LSU hosts Louisiana Tech on 9 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model designates LSU as the clear favourite with a 79% chance of victory, reflecting their 2-0 season record, 96.0 points scored per game and only 54.0 points allowed per game, placing them 12th in the league, while Louisiana Tech also stands 2-0 but with 80.5 points per game and 46.0 allowed, ranking 26th; LSU's home record is 2-0 with the same averages, and their last five games include two wins and three losses, notably a 92-51 win over Texas Southern and a 100-57 win over New Orleans, whereas Louisiana Tech's last five feature four wins and one loss, including a 76-17 victory over Ark Monticello and an 85-75 win over Kent State; in head-to-head history LSU has won both encounters, most recently 66-57 on 18 December 2021; the model projects a 76-67 score, 142.3 total points, a 39% probability that the over 146.5 will be reached, and a 4% chance of overtime.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
LSU winWon
79.2%fair 1.26
Best odds1.01
Implied94.4%
Edge-15.2pp
Louisiana Tech winLost
20.8%fair 4.81
Best odds51.00
Implied5.6%
Edge+15.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (LSU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 141.5Actual: Under 141.5
Over 141.5
51.4%
@ 1.22-24.8pp
Under 141.5
48.6%
@ 3.90+24.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
Under
Bet365
3.90
Over/Under 146.5 · main lineActual: Under 146.5
Over 146.5
39.3%
@ 1.83-23.4pp
Under 146.5
60.7%
@ 2.60+23.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45
Under
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.47
1xBet
1.83
Over/Under 151.5Actual: Under 151.5
Over 151.5
28.3%
@ 2.08-17.4pp
Under 151.5
71.7%
@ 1.90+17.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.08
Marathon Be
1.98
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Under
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
📊 3. Team Totals
LSU total 87Actual: LSU over 87
Over 87
12.2%
Under 87
87.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
LSU total 91 · main lineActual: LSU under 91
Over 91
5.9%
@ 1.85-44.3pp
Under 91
94.1%
@ 1.86+44.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
LSU total 95Actual: LSU under 95
Over 95
2.5%
Under 95
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Louisiana Tech total 58.5Actual: Louisiana Tech under 58.5
Over 58.5
78.2%
@ 1.81+26.2pp
Under 58.5
21.8%
@ 2.10-26.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.81
Betano
1.60
Under
Betano
2.10
Pinnacle
1.96
Louisiana Tech total 62.5 · main lineActual: Louisiana Tech under 62.5
Over 62.5
64.9%
@ 2.18+19.1pp
Under 62.5
35.1%
@ 1.79-19.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.18
1xBet
1.79
Under
1xBet
1.79
Betano
1.55
Louisiana Tech total 66.5Actual: Louisiana Tech under 66.5
Over 66.5
49.5%
@ 3.50+21.1pp
Under 66.5
50.5%
@ 1.30-21.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.50
Betano
2.95
Under
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.25
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread LSU -32.5Actual: LSU -32.5
LSU -32.5
no forecast
@ 2.20
LOUI +32.5
no forecast
@ 1.67
Best 5 market prices
LSU
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.02
LOUI
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Spread LSU -29.5 · main lineActual: LSU -29.5
LSU -29.5
no forecast
@ 1.89
LOUI +29.5
no forecast
@ 1.96
Best 5 market prices
LSU
Bet365
1.89
Pinnacle
1.89
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.81
LOUI
Pinnacle
1.96
Bet365
1.92
Betano
1.91
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.83
Spread LSU -26.5Actual: LSU -26.5
LSU -26.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
LOUI +26.5
no forecast
@ 2.47
Best 5 market prices
LSU
1xBet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.47
LOUI
Betano
2.47
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.02
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
LSULouisiana Tech
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Louisiana Tech +22
87.5%
3.60
Bet365
3.60
-
-
-
-
+61.5pp
Lost
Louisiana Tech +15.5
71.3%
8.50
Bet365
8.50
-
-
-
-
+60.3pp
Lost
Louisiana Tech +23
89.1%
3.20
Bet365
3.20
-
-
-
-
+60.0pp
Lost
Louisiana Tech +23.5
89.3%
2.57
Betano
3.10
Bet365
3.00
1xBet
1.60
-
-
+58.2pp
Lost
Louisiana Tech +24
90.5%
2.85
Bet365
2.85
-
-
-
-
+58.1pp
Lost
Louisiana Tech +24.5
90.7%
2.79
Betano
2.87
Bet365
2.70
-
-
-
+57.5pp
Lost
Louisiana Tech +22.5
87.7%
2.65
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.00
1xBet
1.69
-
-
+57.0pp
Lost
Louisiana Tech +21.5
85.9%
2.95
Bet365
3.70
Betano
3.15
1xBet
2.00
-
-
+56.4pp
Lost
Louisiana Tech +25
91.8%
2.62
Bet365
2.62
-
-
-
-
+56.4pp
Lost
LSU under 82.5
75.1%
4.20
Bet365
4.20
-
-
-
-
+52.8pp
Lost
LSU under 84.5
81.0%
3.18
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.25
Betano
2.90
-
-
+52.6pp
Lost
LSU under 86.5
85.9%
2.70
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.72
1xBet
2.62
-
-
+52.2pp
Lost
LSU under 83.5
78.1%
3.50
1xBet
3.50
-
-
-
-
+51.8pp
Lost
LSU under 81.5
71.8%
4.60
1xBet
5.00
Bet365
4.20
-
-
-
+51.4pp
Lost
LSU under 87.5
88.0%
2.49
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.47
-
-
-
+51.0pp
Lost
LSU under 85.5
83.6%
2.72
Betano
2.72
-
-
-
-
+50.2pp
Lost
Louisiana Tech +20.5
84.0%
3.15
Bet365
4.40
1xBet
1.90
-
-
-
+49.8pp
Lost
Louisiana Tech +19.5
81.8%
3.26
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
2.02
-
-
-
+49.5pp
