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Texas State vs Louisiana Monroe Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 80-63
40-25 40-38
Position#207
Record13-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#346
Record7-20
FormWLLLW
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game73.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Texas State v Louisiana Monroe
14 Feb 2026
TEXA95
LOUI84
19 Feb 2025
TEXA80
LOUI63
27 Feb 2024
TEXA73
LOUI55
29 Dec 2022
TEXA53
LOUI57
13 Jan 2022
TEXA80
LOUI56
27 Feb 2021
TEXA61
LOUI57
26 Feb 2021
TEXA58
LOUI49
30 Jan 2020
TEXA71
LOUI51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisiana Monroe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#274
W
94-80
94
80
+14
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
H18/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
89-74
89
74
+15
A23/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H31/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H01/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A06/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A08/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
72-60
72
60
+12
A14/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
65-70 OT
65
70
-5
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
46-35
48-45
39-39
38-38
38-33
51-41
34-36
31-44
27-33
34-37
33-39
41-46
35-38
29-37
26-33
44-52
34-27
38-33
29-32
31-28
150.0Avg total
73.9Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.372.6147.9+2.748%
Season at home (12)79.168.8147.9+10.267%
Season away (15)72.375.6147.9-3.333%
Last 10 (10)73.976.1150.0-2.240%
Last 5 (5)69.075.0144.0-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.775.9145.6-6.129%
vs Similar (11)72.173.1145.2-1.045%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.868.8149.6+12.167%
This opponent (Louisiana Monroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana MonroeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A12/01
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
58-77
58
77
-19
H16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H18/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H25/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A31/01
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
50-87
50
87
-37
A01/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
64-97
64
97
-33
A06/02
NCAA
Texas State
#207
L
60-72
60
72
-12
H14/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-30
33-41
30-35
28-42
28-35
32-30
30-32
28-34
35-27
42-39
34-26
28-32
15-50
35-37
30-51
34-46
27-34
33-38
39-45
42-29
137.1Avg total
63.8Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)68.873.7142.5-4.926%
Season at home (15)73.770.1143.9+3.633%
Season away (12)62.678.2140.8-15.617%
Last 10 (10)63.873.3137.1-9.530%
Last 5 (5)63.477.6141.0-14.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)62.874.5137.3-11.618%
vs Similar (10)67.477.0144.4-9.610%
vs Weaker (3)103.360.7164.0+42.7100%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: -3.3-3.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: -3.3-3.3
Texas StateLouisiana Monroe
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#274
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H18/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A23/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H31/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H01/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A06/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A14/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A15/02
NCAA
68.6Avg total
34.1Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.534.168.6+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.032.670.6+5.467%-
Last 30 away (18)32.235.167.3-2.828%-
Last 10 (10)34.134.568.6-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)31.433.865.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.637.067.6-6.414%-
vs Similar (11)32.533.766.3-1.236%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.732.771.3+6.067%-
This opponent (Louisiana Monroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana MonroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A12/01
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H18/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H25/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A31/01
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
15-50
15
50
-35
A01/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A06/02
NCAA
Texas State
#207
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H14/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H15/02
NCAA
66.8Avg total
30.3Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.435.467.8-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.733.468.1+1.225%-
Last 30 away (14)29.737.767.4-8.043%-
Last 10 (10)30.336.566.8-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)29.041.270.2-12.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)28.835.664.4-6.824%-
vs Similar (10)32.237.369.5-5.130%-
vs Weaker (3)53.028.381.3+24.7100%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Texas State wins
2
Louisiana Monroe wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25ASouth Alabama65-70 OT
14/02/25ALouisiana Monroe72-60
08/02/25ACentral Michigan70-85
06/02/25AOld Dominion64-75
01/02/25HArkansas State74-85
31/01/25HLouisiana Lafayette61-70
25/01/25AArkansas State65-80
23/01/25ALouisiana Lafayette89-74
18/01/25HSouthern Miss85-82 OT
16/01/25HGeorgia State94-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HSouthern Miss81-74
14/02/25HTexas State60-72
06/02/25AGeorgia State64-97
01/02/25ATroy50-87
31/01/25ASouth Alabama62-58
28/01/25HSouth Alabama77-66
25/01/25HAppalachian State58-66
18/01/25HLouisiana Lafayette60-65
16/01/25HTroy58-77
12/01/25ALouisiana Lafayette68-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL48%
HomeLWWLL67%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %48%67%33%
Points / game75.379.172.3
Allowed / game72.668.875.6
Point differential+2.7+10.2-3.3
Avg total147.9147.9147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%42%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %11%8%13%
Louisiana Monroe
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW26%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %26%33%17%
Points / game68.873.762.6
Allowed / game73.770.178.2
Point differential-4.9+3.6-15.6
Avg total142.5143.9140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State2819968%78.169.5+8.7
2 South Alabama2819968%72.063.4+8.6
3 Troy2617965%72.865.2+7.7
4 James Madison27171063%72.868.9+3.9
5 Appalachian State26161062%68.962.7+6.2
6 Marshall27151256%75.572.4+3.1
7 Georgia Southern27141352%74.776.7-2.0
8 Texas State27131448%75.372.6+2.7
9 Georgia State27121544%75.478.7-3.3
10 Old Dominion27111641%68.672.7-4.1
11 Southern Miss27101737%72.076.3-4.3
12 Louisiana Lafayette2791833%66.674.0-7.4
13 Coastal Carolina2781930%66.070.9-4.9
14 Louisiana Monroe2772026%68.873.7-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State404080
Louisiana Monroe253863
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