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Louisiana Tech vs Alcorn State Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 25 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Projected 83-57
Projected total 140.6
Scheduled
Position#208
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game63.2
Vs
98%
■ LOUI 98%■ ALCO 2%
Pythia win probability
Position#389
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game90.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Louisiana Tech v Alcorn State
24 Nov 2026
LOUI v ALCO
upcoming
29 Nov 2025
LOUI83
ALCO58
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Louisiana Tech host Alcorn State in the NCAA. Pythia makes Louisiana Tech the favourite at 98% and projects 83-57, about 141 points in all. Overtime chance: 0%. Louisiana Tech are 2-2 this season (69.8 scored, 63.2 allowed a game), form LWWLL; Alcorn State are 0-4 this season (66.8 scored, 90.0 allowed a game), form LLLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisiana Tech win
98.3%fair 1.02
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alcorn State win
1.7%fair 57.67
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 15 Nov 07:37 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Louisiana TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A06/03
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
81-38
81
38
+43
A07/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H12/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H13/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H15/03
NCAA
Kent State
#274
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H03/11
NCAA
Ark Monticello
#513
W
76-17
76
17
+59
H06/11
NCAA
LSU
#13
L
50-90
50
90
-40
A10/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#203
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-41
36-43
45-40
31-31
40-22
41-16
39-25
41-44
30-27
39-39
32-35
28-36
41-32
44-43
38-8
38-9
20-47
30-43
33-28
35-43
137.3Avg total
72.1Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.863.2133.0+6.550%
Season at home (2)80.546.0126.5+34.5100%
Season away (2)59.080.5139.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)72.165.2137.3+6.960%
Last 5 (5)67.864.8132.6+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.090.0140.0-40.00%
vs Similar (21)68.972.3141.2-3.448%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)71.952.9124.7+19.086%
This opponent (Alcorn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alcorn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Southern
#281
L
87-92 OT
87
92
-5
A27/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
51-72
51
72
-21
A28/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H04/03
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
48-83
48
83
-35
H06/03
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A09/03
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A10/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#4
L
58-99
58
99
-41
A03/11
NCAA
Howard
#180
L
83-94
83
94
-11
H06/11
NCAA
Murray State
#25
L
57-94
57
94
-37
A11/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#120
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-41
35-35
22-36
29-36
38-23
29-41
19-37
29-46
32-31
45-34
26-22
30-43
31-52
27-47
32-47
51-47
30-51
27-43
33-29
36-44
145.4Avg total
65.3Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.890.0156.8-23.20%
Season at home (1)83.094.0177.0-11.00%
Season away (3)61.388.7150.0-27.30%
Last 10 (10)65.380.1145.4-14.820%
Last 5 (5)64.685.0149.6-20.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)65.180.8145.9-15.723%
vs Similar (2)84.577.0161.5+7.550%
vs Weaker (2)70.565.0135.5+5.5100%
This opponent (Louisiana Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 141
Over 141
49.0%
Under 141
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 146
Over 146
36.6%
Under 146
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 151
Over 151
25.4%
Under 151
74.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Louisiana Tech total 75.5
Over 75.5
78.1%
Under 75.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Louisiana Tech total 79.5
Over 79.5
64.5%
Under 79.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Louisiana Tech total 83.5
Over 83.5
48.7%
Under 83.5
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alcorn State total 62.5
Over 62.5
30.5%
Under 62.5
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alcorn State total 66.5
Over 66.5
18.1%
Under 66.5
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alcorn State total 70.5
Over 70.5
9.6%
Under 70.5
90.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Louisiana Tech -3
LOUI -3
97.5%
ALCO +3
2.5%
Best 5 market prices
LOUI
No market prices yet.
ALCO
No market prices yet.
Spread Louisiana Tech 0
LOUI 0
98.3%
ALCO 0
1.7%
Best 5 market prices
LOUI
No market prices yet.
ALCO
No market prices yet.
Spread Louisiana Tech +3
LOUI +3
98.9%
ALCO -3
1.1%
Best 5 market prices
LOUI
No market prices yet.
