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Wake Forest vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-88
34-43 46-45
Position#190
Record11-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#53
Record16-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Wake Forest v Louisville
07 Feb 2026
WAKE80
LOUI88
20 Jan 2024
WAKE90
LOUI65
26 Feb 2022
WAKE99
LOUI77
13 Jan 2021
WAKE65
LOUI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#37
L
67-98
67
98
-31
H21/12
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A31/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H08/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A17/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H21/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A24/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
A27/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
78-96
78
96
-18
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-54
30-44
32-36
25-34
36-32
45-46
38-39
39-42
38-49
46-38
31-34
38-34
36-45
43-46
31-42
38-48
36-30
30-36
31-49
47-47
157.6Avg total
73.7Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.077.6157.6+2.550%
Season at home (13)84.277.6161.8+6.662%
Season away (9)74.077.6151.6-3.633%
Last 10 (10)73.783.9157.6-10.220%
Last 5 (5)74.285.0159.2-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.185.5159.6-11.59%
vs Similar (17)78.970.1149.0+8.971%
vs Weaker (2)80.578.0158.5+2.550%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#79
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A31/12
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H07/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H10/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H14/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
100-59
100
59
+41
A18/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H24/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
52-83
52
83
-31
A27/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H31/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
48-34
42-36
34-35
42-45
47-38
26-46
30-34
45-28
28-33
42-46
53-22
47-37
37-22
48-49
28-38
24-45
44-47
44-27
38-32
38-33
151.2Avg total
78.5Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.670.2155.9+15.473%
Season at home (15)90.067.8157.8+22.287%
Season away (7)76.375.4151.7+0.943%
Last 10 (10)78.572.7151.2+5.860%
Last 5 (5)80.270.4150.6+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.380.0142.3-17.70%
vs Similar (6)73.780.2153.8-6.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)87.965.8153.7+22.195%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.4-6.41st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: +0.6+0.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.4-6.41st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: +0.6+0.6
Wake ForestLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#37
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H21/12
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A31/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H08/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A10/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A17/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A24/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A27/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H31/01
NCAA
75.6Avg total
34.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.036.572.6-0.533%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.435.774.1+2.750%-
Last 30 away (12)32.537.870.3-5.38%-
Last 10 (10)34.641.075.6-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.040.073.0-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.642.776.4-9.10%-
vs Similar (17)37.231.668.9+5.653%-
vs Weaker (2)39.044.083.0-5.050%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#79
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A31/12
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A03/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H07/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H10/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H14/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
53-22
53
22
+31
A18/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H24/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A27/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H31/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H05/02
NCAA
72.2Avg total
38.7Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.131.872.0+8.367%-
Last 30 at home (21)42.131.173.3+11.076%-
Last 30 away (9)35.433.468.9+2.044%-
Last 10 (10)38.733.572.2+5.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.032.272.2+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.736.374.0+1.367%-
vs Similar (6)31.737.369.0-5.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)42.929.672.5+13.376%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Wake Forest wins
4
Louisville wins
Wake Forestlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HNC State78-96
27/01/26APittsburgh76-80 OT
24/01/26ADuke69-90
21/01/26HSMU Mustangs79-91
17/01/26AFlorida State69-68
10/01/26ANorth Carolina84-87
08/01/26HMiami (FL)77-81
03/01/26HVirginia Tech81-78
31/12/25ANC State57-70
21/12/25HVanderbilt67-98
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26HNotre Dame76-65
31/01/26HSMU Mustangs88-74
27/01/26ADuke52-83
24/01/26HVirginia Tech85-71
18/01/26APittsburgh100-59
14/01/26HVirginia70-79
10/01/26HBoston College75-62
07/01/26HDuke73-84
03/01/26AStanford76-80
31/12/25ACalifornia90-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wake Forest
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeLWLLL62%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %50%62%33%
Points / game80.084.274.0
Allowed / game77.677.677.6
Point differential+2.5+6.6-3.6
Avg total157.6161.8151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%46%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %9%0%22%
Louisville
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWLWWW87%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22157
Win %73%87%43%
Points / game85.690.076.3
Allowed / game70.267.875.4
Point differential+15.4+22.2+0.9
Avg total155.9157.8151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%73%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2221195%84.163.6+20.5
2 Virginia2319483%82.069.9+12.1
3 Clemson2319483%76.064.5+11.5
4 North Carolina2218482%83.170.6+12.5
5 Miami (FL)2217577%84.770.1+14.6
6 NC State2317674%85.872.4+13.4
7 California2317674%78.871.2+7.6
8 Louisville2216673%85.670.2+15.4
9 Virginia Tech2316770%80.074.0+6.0
10 SMU Mustangs2215768%86.577.8+8.6
11 Stanford2314961%75.373.1+2.2
12 Syracuse23131057%75.870.7+5.1
13 Wake Forest22111150%80.077.6+2.5
14 Notre Dame23111248%73.672.3+1.2
15 Georgia Tech23111248%75.074.7+0.3
16 Florida State22101245%80.879.6+1.2
17 Boston College2291341%67.268.3-1.1
18 Pittsburgh2391439%71.070.9+0.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wake Forest344680
Louisville434588
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