PythiaBasketballBETA
The Los Angeles Lakers will host the Utah Jazz on 18 November 2026 in the NBA, and the Pythia model names the Lakers the clear favourite, rating them 80% to win because of their 11-2 season record, 122.2 points per game and 114.2 points allowed, and a league position of 1. The Lakers have gone 5-1 at home, scoring 129.0 and allowing 119.7, and have won their last five games, including a 123-112 victory over the Milwaukee Bucks, a 124-114 win against the Atlanta Hawks and a 121-116 win over the Detroit Pistons. The Jazz, conversely, have a 1-11 record, 106.6 points per game and 118.1 allowed, and are 0-5 on the road, scoring 102.6 and conceding 117.8, with five straight losses that include 108-123 to the Orlando Magic, 109-115 to the Miami Heat and 100-115 to the Minnesota Timberwolves. In their 10 meetings the Lakers have won 9, most recently 132-123 on 25 October 2026. Pythia projects a 121-110 score, a total of 230.2 points, and gives the Lakers an 80% chance to win, the Jazz 20%, with a 4% chance of overtime. The home team line is 121-110 and the model estimates an 80% probability that the Lakers will cover. The Jazz last faced the Lakers in a 132-123 defeat.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (13) | 122.2 | 114.2 | 236.4 | +7.9 | 85% |
| Season at home (6) | 129.0 | 119.7 | 248.7 | +9.3 | 83% |
| Season away (7) | 116.3 | 109.6 | 225.9 | +6.7 | 86% |
| Last 10 (10) | 120.4 | 114.0 | 234.4 | +6.4 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 121.6 | 112.6 | 234.2 | +9.0 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 99.7 | 123.5 | 223.2 | -23.8 | 0% |
| vs Similar (14) | 110.7 | 104.9 | 215.6 | +5.9 | 71% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 125.1 | 113.9 | 239.0 | +11.2 | 90% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (13) | 107.5 | 118.6 | 226.1 | -11.2 | 8% |
| Season at home (7) | 109.4 | 118.3 | 227.7 | -8.9 | 14% |
| Season away (6) | 105.2 | 119.0 | 224.2 | -13.8 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 105.1 | 116.8 | 221.9 | -11.7 | 0% |
| Last 5 (5) | 107.0 | 118.0 | 225.0 | -11.0 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (23) | 110.5 | 126.7 | 237.2 | -16.3 | 0% |
| vs Similar (7) | 123.7 | 120.1 | 243.9 | +3.6 | 43% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 58.5 | 55.4 | 114.0 | +3.1 | 67% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 59.1 | 55.8 | 114.9 | +3.3 | 67% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 57.9 | 55.1 | 113.0 | +2.9 | 67% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 63.1 | 55.4 | 118.5 | +7.7 | 80% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 60.8 | 53.8 | 114.6 | +7.0 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 52.2 | 61.8 | 114.0 | -9.7 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar (14) | 56.5 | 51.4 | 107.9 | +5.1 | 71% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 65.2 | 57.2 | 122.4 | +8.0 | 80% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 55.5 | 61.6 | 117.1 | -6.0 | 23% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 58.5 | 60.7 | 119.3 | -2.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 52.5 | 62.4 | 114.9 | -9.9 | 7% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 50.9 | 57.6 | 108.5 | -6.7 | 10% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 54.8 | 61.4 | 116.2 | -6.6 | 0% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (23) | 55.0 | 63.9 | 119.0 | -8.9 | 13% | - |
| vs Similar (7) | 57.1 | 53.9 | 111.0 | +3.3 | 57% | - |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 49.4 | 27.1 | 54.0% | 54.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 33.2 | 13.0 | 35.1% | 39.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 27.3 | 21.2 | 77.3% | 21.2 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 49.9 | 26.0 | 54.0% | 52.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 37.5 | 12.1 | 35.1% | 36.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.7 | 19.4 | 77.3% | 19.4 |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25/10/26 | Utah Jazz v Los Angeles Lakers | 123-132 |
| 13/04/26 | Los Angeles Lakers v Utah Jazz | 131-107 |
| 19/12/25 | Utah Jazz v Los Angeles Lakers | 135-143 |
| 24/11/25 | Utah Jazz v Los Angeles Lakers | 106-108 |
| 19/11/25 | Los Angeles Lakers v Utah Jazz | 140-126 |
| 13/02/25 | Utah Jazz v Los Angeles Lakers | 131-119 |
| 11/02/25 | Los Angeles Lakers v Utah Jazz | 132-113 |
| 02/12/24 | Utah Jazz v Los Angeles Lakers | 104-105 |
| 20/11/24 | Los Angeles Lakers v Utah Jazz | 124-118 |
| 15/02/24 | Utah Jazz v Los Angeles Lakers | 122-138 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | Milwaukee Bucks | 123-112 |
