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Louisville vs Pittsburgh Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 79-68
39-33 40-35
Position#26
Record22-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game69.3
vs
Position#173
Record16-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game71.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Louisville v Pittsburgh
01 Mar 2025
LOUI79
PITT68
06 Jan 2024
LOUI70
PITT83
18 Jan 2023
LOUI54
PITT75
05 Jan 2022
LOUI75
PITT72
10 Feb 2021
LOUI v PITT
upcoming
06 Dec 2019
LOUI64
PITT46
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pittsburgh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#230
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H18/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
98-73
98
73
+25
A22/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H29/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A01/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
84-58
84
58
+26
A06/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H08/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A13/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A17/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H22/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-28
42-39
50-27
48-46
45-21
27-38
38-27
32-50
41-31
43-27
46-38
42-40
41-27
50-39
35-28
40-32
45-31
44-50
34-26
37-40
150.4Avg total
81.9Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.569.3148.8+10.279%
Season at home (15)77.270.1147.3+7.173%
Season away (13)82.268.4150.6+13.885%
Last 10 (10)81.968.5150.4+13.490%
Last 5 (5)82.870.2153.0+12.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.379.0149.3-8.70%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.075.2152.2+1.862%
vs Weaker (19)81.466.4147.8+14.989%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#273
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A25/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H29/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A01/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H04/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A08/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A12/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H15/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H19/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-33
45-40
42-44
31-21
36-34
38-42
19-34
38-39
32-35
34-32
27-43
36-40
32-30
42-35
34-41
46-28
30-30
42-46
30-35
37-38
142.3Avg total
70.3Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.871.2148.0+5.557%
Season at home (16)82.567.4149.9+15.175%
Season away (12)69.276.3145.5-7.233%
Last 10 (10)70.372.0142.3-1.740%
Last 5 (5)71.273.2144.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.778.3144.0-12.70%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.572.4149.9+5.153%
vs Weaker (12)78.167.9146.0+10.275%
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +13.0+13.01st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +2.8+2.8
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +13.0+13.01st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +2.8+2.8
LouisvillePittsburgh
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#230
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H18/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A22/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H29/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A01/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A06/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H08/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A13/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A17/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A26/02
NCAA
69.8Avg total
41.4Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.231.870.0+6.477%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.332.470.7+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)38.031.169.1+6.986%-
Last 10 (10)41.428.469.8+13.0100%-
Last 5 (5)40.230.070.2+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.039.777.7-1.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.035.072.0+2.062%-
vs Weaker (19)38.729.267.9+9.584%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#273
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A25/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H29/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A01/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
19-34
19
34
-15
H04/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A08/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A12/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H15/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H19/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A22/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H26/02
NCAA
67.3Avg total
31.4Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.234.068.2+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.233.270.4+4.159%-
Last 30 away (13)30.235.165.2-4.923%-
Last 10 (10)31.435.967.3-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)30.635.866.4-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.333.763.0-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.935.171.0+0.753%-
vs Weaker (12)33.232.765.9+0.633%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Louisville wins
5
Pittsburgh wins
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25AVirginia Tech71-66
22/02/25HFlorida State89-81
17/02/25ANotre Dame75-60
13/02/25ANC State91-66
08/02/25HMiami (FL)88-78
06/02/25ABoston College84-58
01/02/25AGeorgia Tech70-77
29/01/25HWake Forest72-59
22/01/25ASMU Mustangs98-73
18/01/25HVirginia81-67
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25HGeorgia Tech67-73
22/02/25ANotre Dame72-76
19/02/25HSyracuse80-69
15/02/25HMiami (FL)74-65
12/02/25ASMU Mustangs63-83
08/02/25ANorth Carolina66-67
04/02/25HVirginia57-73
01/02/25AWake Forest74-76
29/01/25HNorth Carolina73-65
25/01/25ASyracuse77-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLWWWW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %79%73%85%
Points / game79.577.282.2
Allowed / game69.370.168.4
Point differential+10.2+7.1+13.8
Avg total148.8147.3150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%53%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Pittsburgh
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL57%
HomeWLWWL75%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game76.882.569.2
Allowed / game71.267.476.3
Point differential+5.5+15.1-7.2
Avg total148.0149.9145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%62%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2825389%82.661.0+21.6
2 Clemson2924583%77.466.2+11.2
3 Louisville2822679%79.569.3+10.2
4 SMU Mustangs2921872%81.771.9+9.7
5 Wake Forest2920969%71.068.0+2.9
6 Stanford29191066%74.370.9+3.4
7 North Carolina30191163%81.876.5+5.3
8 Pittsburgh28161257%76.871.2+5.5
9 Florida State28161257%75.872.3+3.5
10 Georgia Tech29151452%74.272.7+1.5
11 Virginia29141548%64.966.6-1.6
12 Virginia Tech29131645%70.172.5-2.4
13 California28121643%74.275.5-1.3
14 Boston College28121643%70.574.9-4.3
15 Notre Dame29121741%73.072.3+0.7
16 Syracuse29121741%75.478.8-3.4
17 NC State29111838%69.470.5-1.1
18 Miami (FL)2962321%74.180.7-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville394079
Pittsburgh333568
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