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Louisiana Lafayette vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 70-90
35-53 35-37
Position#320
Record4-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game60.1
Allowed / game69.2
Louisiana Lafayette
USA
vs
Troy 🏆
USA
Position#84
Record10-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game77.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Louisiana Lafayette v Troy
23 Jan 2027
LOUI v TROY
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
LOUI70
TROY90
12 Feb 2025
LOUI56
TROY74
28 Feb 2024
LOUI73
TROY87
26 Jan 2023
LOUI72
TROY57
22 Jan 2022
LOUI69
TROY59
04 Jan 2020
LOUI79
TROY62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisiana Lafayette winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Louisiana LafayetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#306
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H29/11
NCAA
Lamar
#286
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A04/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H06/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
44-65
44
65
-21
A13/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A19/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A20/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H28/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
58-63
58
63
-5
H31/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H03/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
18-29
27-22
29-27
26-38
38-39
25-31
19-31
25-34
17-24
37-38
39-25
37-37
33-25
30-29
30-31
28-32
27-33
40-41
37-36
48-43
125.5Avg total
61.0Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)60.169.2129.2-9.124%
Season at home (8)62.663.6126.2-1.038%
Season away (9)57.874.1131.9-16.311%
Last 10 (10)61.064.5125.5-3.530%
Last 5 (5)69.866.4136.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)60.371.3131.7-11.019%
vs Similar (6)63.363.0126.3+0.367%
vs Weaker (3)68.764.0132.7+4.767%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#153
L
106-107 OT
106
107
-1
A21/11
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H24/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A26/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
H02/12
NCAA
La Grange
#604
W
101-47
101
47
+54
H06/12
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A14/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H20/12
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
100-80
100
80
+20
H31/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H03/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-29
39-39
36-30
32-45
28-33
46-31
28-27
37-38
60-17
41-30
35-39
51-46
36-32
34-31
45-33
55-47
30-23
29-26
32-45
42-41
157.6Avg total
82.7Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.777.4163.1+8.362%
Season at home (7)86.966.1153.0+20.771%
Season away (9)84.886.1170.9-1.356%
Last 10 (10)82.774.9157.6+7.860%
Last 5 (5)77.872.6150.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)77.176.6153.7+0.464%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)80.568.9149.4+11.767%
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: +3.2+3.2
Louisiana LafayetteTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Louisiana LafayetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#306
L
18-29
18
29
-11
H29/11
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A04/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H06/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
19-31
19
31
-12
A13/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
17-24
17
24
-7
A19/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A20/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H28/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H31/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H03/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H09/01
NCAA
58.7Avg total
28.7Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.030.958.9-3.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.129.960.0+0.357%-
Last 30 away (16)26.131.957.9-5.838%-
Last 10 (10)28.730.058.7-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)33.230.063.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)26.931.958.8-5.033%-
vs Similar (6)30.228.058.2+2.283%-
vs Weaker (3)31.330.061.3+1.367%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#153
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A21/11
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H24/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A26/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H02/12
NCAA
La Grange
#604
W
60-17
60
17
+43
H06/12
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A14/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H20/12
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H31/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H03/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A08/01
NCAA
66.7Avg total
35.9Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.530.867.4+5.753%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.828.269.1+12.685%-
Last 30 away (17)33.232.866.1+0.429%-
Last 10 (10)35.930.866.7+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.634.470.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)34.433.467.9+1.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)37.128.765.8+8.560%-
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Louisiana Lafayette wins
4
Troy wins
DateGameScore
21/02/25Troy v Louisiana Lafayette69-72
13/02/25Louisiana Lafayette v Troy56-74
29/02/24Louisiana Lafayette v Troy73-87
11/01/24Troy v Louisiana Lafayette79-73
11/02/23Troy v Louisiana Lafayette80-65
27/01/23Louisiana Lafayette v Troy72-57
06/03/22Troy v Louisiana Lafayette57-66
23/01/22Louisiana Lafayette v Troy69-59
16/02/20Troy v Louisiana Lafayette77-81
05/01/20Louisiana Lafayette v Troy79-62
Louisiana Lafayettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HLouisiana Monroe85-79
03/01/26HSouthern Miss67-74
31/12/25HSouth Alabama58-63
28/12/25HNorfolk State63-54
20/12/25ALouisiana Monroe76-62
19/12/25ASouthern Miss54-62
13/12/25ALouisiana Tech44-65
06/12/25HNC Wilmington63-70
04/12/25ALamar55-65
29/11/25HJackson State45-51
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26AArkansas State74-86
03/01/26HSouth Alabama59-49
31/12/25HTexas State100-80
20/12/25HMarshall70-63
14/12/25AUAB86-85
06/12/25HLa Grange101-47
02/12/25HWest Georgia89-93 OT
26/11/25ASt. Francis (PA)74-64
24/11/25HToledo68-75
21/11/25AUSC106-107 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisiana Lafayette
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW24%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %24%38%11%
Points / game60.162.657.8
Allowed / game69.263.674.1
Point differential-9.1-1.0-16.3
Avg total129.2126.2131.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Troy
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWLWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %62%71%56%
Points / game85.786.984.8
Allowed / game77.466.186.1
Point differential+8.3+20.7-1.3
Avg total163.1153.0170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%57%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %25%14%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Georgia Southern1712571%84.479.4+5.1
2 Arkansas State1611569%83.377.8+5.6
3 Marshall1611569%79.874.9+4.9
4 Troy1610662%85.777.4+8.3
5 Appalachian State1710759%73.166.7+6.4
6 Southern Miss1710759%76.373.1+3.2
7 South Alabama169756%72.467.9+4.5
8 Texas State179853%74.571.5+2.9
9 James Madison168850%75.177.0-1.9
10 Coastal Carolina178947%72.872.4+0.4
11 Old Dominion1751229%73.677.4-3.8
12 Georgia State1751229%69.674.9-5.3
13 Louisiana Lafayette1741324%60.169.2-9.1
14 Louisiana Monroe1731418%74.583.4-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisiana Lafayette353570
Troy533790
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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