Lost
LSU under 91
94.1%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+44.3pp
Won
LSU under 88.5
89.9%
2.20
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.27
Pinnacle
2.03
-
-
+43.5pp
Lost
LSU under 90
92.9%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.84
-
-
-
+42.8pp
Push
LSU under 89.5
91.6%
1.89
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.92
WilliamHill
1.91
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
+42.2pp
Lost
LSU under 91.5
94.2%
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.85
Betano
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
+41.5pp
Won
LSU under 90.5
93.0%
1.81
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
+40.5pp
Won
LSU under 92.5
95.3%
1.65
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.57
-
-
+39.5pp
Won
LSU under 93.5
96.2%
1.56
1xBet
1.57
Betano
1.55
-
-
-
+37.5pp
Won
LSU under 94.5
96.9%
1.47
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+34.4pp
Won
LSU under 95.5
97.5%
1.36
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.33
-
-
-
+30.5pp
Won
LSU under 96.5
98.0%
1.33
Bet365
1.34
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.33
-
-
+28.8pp
Won
Louisiana Tech over 60.5
71.9%
1.90
Pinnacle
2.09
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.88
Bet365
1.86
+26.9pp
Lost
Louisiana Tech over 59.5
75.2%
1.89
Pinnacle
1.95
Betano
1.82
-
-
-
+26.6pp
Lost
Louisiana Tech over 58.5
78.2%
1.71
Pinnacle
1.81
Betano
1.60
-
-
-
+26.2pp
Lost
Louisiana Tech over 60
74.4%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+24.5pp
Lost
LSU under 98.5
98.8%
1.21
Bet365
1.23
1xBet
1.20
-
-
-
+22.7pp
Won
LSU under 99.5
99.1%
1.20
1xBet
1.20
-
-
-
-
+22.1pp
Won
Under 153
75.1%
1.69
Pinnacle
1.75
Bet365
1.68
Marathon Bet
1.65
-
-
+20.7pp
Won
Under 152.5
73.7%
1.75
Betano
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
1xBet
1.76
Bet365
1.74
+20.7pp
Won
Louisiana Tech over 61
70.9%
1.84
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
-
-
-
+20.7pp
Lost
Under 154
77.0%
1.66
Marathon Bet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.67
Bet365
1.62
-
-
+20.2pp
Won
Under 153.5
75.6%
1.69
Marathon Bet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.71
1xBet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.66
+20.0pp
Won
Under 154.5
77.5%
1.61
Marathon Bet
1.64
1xBet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.58
-
+19.8pp
Won
LSU under 100.5
99.3%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+19.8pp
Won
Under 155
78.9%
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
-
+19.1pp
Won
Under 155.5
79.2%
1.52
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+18.6pp
Won
Louisiana Tech over 57.5
81.0%
1.48
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Bet365
1.45
-
-
+18.5pp
Lost
Under 156
80.6%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+18.1pp
Won
Under 151
71.1%
1.84
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathon Bet
1.77
-
-
+18.1pp
Won
Under 152
73.2%
1.73
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.71
Marathon Bet
1.68
-
-
+17.6pp
Won
Under 156.5
80.9%
1.46
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
+17.6pp
Won
Under 151.5
71.7%
1.81
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
+17.4pp
Won
Under 157
82.2%
1.43
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
-
+17.2pp
Won
LSU under 101.5
99.4%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+17.1pp
Won
Under 157.5
82.5%
1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+16.9pp
Won
Louisiana Tech over 55.5
85.9%
1.32
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
+16.5pp
Lost
Louisiana Tech over 56.5
83.6%
1.37
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
+16.4pp
Lost
Under 158
83.7%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+16.2pp
Won
Under 158.5
84.0%
1.36
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+15.9pp
Won
Under 159
85.2%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+15.2pp
Won
LSU under 102.5
99.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+14.5pp
Won
Under 159.5
85.4%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+13.9pp
Won
Louisiana Tech over 54.5
88.0%
1.25
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
+13.4pp
Lost
Louisiana Tech over 53.5
89.9%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+12.1pp
Lost
Under 161.5
87.9%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+11.7pp
Won
Louisiana Tech over 51.5
93.0%
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
+9.5pp
Lost
Louisiana Tech over 52.5
91.5%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+8.5pp
Lost
Under 166.5
92.8%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+7.8pp
Won
Under 171.5
96.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+6.3pp
Won
Under 176.5
97.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.0pp
Won
Over 126.5
83.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-9.7pp
Won
Louisiana Tech under 75.5
81.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-11.2pp
Won
LSU (regulation)
77.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
-14.7pp
Won
Louisiana Tech under 73.5
75.5%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-14.8pp
Won
LSU win
79.2%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
-15.2pp
Won
Over 131.5
74.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-15.4pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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