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Louisville vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 58-61
26-29 32-32
Position#367
Record3-22
FormLWLLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game76.1
Louisville
USA
vs
Virginia 🏆
USA
Position#36
Record19-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game60.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Louisville v Virginia
13 Jan 2026
LOUI70
VIRG79
18 Jan 2025
LOUI81
VIRG67
27 Jan 2024
LOUI52
VIRG69
15 Feb 2023
LOUI58
VIRG61
05 Mar 2022
LOUI61
VIRG71
06 Mar 2021
LOUI58
VIRG68
08 Feb 2020
LOUI80
VIRG73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#142
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H07/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A12/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
59-80
59
80
-21
H14/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
54-75
54
75
-21
H19/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A26/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A28/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H02/02
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H04/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
57-91
57
91
-34
A08/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-43
46-37
28-40
42-43
26-37
33-43
28-37
26-38
35-29
30-46
24-46
38-30
33-28
35-30
36-45
42-36
27-47
30-44
41-42
44-51
146.2Avg total
67.0Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)64.076.1140.1-12.112%
Season at home (15)64.372.5136.8-8.120%
Season away (10)63.581.6145.1-18.10%
Last 10 (10)67.079.2146.2-12.210%
Last 5 (5)70.079.8149.8-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)63.276.6139.8-13.47%
vs Similar (2)72.564.5137.0+8.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#180
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H07/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H11/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A14/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A21/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H28/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A04/02
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H08/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
W
69-62 OT
69
62
+7
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-26
38-40
27-29
38-29
33-25
34-33
40-31
38-37
42-32
34-35
35-27
41-30
36-35
31-27
30-32
38-42
34-20
29-30
25-27
33-31
132.4Avg total
70.2Scored
62.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)70.060.4130.4+9.583%
Season at home (14)69.456.6126.0+12.993%
Season away (9)70.866.4137.2+4.367%
Last 10 (10)70.262.2132.4+8.090%
Last 5 (5)68.661.0129.6+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)53.060.7113.7-7.733%
vs Similar (15)68.563.0131.5+5.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)70.256.5126.7+13.6100%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -9.0-9.01st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: +2.0+2.0
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -9.0-9.01st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: +2.0+2.0
LouisvilleVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#142
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H07/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A12/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H14/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H19/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A26/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A28/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H02/02
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H04/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A08/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A12/02
NCAA
69.8Avg total
30.4Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.236.065.2-6.827%-
Last 30 at home (17)29.435.364.7-5.935%-
Last 30 away (13)28.936.965.8-8.015%-
Last 10 (10)30.439.469.8-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)32.241.673.8-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)28.936.965.8-8.021%-
vs Similar (2)33.524.057.5+9.5100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#180
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H07/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H11/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A14/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A21/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H28/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A04/02
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H11/02
NCAA
62.1Avg total
33.7Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.827.157.9+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.625.255.7+5.461%-
Last 30 away (12)31.230.061.2+1.258%-
Last 10 (10)33.728.462.1+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)32.028.260.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)22.027.749.7-5.733%-
vs Similar (15)30.928.959.7+2.047%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)33.525.358.8+8.382%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Louisville wins
5
Virginia wins
DateGameScore
10/03/22Virginia v Louisville51-50
05/03/22Louisville v Virginia61-71
25/01/22Virginia v Louisville64-52
06/03/21Louisville v Virginia58-68
07/03/20Virginia v Louisville57-54
08/02/20Louisville v Virginia80-73
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/23AMiami (FL)85-93
08/02/23APittsburgh57-91
04/02/23HFlorida State78-81
02/02/23HGeorgia Tech68-58
28/01/23ANotre Dame62-76
26/01/23ABoston College65-75
19/01/23HPittsburgh54-75
14/01/23HNorth Carolina59-80
12/01/23AClemson70-83
07/01/23HWake Forest72-80
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23HDuke69-62 OT
08/02/23HNC State63-50
04/02/23AVirginia Tech68-74
31/01/23ASyracuse67-62
28/01/23HBoston College76-57
21/01/23AWake Forest76-67
19/01/23HVirginia Tech78-68
14/01/23AFlorida State67-58
11/01/23HNorth Carolina65-58
07/01/23HSyracuse73-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL12%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %12%20%0%
Points / game64.064.363.5
Allowed / game76.172.581.6
Point differential-12.1-8.1-18.1
Avg total140.1136.8145.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%13%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virginia
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %83%93%67%
Points / game70.069.470.8
Allowed / game60.456.666.4
Point differential+9.5+12.9+4.3
Avg total130.4126.0137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2319483%70.060.4+9.5
2 NC State2720774%78.769.2+9.4
3 Pittsburgh2619773%75.067.5+7.5
4 Clemson2518772%73.768.0+5.6
5 Duke2618869%71.464.3+7.1
6 Wake Forest2617965%77.773.1+4.6
7 North Carolina26161062%78.272.5+5.7
8 Syracuse26161062%74.670.4+4.2
9 Virginia Tech25151060%74.768.8+5.9
10 Miami (FL)52292356%76.473.1+3.3
11 Boston College27121544%66.070.8-4.8
12 Stanford25111444%69.266.9+2.3
13 Notre Dame26101638%70.772.5-1.8
14 Georgia Tech2591636%67.371.0-3.7
15 SMU Mustangs2691735%70.274.7-4.6
16 Florida State2681831%70.275.6-5.4
17 California2532212%59.268.7-9.5
18 Louisville2532212%64.076.1-12.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville263258
Virginia293261
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