
107avg 104
H24/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
110-103
110
103
+7
93avg 104
H26/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
89-97
89
97
-8
83avg 104
A28/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
79-95
79
95
-16
59avg 104
A30/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
104-109
104
109
-5
91avg 104
H31/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
91-124
91
124
-33
68avg 104
H03/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
104-114
104
114
-10
95avg 104
A05/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
80-119
80
119
-39
52avg 104
H07/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
124-112
124
112
+12
118avg 104
H10/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
96-101
96
101
-5
94avg 104
A13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-31
35-27
30-17
19-35
19-21
35-23
26-24
30-35
22-21
29-23
19-32
19-21
26-22
20-29
13-28
20-16
37-27
17-30
29-20
21-32
24-27
30-38
21-33
16-26
24-21
33-29
23-30
24-34
20-40
19-30
18-26
23-23
29-28
40-25
38-27
17-32
22-28
28-27
26-17
20-29
207.6Avg total
99.2Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)98.6109.6208.2-11.033%
Season at home (7)100.7115.0215.7-14.343%
Season away (5)95.6102.0197.6-6.420%
Last 10 (10)99.2108.4207.6-9.230%
Last 5 (5)99.0114.0213.0-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)98.6109.6208.2-11.033%
vs Similar (12)113.2111.5224.8+1.858%
vs Weaker (6)122.5102.0224.5+20.583%
This opponent (Los Angeles Lakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%8%11%0%1701%1752%1803%1854%1906%1958%2009%20511%21011%21510%2209%2257%2306%2354%2403%2452%2501%2551%2600%2650%270
1%1753%1856%1959%20511%2159%2256%2353%2451%2550%265
Pythia expects about 217 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 215-219 (11%).
Over/Under 219
Over 219
45.0%
Under 219
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 224
Over 224
34.3%
Under 224
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 229
Over 229
24.9%
Under 229
75.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Los Angeles Lakers total 108.5
Over 108.5
69.0%
Under 108.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Los Angeles Lakers total 112.5
Over 112.5
55.7%
Under 112.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Los Angeles Lakers total 116.5
Over 116.5
41.7%
Under 116.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charlotte Hornets total 107
Over 107
35.4%
Under 107
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charlotte Hornets total 111
Over 111
23.8%
Under 111
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charlotte Hornets total 115
Over 115
14.9%
Under 115
85.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%4%7%9%0%-270%-241%-211%-182%-153%-124%-95%-65%-35%+08%+39%+68%+98%+128%+158%+186%+215%+244%+273%+302%+331%+361%+391%+420%+45
0%-241%-183%-125%-65%+09%+68%+128%+185%+243%+301%+361%+42
Margin from Los Angeles Lakers's side (positive = Los Angeles Lakers win). Pythia's expected margin is +11.1; Los Angeles Lakers win by 1+ in 73% of simulations.
Spread Los Angeles Lakers -3
LAL -3
75.5%
CHA +3
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
LAL
No market prices yet.
CHA
No market prices yet.
Spread Los Angeles Lakers 0
LAL 0
79.7%
CHA 0
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
LAL
No market prices yet.
CHA
No market prices yet.
Spread Los Angeles Lakers +3
LAL +3
84.1%
CHA -3
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
LAL
No market prices yet.
CHA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.8+7.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: -7.4-7.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.8+7.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: -7.4-7.4
Los Angeles LakersCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Los Angeles LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H28/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A29/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A31/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H02/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H03/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
61-54
61
54
+7
A05/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H07/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
W
61-48
61
48
+13
A08/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A10/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A12/11
NBA
118.5Avg total
63.1Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.555.4114.0+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.155.8114.9+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)57.955.1113.0+2.967%-
Last 10 (10)63.155.4118.5+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)60.853.8114.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)52.261.8114.0-9.733%-
vs Similar (14)56.551.4107.9+5.171%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)65.257.2122.4+8.080%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#15
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H24/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H26/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A28/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A30/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H31/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H03/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A05/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
39-70
39
70
-31
H07/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
69-53
69
53
+16
H10/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A13/11
NBA
108.7Avg total
54.0Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.955.8112.7+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (18)59.857.4117.2+2.461%-
Last 30 away (12)52.653.4106.0-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)54.054.7108.7-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)53.858.6112.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)53.155.2108.3-2.250%-
vs Similar (12)57.058.0115.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (6)64.352.5116.8+11.883%-
This opponent (Los Angeles Lakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Los Angeles Lakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Los Angeles Lakers: 114.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.427.1
54.9%
54.0%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.213.0
39.2%
35.1%39.0
🏀 Free throws27.321.2
77.7%
77.2%21.2
They take 82.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 106.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.122.7
52.7%
54.0%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.514.7
32.3%
35.1%44.1
🏀 Free throws20.016.9
84.5%
77.2%16.9
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 45.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Los Angeles Lakers
WWWWWWWLWL
Charlotte Hornets
LWLLLLLLWW
#2
League position
#22
-2.3
Net rating
-4.1
115.4
Offensive rating
106.3
117.7
Defensive rating
110.4
56.4%
Effective FG%
50.5%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.4%
Turnover %
15.0%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.2%
3-point %
32.3%
57.4%
Assist %
58.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 106.3Defence117.7 · 110.4Shooting56.4% · 50.5%3-point %39.2% · 32.3%Ball care15.4% · 15.0%Off. rebounds26.5% · 29.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Los Angeles Lakers   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Los Angeles Lakers wins
4
Charlotte Hornets wins
DateGameScore
16/01/26Los Angeles Lakers v Charlotte Hornets117-135
11/11/25Charlotte Hornets v Los Angeles Lakers111-121
20/02/25Los Angeles Lakers v Charlotte Hornets97-100
28/01/25Charlotte Hornets v Los Angeles Lakers107-112
06/02/24Charlotte Hornets v Los Angeles Lakers118-124
29/12/23Los Angeles Lakers v Charlotte Hornets133-112
03/01/23Charlotte Hornets v Los Angeles Lakers115-121
24/12/22Los Angeles Lakers v Charlotte Hornets130-134
29/01/22Charlotte Hornets v Los Angeles Lakers117-114
09/11/21Los Angeles Lakers v Charlotte Hornets126-123 OT
Los Angeles Lakerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks123-112
10/11/26AAtlanta Hawks124-114
08/11/26ADetroit Pistons121-116
07/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers124-118
05/11/26ASacramento Kings116-103
03/11/26HMiami Heat138-117
02/11/26HToronto Raptors131-125
31/10/26AGolden State Warriors95-112
29/10/26ALos Angeles Clippers103-87
28/10/26HPortland Trail Blazers129-136
Charlotte Hornetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26APhoenix Suns96-101
10/11/26HCleveland Cavaliers124-112
07/11/26HBoston Celtics80-119
05/11/26ABrooklyn Nets104-114
03/11/26HDetroit Pistons91-124
31/10/26HPhiladelphia 76ers104-109
30/10/26AWashington Wizards79-95
28/10/26ADetroit Pistons89-97
26/10/26HWashington Wizards110-103
24/10/26HMiami Heat115-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %85%83%86%
Points / game122.2129.0116.3
Allowed / game114.2119.7109.6
Point differential+7.9+9.3+6.7
Avg total236.4248.7225.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%33%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWLLLW43%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %33%43%20%
Points / game98.6100.795.6
Allowed / game109.6115.0102.0
Point differential-11.0-14.3-6.4
Avg total208.2215.7197.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+1.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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