ALCO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: -6.5-6.52nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -7.8-7.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: -6.5-6.52nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -7.8-7.8
Louisiana TechAlcorn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Louisiana TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A06/03
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A07/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H12/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H13/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H15/03
NCAA
Kent State
#274
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H03/11
NCAA
Ark Monticello
#513
W
38-8
38
8
+30
H06/11
NCAA
LSU
#13
L
20-47
20
47
-27
A10/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#203
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A15/11
NCAA
66.3Avg total
35.8Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.931.264.1+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.930.165.1+4.853%-
Last 30 away (13)30.232.662.8-2.546%-
Last 10 (10)35.830.566.3+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)32.830.062.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)20.047.067.0-27.00%-
vs Similar (21)32.733.666.3-0.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)34.425.059.4+9.471%-
This opponent (Alcorn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alcorn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Southern
#281
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A28/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H04/03
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
19-37
19
37
-18
H06/03
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A09/03
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A10/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#4
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A03/11
NCAA
Howard
#180
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H06/11
NCAA
Murray State
#25
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A11/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#120
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A14/11
NCAA
67.3Avg total
30.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.238.169.3-6.823%-
Last 30 at home (11)31.534.465.9-2.818%-
Last 30 away (19)31.140.271.3-9.226%-
Last 10 (10)30.436.967.3-6.540%-
Last 5 (5)30.440.270.6-9.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)30.538.769.2-8.319%-
vs Similar (2)35.543.579.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker (2)37.024.061.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Louisiana Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Louisiana Tech wins
0
Alcorn State wins
DateGameScore
29/11/25Louisiana Tech v Alcorn State83-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ANicholls State68-71
10/11/26ALSU50-90
06/11/26HArk Monticello76-17
03/11/26HKent State85-75
15/03/26HKennesaw State60-71
13/03/26HMissouri State69-66
12/03/26HMiddle Tenn. St.80-69
07/03/26ADelaware81-38
06/03/26ALiberty76-71
28/02/26HFlorida International76-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ATarleton69-73
11/11/26AMurray State57-94
06/11/26HHoward83-94
03/11/26AOle Miss58-99
10/03/26APrairie View A&M56-65
09/03/26AAlabama State77-65
06/03/26HArkansas-Pine Bluff48-83
04/03/26HMiss. Valley St.67-64
28/02/26APrairie View A&M51-72
27/02/26ATexas Southern87-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisiana Tech
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game69.880.559.0
Allowed / game63.246.080.5
Point differential+6.5+34.5-21.5
Avg total133.0126.5139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alcorn State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game66.883.061.3
Allowed / game90.094.088.7
Point differential-23.2-11.0-27.3
Avg total156.8177.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kennesaw State440100%95.564.8+30.8
2 Missouri State330100%85.361.3+24.0
3 Florida International330100%91.771.0+20.7
4 Western Kentucky43175%84.263.5+20.8
5 Middle Tenn. St.43175%80.876.2+4.5
6 Liberty32167%81.364.0+17.3
7 UTEP32167%71.767.3+4.3
8 Louisiana Tech42250%69.863.2+6.5
9 Jacksonville State42250%80.075.5+4.5
10 Sam Houston St.42250%86.885.0+1.8
11 Delaware31233%76.762.7+14.0
12 New Mexico State31233%66.378.3-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs43175%81.267.8+13.5
2 Grambling St.21150%75.590.0-14.5
3 Prairie View A&M52340%75.482.0-6.6
4 Jackson State52340%68.483.0-14.6
5 Alabama State31233%69.778.7-9.0
6 Florida A&M41325%77.880.8-3.0
7 Texas Southern41325%76.593.0-16.5
8 Bethune-Cookman4040%71.085.5-14.5
9 Miss. Valley St.4040%63.085.5-22.5
10 Alcorn State4040%66.890.0-23.2
11 Southern Univ.5050%60.488.2-27.8
12 Arkansas-Pine Bluff4040%52.898.8-46.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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