PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Louisiana Tech faces Tulane in the NCAA on 19 November 2026, with the model designating Louisiana Tech as the clear favourite, assigning a 94% chance of victory largely due to their 2-1 record and 70.3 points per game compared with Tulane's 2-2 record and 81.2 points per game. Louisiana Tech has gone 2-0 at home, scoring 80.5 points per game and allowing only 46.0, while Tulane has struggled on the road, 0-1, averaging 63.0 points and conceding 65.0. Louisiana Tech's recent five games show three wins and two losses, including a 76-17 home win over Ark Monticello and an 85-75 win over Kent State, whereas Tulane's last five contain two wins and three losses, with a 77-63 home win over Nicholls State and a narrow 63-65 loss to Akron. Their only prior meeting ended with Tulane defeating Louisiana Tech 61-53 on 17 December 2025. Pythia projects a 81-62 score, with Louisiana Tech winning 94% of the time and Tulane 6%, and a projected total of 142.9 points; the model also estimates a 1% chance of overtime. The game is expected to be a decisive showcase of Louisiana Tech's offensive efficiency against Tulane's recent struggles.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 70.3 | 60.7 | 131.0 | +9.7 | 67% |
| Season at home (2) | 80.5 | 46.0 | 126.5 | +34.5 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 50.0 | 90.0 | 140.0 | -40.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 72.5 | 65.1 | 137.6 | +7.4 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 68.0 | 63.8 | 131.8 | +4.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 50.0 | 90.0 | 140.0 | -40.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (20) | 69.0 | 72.3 | 141.3 | -3.4 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 74.0 | 50.9 | 124.9 | +23.1 | 88% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 81.2 | 78.2 | 159.5 | +3.0 | 50% |
| Season at home (3) | 87.3 | 82.7 | 170.0 | +4.7 | 67% |
| Season away (1) | 63.0 | 65.0 | 128.0 | -2.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 73.9 | 82.1 | 156.0 | -8.2 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 77.0 | 77.4 | 154.4 | -0.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (19) | 68.8 | 76.4 | 145.2 | -7.5 | 42% |
| vs Similar (8) | 76.1 | 74.5 | 150.6 | +1.6 | 62% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 84.7 | 70.3 | 155.0 | +14.3 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 33.1 | 30.6 | 63.7 | +2.5 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 35.2 | 29.1 | 64.3 | +6.2 | 56% | - |
| Last 30 away (12) | 29.9 | 33.0 | 62.9 | -3.1 | 42% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.2 | 31.5 | 67.7 | +4.7 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 32.2 | 29.8 | 62.0 | +2.4 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 20.0 | 47.0 | 67.0 | -27.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (20) | 32.7 | 33.9 | 66.6 | -1.2 | 40% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 35.1 | 23.2 | 58.4 | +11.9 | 75% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 32.8 | 34.2 | 67.0 | -1.5 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 32.8 | 34.1 | 66.9 | -1.2 | 41% | - |
| Last 30 away (13) | 32.7 | 34.5 | 67.2 | -1.8 | 38% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 33.6 | 34.9 | 68.5 | -1.3 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 31.6 | 30.6 | 62.2 | +1.0 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (19) | 31.6 | 36.7 | 68.3 | -5.2 | 21% | - |
| vs Similar (8) | 32.9 | 29.6 | 62.5 | +3.2 | 62% | - |
| vs Weaker (3) | 40.0 | 30.7 | 70.7 | +9.3 | 100% | - |
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| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18/12/25 | Tulane v Louisiana Tech | 61-53 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | A | LSU | 50-90 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Ark Monticello | 76-17 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Kent State | 85-75 |
| 15/03/26 | H | Kennesaw State | 60-71 |
| 13/03/26 | H | Missouri State | 69-66 |
| 12/03/26 | H | Middle Tenn. St. | 80-69 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Delaware | 81-38 |
| 06/03/26 | A | Liberty | 76-71 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Florida International | 76-84 |
| 27/02/26 | H | Missouri State | 72-70 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Akron | 63-65 |
| 11/11/26 | H | Nicholls State | 77-63 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Jackson State | 85-87 |
| 03/11/26 | H | UT Martin | 100-98 OT |
| 12/03/26 | A | Charlotte | 60-74 |
| 11/03/26 | A | Memphis | 81-69 |
| 08/03/26 | H | Memphis | 95-96 OT |
| 06/03/26 | A | Temple | 60-89 |
| 01/03/26 | A | South Florida | 62-90 |
| 26/02/26 | H | Tulsa | 56-90 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWL | 67% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 70.3 | 80.5 | 50.0 |
| Allowed / game | 60.7 | 46.0 | 90.0 |
| Point differential | +9.7 | +34.5 | -40.0 |
| Avg total | 131.0 | 126.5 | 140.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWL | 50% |
| Home | WLW | 67% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 0% |
| Points / game | 81.2 | 87.3 | 63.0 |
| Allowed / game | 78.2 | 82.7 | 65.0 |
| Point differential | +3.0 | +4.7 | -2.0 |
| Avg total | 159.5 | 170.0 | 128.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 50% (2) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 25% | 33% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kennesaw State | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 95.5 | 64.8 | +30.8 |
| 2 |  Missouri State | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 85.3 | 61.3 | +24.0 |
| 3 |  Florida International | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 91.7 | 71.0 | +20.7 |
| 4 |  Western Kentucky | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 84.2 | 63.5 | +20.8 |
| 5 |  Middle Tenn. St. | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 80.8 | 76.2 | +4.5 |
| 6 |  Liberty | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 81.3 | 64.0 | +17.3 |
| 7 | Louisiana Tech | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 70.3 | 60.7 | +9.7 |
| 8 |  UTEP | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 71.7 | 67.3 | +4.3 |
| 9 |  Sam Houston St. | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 86.8 | 85.0 | +1.8 |
| 10 |  Delaware | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 76.7 | 62.7 | +14.0 |
| 11 |  Jacksonville State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 83.0 | 78.0 | +5.0 |
| 12 |  New Mexico State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 66.3 | 78.3 | -12.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tulsa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 90.7 | 65.3 | +25.3 |
| 2 |  North Texas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 84.0 | 64.5 | +19.5 |
| 3 |  East Carolina | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 75.5 | 65.8 | +9.8 |
| 4 |  Florida Atlantic | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 79.5 | 77.5 | +2.0 |
| 5 |  Wichita State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 92.7 | 73.3 | +19.3 |
| 6 |  UAB | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.0 | 75.3 | +4.7 |
| 7 |  UTSA Roadrunners | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 76.7 | 74.0 | +2.7 |
| 8 |  Memphis | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 83.3 | 89.7 | -6.3 |
| 9 |  South Florida | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 82.8 | 74.8 | +8.0 |
| 10 |  Rice | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 81.2 | 74.0 | +7.2 |
| 11 | Tulane | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 81.2 | 78.2 | +3.0 |
| 12 |  Charlotte | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 69.2 | 67.8 | +1.5 |
| 13 |  Temple | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.3 | 75.3 | -8.0 |
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