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Louisiana Lafayette vs Troy Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 22:00
Scheduled
Position#286
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game59.0
Allowed / game60.3
vs
Position#323
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game78.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Louisiana Lafayette v Troy
23 Jan 2027
LOUI v TROY
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
LOUI70
TROY90
12 Feb 2025
LOUI56
TROY74
28 Feb 2024
LOUI73
TROY87
26 Jan 2023
LOUI72
TROY57
22 Jan 2022
LOUI69
TROY59
04 Jan 2020
LOUI79
TROY62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisiana Lafayette win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Troy win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Louisiana LafayetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#300
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A16/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
62-79
62
79
-17
H20/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
59-78
59
78
-19
A25/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A28/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H03/03
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A04/03
NCAA
Akron
#40
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H03/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#221
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H07/11
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#372
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-34
39-49
33-36
29-43
34-18
33-36
23-27
36-51
22-37
36-44
36-38
48-37
27-37
45-50
29-46
32-29
28-36
32-31
26-15
30-24
136.9Avg total
65.1Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)59.060.3119.3-1.333%
Season at home (3)59.060.3119.3-1.333%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)65.171.8136.9-6.730%
Last 5 (5)66.668.6135.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)61.369.6130.9-8.322%
vs Similar (3)83.775.7159.3+8.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)65.557.8123.2+7.875%
This opponent (Troy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H25/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H08/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H09/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
47-76
47
76
-29
A19/03
NCAA
UMass
#160
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H03/11
NCAA
Florida State
#238
L
68-91
68
91
-23
A07/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#253
W
74-69 OT
74
69
+5
H11/11
NCAA
NC State
#39
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-33
28-32
27-23
51-36
37-29
43-36
41-28
37-42
38-25
39-36
25-41
22-35
28-38
32-33
26-37
42-54
29-37
36-28
27-36
35-45
138.6Avg total
67.8Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.078.0144.0-12.025%
Season at home (2)67.070.0137.0-3.050%
Season away (2)65.086.0151.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)67.870.8138.6-3.050%
Last 5 (5)62.277.6139.8-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)65.076.2141.2-11.233%
vs Similar (9)72.071.3143.3+0.756%
vs Weaker (15)80.368.7148.9+11.680%
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: -1.2-1.2
Louisiana LafayetteTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Louisiana LafayetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#300
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A16/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H20/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
34-18
34
18
+16
H21/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
23-27
23
27
-4
A25/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A28/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H03/03
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Akron
#40
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H03/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#221
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H07/11
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#372
W
26-15
26
15
+11
H10/11
NCAA
61.5Avg total
29.1Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.632.161.7-2.527%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.133.565.6-1.429%-
Last 30 away (13)26.330.256.5-3.823%-
Last 10 (10)29.132.461.5-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)29.234.463.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)28.232.660.7-4.417%-
vs Similar (3)40.036.076.0+4.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)30.026.256.2+3.875%-
This opponent (Troy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H08/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H09/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A19/03
NCAA
UMass
#160
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H03/11
NCAA
Florida State
#238
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A07/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#253
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H11/11
NCAA
NC State
#39
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A14/11
NCAA
63.1Avg total
30.4Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.132.366.4+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.829.365.1+6.475%-
Last 30 away (14)32.335.667.9-3.414%-
Last 10 (10)30.432.763.1-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)27.037.864.8-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)28.336.364.7-8.017%-
vs Similar (9)33.434.768.1-1.244%-
vs Weaker (15)36.929.266.1+7.760%-
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Louisiana Lafayette wins
6
Troy wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HSouthern-New O.56-39
07/11/26HTexas A&M-CC60-67
03/11/26HAkron61-75
04/03/26AJames Madison72-87
03/03/26HGeorgia State84-75
28/02/26AArkansas State58-81
25/02/26ATroy59-78
21/02/26HTexas State67-54
20/02/26HArkansas State62-79
16/02/26AOld Dominion72-83
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANC State62-81
11/11/26HLoyola Marymount74-69 OT
07/11/26AFlorida State68-91
03/11/26HUMass60-71
19/03/26ANebraska47-76
09/03/26HGeorgia Southern77-61
08/03/26HSouthern Miss78-70
28/02/26HLouisiana Monroe80-65
25/02/26HLouisiana Lafayette78-59
21/02/26ASouth Alabama54-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisiana Lafayette
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLLW33%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %33%33%-
Points / game59.059.0-
Allowed / game60.360.3-
Point differential-1.3-1.3-
Avg total119.3119.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Troy
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game66.067.065.0
Allowed / game78.070.086.0
Point differential-12.0-3.0-21.0
Avg total144.0137.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State440100%89.862.8+27.0
2 Old Dominion550100%77.058.4+18.6
3 Appalachian State42250%69.060.2+8.8
4 Southern Miss42250%72.070.8+1.2
5 Arkansas State42250%80.279.5+0.8
6 James Madison42250%77.076.8+0.2
7 Coastal Carolina42250%72.573.5-1.0
8 Georgia State52340%84.272.4+11.8
9 South Alabama52340%74.676.0-1.4
10 Louisiana Lafayette31233%59.060.3-1.3
11 Marshall41325%78.276.0+2.2
12 Georgia Southern41325%77.882.8-5.0
13 Troy41325%66.078.0-12.0
14 Louisiana Monroe61517%75.087.7-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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