| 10/11/26 | A | Atlanta Hawks | 124-114 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Detroit Pistons | 121-116 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Portland Trail Blazers | 124-118 |
| 05/11/26 | A | Sacramento Kings | 116-103 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Miami Heat | 138-117 |
| 02/11/26 | H | Toronto Raptors | 131-125 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Golden State Warriors | 95-112 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Los Angeles Clippers | 103-87 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Portland Trail Blazers | 129-136 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Houston Rockets | 118-125 |
| 12/11/26 | H | Orlando Magic | 108-123 |
| 11/11/26 | H | Miami Heat | 109-115 |
| 09/11/26 | A | Minnesota Timberwolves | 100-115 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Dallas Mavericks | 100-112 |
| 05/11/26 | A | New Orleans Pelicans | 113-120 OT |
| 03/11/26 | A | San Antonio Spurs | 97-119 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Portland Trail Blazers | 90-112 |
| 29/10/26 | H | San Antonio Spurs | 111-117 OT |
| 27/10/26 | H | Memphis Grizzlies | 105-110 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 85% |
| Home | WLWWW | 83% |
| Away | LWWWW | 86% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 13 | 6 | 7 |
| Win % | 85% | 83% | 86% |
| Points / game | 122.2 | 129.0 | 116.3 |
| Allowed / game | 114.2 | 119.7 | 109.6 |
| Point differential | +7.9 | +9.3 | +6.7 |
| Avg total | 236.4 | 248.7 | 225.9 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 46% | 33% | 57% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 8% |
| Home | LLLLL | 14% |
| Away | LLLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 13 | 7 | 6 |
| Win % | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Points / game | 107.5 | 109.4 | 105.2 |
| Allowed / game | 118.6 | 118.3 | 119.0 |
| Point differential | -11.2 | -8.9 | -13.8 |
| Avg total | 226.1 | 227.7 | 224.2 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 50% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 15% | 14% | 17% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Antonio Spurs | 13 | 11 | 2 | 85% | 119.5 | 106.2 | +13.2 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Lakers | 13 | 11 | 2 | 85% | 122.2 | 114.2 | +7.9 |
| 3 |  Boston Celtics | 12 | 10 | 2 | 83% | 114.2 | 103.1 | +11.2 |
| 4 |  Houston Rockets | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 116.2 | 107.4 | +8.8 |
| 5 |  Philadelphia 76ers | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 111.2 | 109.4 | +1.8 |
| 6 |  Portland Trail Blazers | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 119.6 | 111.8 | +7.8 |
| 7 |  Minnesota Timberwolves | 13 | 9 | 4 | 69% | 118.3 | 106.8 | +11.5 |
| 8 |  Memphis Grizzlies | 13 | 9 | 4 | 69% | 120.6 | 111.7 | +8.9 |
| 9 |  Detroit Pistons | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 115.7 | 110.2 | +5.4 |
| 10 |  Denver Nuggets | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 114.6 | 112.8 | +1.8 |
| 11 |  Golden State Warriors | 13 | 8 | 5 | 62% | 116.7 | 112.4 | +4.3 |
| 12 |  Oklahoma City Thunder | 13 | 8 | 5 | 62% | 111.2 | 107.4 | +3.8 |
| 13 |  Atlanta Hawks | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 118.2 | 116.8 | +1.3 |
| 14 |  Dallas Mavericks | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 113.5 | 113.3 | +0.2 |
| 15 |  Miami Heat | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 118.7 | 119.8 | -1.2 |
| 16 |  New York Knicks | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50% | 109.8 | 103.7 | +6.1 |
| 17 |  Cleveland Cavaliers | 14 | 7 | 7 | 50% | 117.5 | 115.9 | +1.6 |
| 18 |  Phoenix Suns | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 111.7 | 116.1 | -4.4 |
| 19 |  Toronto Raptors | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 114.2 | 112.8 | +1.4 |
| 20 |  Orlando Magic | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 108.3 | 112.8 | -4.4 |
| 21 |  Indiana Pacers | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38% | 111.2 | 113.2 | -2.1 |
| 22 |  Charlotte Hornets | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33% | 98.6 | 109.6 | -11.0 |
| 23 |  Washington Wizards | 13 | 4 | 9 | 31% | 110.0 | 115.8 | -5.8 |
| 24 |  New Orleans Pelicans | 14 | 4 | 10 | 29% | 115.9 | 124.9 | -9.1 |
| 25 |  Los Angeles Clippers | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 112.3 | 117.5 | -5.3 |
| 26 |  Brooklyn Nets | 12 | 3 | 9 | 25% | 110.2 | 116.4 | -6.2 |
| 27 |  Chicago Bulls | 12 | 3 | 9 | 25% | 114.6 | 125.9 | -11.3 |
| 28 |  Sacramento Kings | 12 | 1 | 11 | 8% | 108.2 | 120.9 | -12.8 |
| 29 | Utah Jazz | 13 | 1 | 12 | 8% | 107.5 | 118.6 | -11.2 |
| 30 |  Milwaukee Bucks | 13 | 1 | 12 | 8% | 106.2 | 120.2 | -14.1 |
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