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Louisville vs Florida State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 78-81
36-45 42-36
Position#367
Record3-19
FormLLLLW
Points / game62.7
Allowed / game74.5
Louisville
USA
vs
Florida State 🏆
USA
Position#342
Record7-16
FormWWLLL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game75.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Louisville v Florida State
22 Feb 2025
LOUI89
FLOR81
03 Feb 2024
LOUI101
FLOR92
04 Feb 2023
LOUI78
FLOR81
18 Jan 2021
LOUI65
FLOR78
04 Jan 2020
LOUI65
FLOR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#66
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A23/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A31/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H04/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H07/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A12/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
59-80
59
80
-21
H14/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
54-75
54
75
-21
H19/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A26/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A28/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-31
36-45
30-45
33-41
35-34
34-36
26-43
46-37
28-40
42-43
26-37
33-43
28-37
26-38
35-29
30-46
24-46
38-30
33-28
35-30
140.5Avg total
64.6Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)62.774.5137.2-11.714%
Season at home (14)63.471.9135.2-8.521%
Season away (8)61.679.0140.6-17.40%
Last 10 (10)64.675.9140.5-11.310%
Last 5 (5)61.672.8134.4-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)62.474.3136.6-11.911%
vs Similar (2)72.564.5137.0+8.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Florida State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#302
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H22/12
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
67-86
67
86
-19
A31/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H07/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
75-90
75
90
-15
A12/01
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H14/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A18/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A21/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
63-86
63
86
-23
H25/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H28/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
66-94
66
94
-28
A02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-39
35-33
25-42
42-44
39-36
36-28
35-44
40-46
25-33
33-34
39-29
45-42
39-29
32-35
28-54
35-32
34-33
47-49
27-49
39-45
148.9Avg total
71.3Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)69.775.2144.8-5.530%
Season at home (13)72.874.5147.4-1.738%
Season away (10)65.576.0141.5-10.520%
Last 10 (10)71.377.6148.9-6.340%
Last 5 (5)73.079.4152.4-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)70.176.6146.6-6.532%
vs Similar (4)66.276.5142.8-10.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)75.053.0128.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.7-7.71st half: -5.9-5.92nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: -0.4-0.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.7-7.71st half: -5.9-5.92nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: -0.4-0.4
LouisvilleFlorida State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#66
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A23/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A31/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H04/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H07/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A12/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H14/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H19/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A26/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A28/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H02/02
NCAA
66.3Avg total
29.3Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.734.863.5-6.130%-
Last 30 at home (18)28.734.363.0-5.639%-
Last 30 away (12)28.735.664.2-6.917%-
Last 10 (10)29.337.066.3-7.730%-
Last 5 (5)29.235.464.6-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)28.435.663.9-7.225%-
vs Similar (2)33.524.057.5+9.5100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Florida State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#302
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H22/12
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A31/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H07/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/01
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H14/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A18/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A21/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
28-54
28
54
-26
H25/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H28/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A02/02
NCAA
71.7Avg total
32.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.036.869.8-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.437.472.8-2.141%-
Last 30 away (13)29.936.065.9-6.131%-
Last 10 (10)32.938.871.7-5.940%-
Last 5 (5)33.438.872.2-5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)33.237.270.4-4.036%-
vs Similar (4)31.237.568.8-6.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)36.024.060.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Louisville wins
5
Florida State wins
DateGameScore
10/12/22Florida State v Louisville75-53
09/01/22Florida State v Louisville79-70
19/01/21Louisville v Florida State65-78
25/02/20Florida State v Louisville82-67
04/01/20Louisville v Florida State65-78
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/23HGeorgia Tech68-58
28/01/23ANotre Dame62-76
26/01/23ABoston College65-75
19/01/23HPittsburgh54-75
14/01/23HNorth Carolina59-80
12/01/23AClemson70-83
07/01/23HWake Forest72-80
04/01/23HSyracuse69-70
31/12/22AKentucky63-86
23/12/22ANC State64-76
Florida Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/23ANC State66-94
28/01/23HClemson81-82
25/01/23HMiami (FL)63-86
21/01/23APittsburgh71-64
18/01/23ANotre Dame84-71
14/01/23HVirginia58-67
12/01/23AWake Forest75-90
07/01/23HGeorgia Tech75-64
31/12/22ADuke67-86
22/12/22HNotre Dame73-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLLLW21%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %14%21%0%
Points / game62.763.461.6
Allowed / game74.571.979.0
Point differential-11.7-8.5-17.4
Avg total137.2135.2140.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Florida State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL30%
HomeWWLLL38%
AwayLLWWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %30%38%20%
Points / game69.772.865.5
Allowed / game75.274.576.0
Point differential-5.5-1.7-10.5
Avg total144.8147.4141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%23%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2117481%70.360.9+9.5
2 NC State2419579%79.669.5+10.0
3 Clemson2318578%73.866.6+7.2
4 Duke2216673%72.963.7+9.2
5 Pittsburgh2316770%73.968.0+5.9
6 North Carolina2215768%78.571.7+6.8
7 Wake Forest2415962%77.472.7+4.7
8 Virginia Tech2314961%73.967.5+6.4
9 Syracuse23131057%74.470.6+3.9
10 Miami (FL)44242055%76.372.7+3.6
11 Boston College23111248%65.769.1-3.3
12 Stanford22101245%68.965.5+3.4
13 Notre Dame23101343%70.472.0-1.5
14 Georgia Tech2381535%67.171.2-4.1
15 SMU Mustangs2381535%69.274.1-4.9
16 Florida State2371630%69.775.2-5.5
17 California2231914%59.668.3-8.7
18 Louisville2231914%62.774.5-11.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville364278
Florida State453681
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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