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NC State vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 66-91
27-41 39-50
Position#293
Record9-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game67.9
NC State
USA
vs
Louisville 🏆
USA
Position#26
Record18-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · NC State v Louisville
12 Feb 2025
NC S66
LOUI91
12 Mar 2024
NC S94
LOUI85
22 Dec 2022
NC S76
LOUI64
04 Dec 2021
NC S68
LOUI73
01 Feb 2020
NC S57
LOUI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#87
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A04/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H09/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H11/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A16/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H18/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H25/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A28/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H01/02
NCAA
California
#268
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A06/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-38
27-39
26-33
40-32
20-26
41-37
45-34
31-45
29-31
33-34
26-34
31-29
37-33
27-41
31-34
27-34
30-34
32-40
33-29
40-45
134.0Avg total
63.8Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)69.567.9137.3+1.639%
Season at home (15)71.764.4136.1+7.360%
Season away (8)65.274.4139.6-9.10%
Last 10 (10)63.870.2134.0-6.410%
Last 5 (5)62.870.6133.4-7.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)64.567.8132.4-3.331%
vs Similar (14)72.668.6141.1+4.057%
vs Weaker (3)84.061.7145.7+22.3100%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#230
W
70-50
70
50
+20
A04/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
85-61
85
61
+24
A15/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H18/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
98-73
98
73
+25
A22/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H29/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A01/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
84-58
84
58
+26
A06/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-27
38-23
42-35
32-29
35-34
47-44
43-27
42-34
39-28
42-39
50-27
48-46
45-21
27-38
38-27
32-50
41-31
43-27
46-38
42-40
146.9Avg total
80.4Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.269.5148.7+9.875%
Season at home (14)76.469.3145.6+7.171%
Season away (10)83.269.7152.9+13.580%
Last 10 (10)80.466.5146.9+13.990%
Last 5 (5)82.469.0151.4+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.380.5148.8-12.20%
vs Similar (9)74.074.9148.9-0.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.365.9147.3+15.487%
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: +11.6+11.62nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: +2.3+2.3
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: +11.6+11.62nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: +2.3+2.3
NC StateLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#87
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A04/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H09/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
20-26
20
26
-6
H11/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A16/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H18/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H25/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H01/02
NCAA
California
#268
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A06/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A09/02
NCAA
63.5Avg total
30.9Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.031.465.4+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.730.164.8+4.656%-
Last 30 away (14)33.232.966.1+0.343%-
Last 10 (10)30.932.663.5-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)31.432.864.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)30.632.863.4-2.223%-
vs Similar (14)34.630.865.4+3.964%-
vs Weaker (3)45.728.774.3+17.0100%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#230
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A04/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H08/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A15/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H18/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A22/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H29/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A01/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A06/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H08/02
NCAA
70.6Avg total
41.1Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.633.269.8+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.233.769.9+2.656%-
Last 30 away (12)37.132.669.7+4.575%-
Last 10 (10)41.129.570.6+11.6100%-
Last 5 (5)44.028.872.8+15.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.740.573.2-7.833%-
vs Similar (9)35.734.670.2+1.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)38.729.568.2+9.180%-
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
NC State wins
2
Louisville wins
DateGameScore
12/03/24NC State v Louisville94-85
13/01/24Louisville v NC State83-89
23/12/22NC State v Louisville76-64
13/01/22Louisville v NC State63-79
04/12/21NC State v Louisville68-73
01/02/20NC State v Louisville57-77
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25AStanford73-74
06/02/25ACalifornia62-74
01/02/25HClemson58-68
28/01/25ADuke64-74
25/01/25HSMU Mustangs57-63
18/01/25HCalifornia62-65
16/01/25AVirginia Tech76-79
11/01/25HNorth Carolina61-63
09/01/25HNotre Dame66-65
04/01/25AWake Forest59-77
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HMiami (FL)88-78
06/02/25ABoston College84-58
01/02/25AGeorgia Tech70-77
29/01/25HWake Forest72-59
22/01/25ASMU Mustangs98-73
18/01/25HVirginia81-67
15/01/25ASyracuse85-61
11/01/25APittsburgh82-78
08/01/25HClemson74-64
04/01/25AVirginia70-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL39%
HomeWLLLL60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23158
Win %39%60%0%
Points / game69.571.765.2
Allowed / game67.964.474.4
Point differential+1.6+7.3-9.1
Avg total137.3136.1139.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%47%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)25% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Louisville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %75%71%80%
Points / game79.276.483.2
Allowed / game69.569.369.7
Point differential+9.8+7.1+13.5
Avg total148.7145.6152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%57%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2320387%80.060.5+19.5
2 Clemson2520580%77.667.2+10.4
3 SMU Mustangs2419579%82.871.1+11.7
4 Louisville2418675%79.269.5+9.8
5 Wake Forest2418675%70.466.5+3.9
6 Stanford2416867%75.770.9+4.8
7 Florida State2314961%76.770.9+5.8
8 Pittsburgh24141058%77.471.3+6.0
9 North Carolina25141156%80.076.6+3.4
10 California24121250%74.875.0-0.2
11 Virginia24121250%64.264.7-0.5
12 Georgia Tech24111346%74.573.8+0.8
13 Virginia Tech24111346%70.072.6-2.6
14 Syracuse25111444%74.678.2-3.6
15 Notre Dame23101343%72.769.7+3.0
16 Boston College23101343%71.176.6-5.4
17 NC State2391439%69.567.9+1.6
18 Miami (FL)2461825%75.780.1-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State273966
Louisville415091
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