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Duke vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-62
42-33 37-29
Position#39
Record19-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game64.0
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Louisville
USA
Position#367
Record4-23
FormLLLLW
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game75.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Duke v Louisville
26 Jan 2026
DUKE83
LOUI52
15 Mar 2025
DUKE73
LOUI62
28 Feb 2024
DUKE84
LOUI59
20 Feb 2023
DUKE79
LOUI62
27 Feb 2021
DUKE73
LOUI80
18 Jan 2020
DUKE73
LOUI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#60
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A14/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H21/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
86-43
86
43
+43
A28/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A07/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
62-69 OT
62
69
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H15/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
77-55
77
55
+22
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-30
30-42
38-38
30-28
38-45
37-33
43-25
43-18
41-34
34-39
33-32
30-25
26-40
33-41
27-25
31-33
31-23
37-41
40-27
37-28
135.5Avg total
69.7Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)71.664.0135.6+7.670%
Season at home (14)76.460.1136.5+16.4100%
Season away (13)66.468.2134.5-1.838%
Last 10 (10)69.765.8135.5+3.960%
Last 5 (5)65.865.2131.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)67.670.2137.8-2.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)74.862.0136.8+12.884%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#117
L
59-80
59
80
-21
H14/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
54-75
54
75
-21
H19/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A26/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A28/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H02/02
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H04/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
57-91
57
91
-34
A08/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A12/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H16/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-37
33-43
28-37
26-38
35-29
30-46
24-46
38-30
33-28
35-30
36-45
42-36
27-47
30-44
41-42
44-51
26-29
32-32
39-36
44-37
143.2Avg total
66.9Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)64.575.4139.9-11.015%
Season at home (17)65.171.8136.9-6.824%
Season away (10)63.581.6145.1-18.10%
Last 10 (10)66.976.3143.2-9.420%
Last 5 (5)72.279.8152.0-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)64.075.1139.1-11.211%
vs Similar (2)72.564.5137.0+8.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: -6.1-6.12nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: -3.3-3.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: -6.1-6.12nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: -3.3-3.3
DukeLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#60
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A14/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A28/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H04/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A07/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A11/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H15/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A18/02
NCAA
67.0Avg total
35.1Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.932.067.9+3.970%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.030.168.1+7.982%-
Last 30 away (13)33.134.567.5-1.454%-
Last 10 (10)35.131.967.0+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)31.429.460.8+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)32.436.068.4-3.645%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)37.929.767.6+8.284%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#117
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H14/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H19/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A26/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A28/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H02/02
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H04/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A08/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A12/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H16/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H19/02
NCAA
69.1Avg total
31.5Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.535.665.1-6.130%-
Last 30 at home (19)29.735.064.7-5.337%-
Last 30 away (11)29.036.665.6-7.618%-
Last 10 (10)31.537.669.1-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)33.839.873.6-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)29.236.465.6-7.325%-
vs Similar (2)33.524.057.5+9.5100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Duke wins
3
Louisville wins
DateGameScore
29/01/22Louisville v Duke65-74
10/03/21Louisville v Duke56-70
27/02/21Duke v Louisville73-80 OT
23/01/21Louisville v Duke70-65
18/01/20Duke v Louisville73-79
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23ASyracuse77-55
15/02/23HNotre Dame68-64
11/02/23AVirginia62-69 OT
07/02/23AMiami (FL)59-81
04/02/23HNorth Carolina63-57
01/02/23HWake Forest75-73
28/01/23AGeorgia Tech86-43
24/01/23AVirginia Tech75-78
21/01/23HMiami (FL)68-66
14/01/23AClemson64-72
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/23HClemson83-73
16/02/23HVirginia58-61
12/02/23AMiami (FL)85-93
08/02/23APittsburgh57-91
04/02/23HFlorida State78-81
02/02/23HGeorgia Tech68-58
28/01/23ANotre Dame62-76
26/01/23ABoston College65-75
19/01/23HPittsburgh54-75
14/01/23HNorth Carolina59-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW70%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %70%100%38%
Points / game71.676.466.4
Allowed / game64.060.168.2
Point differential+7.6+16.4-1.8
Avg total135.6136.5134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%57%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Louisville
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW15%
HomeLWLLW24%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %15%24%0%
Points / game64.565.163.5
Allowed / game75.471.881.6
Point differential-11.0-6.8-18.1
Avg total139.9136.9145.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)0% (6)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2521484%69.160.1+9.0
2 NC State2821775%78.669.2+9.4
3 Duke2719870%71.664.0+7.6
4 Pittsburgh2719870%74.967.9+7.0
5 Clemson2719870%74.468.1+6.3
6 Wake Forest27171063%78.073.9+4.1
7 Virginia Tech27161159%74.769.3+5.4
8 North Carolina27161159%77.972.6+5.2
9 Syracuse27161159%73.970.6+3.3
10 Miami (FL)54312357%76.673.2+3.4
11 Boston College28131546%66.370.7-4.4
12 Stanford27111641%69.267.8+1.4
13 Georgia Tech27111641%68.170.4-2.3
14 Notre Dame27101737%70.172.0-1.8
15 SMU Mustangs28101836%70.574.8-4.2
16 Florida State2882029%69.676.2-6.7
17 Louisville2742315%64.575.4-11.0
18 California2732411%58.770.1-11.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke423779
Louisville332962
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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