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Louisville vs Stanford Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 68-48
33-18 35-30
Position#26
Record24-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game69.2
Louisville 🏆
USA
vs
Stanford
USA
Position#127
Record19-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Louisville v Stanford
02 Jan 2027
LOUI v STAN
upcoming
13 Mar 2025
LOUI75
STAN73
08 Mar 2025
LOUI68
STAN48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stanford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#87
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H29/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A01/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
84-58
84
58
+26
A06/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H08/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A13/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A17/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H22/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H01/03
NCAA
California
#268
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
45-21
27-38
38-27
32-50
41-31
43-27
46-38
42-40
41-27
50-39
35-28
40-32
45-31
44-50
34-26
37-40
39-33
40-35
41-26
44-42
148.5Avg total
80.4Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.769.2148.9+10.580%
Season at home (17)77.869.8147.6+7.976%
Season away (13)82.268.4150.6+13.885%
Last 10 (10)80.468.1148.5+12.390%
Last 5 (5)79.868.6148.4+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)65.076.0141.0-11.00%
vs Similar (9)77.274.4151.7+2.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)81.566.5148.1+15.090%
This opponent (Stanford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StanfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#273
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H30/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
61-85
61
85
-24
A01/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H06/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H09/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A13/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
70-106
70
106
-36
A15/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H23/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H27/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-24
37-37
25-45
36-40
37-40
36-39
29-33
45-40
20-35
32-25
34-49
36-57
28-22
38-39
37-19
41-41
45-39
28-29
24-21
30-35
138.0Avg total
67.1Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.770.4144.1+3.263%
Season at home (20)76.866.8143.6+9.980%
Season away (10)67.577.6145.1-10.130%
Last 10 (10)67.170.9138.0-3.850%
Last 5 (5)68.270.2138.4-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)70.577.1147.6-6.650%
vs Similar (14)72.072.9144.9-0.950%
vs Weaker (8)79.859.5139.2+20.2100%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +11.7+11.71st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: -2.3-2.3
-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +11.7+11.71st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: -2.3-2.3
LouisvilleStanford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#87
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H29/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A01/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A06/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H08/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A13/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A17/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H01/03
NCAA
California
#268
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H06/03
NCAA
69.3Avg total
40.5Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.330.969.2+7.480%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.931.570.5+7.476%-
Last 30 away (13)37.430.167.5+7.385%-
Last 10 (10)40.528.869.3+11.7100%-
Last 5 (5)38.828.867.6+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.033.070.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (9)37.234.872.0+2.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.829.167.8+9.785%-
This opponent (Stanford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StanfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#273
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H30/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A01/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H06/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H09/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A13/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A15/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H23/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
37-19
37
19
+18
H27/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H01/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
24-21
24
21
+3
A06/03
NCAA
63.9Avg total
31.2Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.331.365.6+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.528.664.2+6.980%-
Last 30 away (10)31.836.868.6-5.030%-
Last 10 (10)31.232.763.9-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)33.630.063.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.138.073.1-2.950%-
vs Similar (14)33.431.464.8+1.957%-
vs Weaker (8)35.124.559.6+10.688%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Louisville wins
0
Stanford wins
No previous meetings.
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/25HCalifornia85-68
01/03/25HPittsburgh79-68
26/02/25AVirginia Tech71-66
22/02/25HFlorida State89-81
17/02/25ANotre Dame75-60
13/02/25ANC State91-66
08/02/25HMiami (FL)88-78
06/02/25ABoston College84-58
01/02/25AGeorgia Tech70-77
29/01/25HWake Forest72-59
Stanfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/25ANotre Dame54-56
01/03/25HSMU Mustangs73-68
27/02/25HBoston College78-60
23/02/25HCalifornia66-61
15/02/25ADuke70-106
13/02/25AGeorgia Tech52-60
09/02/25HNC State74-73
06/02/25HWake Forest73-79
01/02/25ASMU Mustangs61-85
30/01/25HSyracuse70-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayLWWWW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %80%76%85%
Points / game79.777.882.2
Allowed / game69.269.868.4
Point differential+10.5+7.9+13.8
Avg total148.9147.6150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%59%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %3%0%8%
Stanford
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL63%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games302010
Win %63%80%30%
Points / game73.776.867.5
Allowed / game70.466.877.6
Point differential+3.2+9.9-10.1
Avg total144.1143.6145.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3027390%83.561.1+22.4
2 Clemson3025583%77.566.3+11.1
3 Louisville3024680%79.769.2+10.5
4 SMU Mustangs3022873%81.572.0+9.5
5 Wake Forest30201067%70.668.9+1.7
6 North Carolina31201165%82.175.9+6.2
7 Stanford30191163%73.770.4+3.2
8 Pittsburgh30161453%76.071.5+4.5
9 Florida State30161453%74.872.8+2.0
10 Georgia Tech30161453%74.772.8+2.0
11 Virginia30151550%64.866.2-1.5
12 Notre Dame30131743%72.571.7+0.7
13 California30131743%74.375.7-1.4
14 Virginia Tech30131743%69.873.1-3.4
15 Syracuse30121840%75.478.7-3.3
16 Boston College30121840%70.575.2-4.7
17 NC State31121939%69.570.3-0.8
18 Miami (FL)3172423%74.080.6-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville333568
Stanford183048
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