Ulcinj vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Apr 2018

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 72-80

19-23 24-19 13-18 16-20

Position#5

Record14-3

FormWWWWL

Points / game87.8

Allowed / game73.8

Ulcinj

Mornar Bar 🏆

Position#1

Record1-0

FormWWLLW

Points / game105.0

Allowed / game82.0

Prva A LigaRound 2

Other2017-18

Meetings · Ulcinj v Mornar Bar

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulcinj winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Mornar Bar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ulcinj

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lovcen Cetinje

69-76

-7

A23/12

Prva A Liga

Ibar Rozaje

86-72

+14

A27/01

Prva A Liga

Primorje

#11

121-89

121

+32

H03/02

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

#10

88-75

+13

A10/02

Prva A Liga

Danilovgrad

100-66

100

+34

H24/02

Prva A Liga

Tivat

83-73

+10

A03/03

Prva A Liga

Studentski Centar

#12

88-61

+27

H10/03

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

93-88

A24/03

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

92-85

H31/03

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

80-88

-8

A18/04

Prva A Liga

–

29-16

18-18

21-20

37-14

28-23

28-28

28-24

–

32-18

23-23

29-6

16-19

20-24

21-25

20-16

22-8

22-17

26-22

22-14

18-8

22-22

19-20

22-22

30-24

26-25

26-22

22-14

18-24

19-33

20-15

22-20

19-20

167.3Avg total

90.0Scored

77.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	87.8	73.8	161.5	+14.0	82%
Season at home (8)	92.1	75.4	167.5	+16.8	88%
Season away (9)	83.9	72.3	156.2	+11.6	78%
Last 10 (10)	90.0	77.3	167.3	+12.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	79.0	166.2	+8.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	51.4	63.2	114.6	-11.8	20%
vs Similar (10)	79.0	78.9	157.9	+0.1	60%
vs Weaker (15)	85.1	68.2	153.3	+16.9	87%

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mornar Bar Montenegro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cibona

#11

82-79

A04/03

ABA League

Oostende

#32

71-84

-13

A07/03

FIBA Europe Cup

MZT Skopje

#12

106-75

106

+31

H11/03

ABA League

Oostende

#32

90-63

+27

H14/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

63-91

-28

A18/03

ABA League

Donar Groningen

73-67

H21/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

88-84

H25/03

ABA League

Donar Groningen

74-101

101

-27

A28/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

69-88

-19

A02/04

ABA League

Tivat

105-82

105

+23

H18/04

Prva A Liga

15-28

31-6

20-15

16-30

20-22

17-18

18-25

16-19

29-13

21-28

29-17

27-17

24-14

19-19

30-16

17-14

14-22

8-19

27-23

14-27

18-10

19-30

15-12

21-15

30-21

18-24

21-19

19-20

20-25

14-27

20-18

20-31

19-26

18-26

19-16

13-20

27-25

28-22

22-19

28-16

163.5Avg total

82.1Scored

81.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	105.0	82.0	187.0	+23.0	100%
Season at home (1)	105.0	82.0	187.0	+23.0	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	82.1	81.4	163.5	+0.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	84.4	166.2	-2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	75.7	84.9	160.6	-9.2	46%
vs Similar (9)	88.9	82.6	171.4	+6.3	78%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	84.8	74.0	158.8	+10.8	75%

This opponent (Ulcinj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

UlcinjMornar Bar

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	22.2	20.3	42.6	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.9	19.0	41.9	+3.9	77%	-
Last 30 away (8)	21.1	22.5	43.6	-1.4	25%	-
Last 10 (8)	25.9	21.1	47.0	+4.8	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	24.2	46.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	17.0	26.0	43.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.3	23.1	42.4	-3.8	22%	-
vs Weaker (11)	25.1	17.5	42.6	+7.5	91%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	18.8	41.1	+3.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	23.5	41.7	-5.3	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.4	44.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	46%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.2	19.9	41.1	+1.4	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	20.7	18.9	39.6	+1.9	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.2	19.6	41.8	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (8)	18.2	17.6	35.9	+0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (8)	22.6	21.0	43.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.8	43.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	15.0	15.0	30.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.6	18.5	41.1	+4.2	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.9	41.7	-2.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	23.6	43.4	-3.9	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.9	39.8	-0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.9	41.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	25.8	45.2	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.8	24.2	40.9	-7.4	8%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.6	22.0	45.6	+1.6	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	20.5	18.1	38.6	+2.4	38%	-

UlcinjLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ibar Rozaje

47-34

+13

A27/01

Prva A Liga

Primorje

#11

65-37

+28

H03/02

Prva A Liga

Danilovgrad

55-41

+14

H24/02

Prva A Liga

Tivat

41-49

-8

A03/03

Prva A Liga

Studentski Centar

#12

48-39

H10/03

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

41-42

-1

A24/03

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

52-47

H31/03

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

39-48

-9

A18/04

Prva A Liga

90.6Avg total

48.5Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	43.0	39.2	82.1	+3.8	62%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	45.2	38.6	83.8	+6.5	85%	-
Last 30 away (8)	39.4	40.1	79.5	-0.8	25%	-
Last 10 (8)	48.5	42.1	90.6	+6.4	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	45.0	89.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	32.0	41.0	73.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.3	42.9	81.2	-4.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	47.7	36.0	83.7	+11.7	91%	-

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cibona

#11

46-34

+12

A04/03

ABA League

Oostende

#32

37-40

-3

A07/03

FIBA Europe Cup

MZT Skopje

#12

50-41

H11/03

ABA League

Oostende

#32

43-33

+10

H14/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

22-41

-19

A18/03

ABA League

Donar Groningen

37-40

-3

H21/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

48-45

H25/03

ABA League

Donar Groningen

34-52

-18

A28/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

37-52

-15

A02/04

ABA League

Tivat

55-47

H18/04

Prva A Liga

83.4Avg total

40.9Scored

42.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	42.9	83.1	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	42.4	84.5	-0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	43.4	81.5	-5.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	42.5	83.4	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	47.2	89.4	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	37.5	45.8	83.3	-8.2	15%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.8	43.0	85.8	-0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	41.8	38.0	79.8	+3.8	62%	-

This opponent (Ulcinj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	20.8	17.4	38.1	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.0	16.2	38.2	+5.8	77%	-
Last 30 away (8)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (8)	22.9	17.2	40.1	+5.6	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.2	38.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	18.0	33.0	51.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.8	18.6	39.3	+2.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.0	15.0	36.0	+6.0	82%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.8	39.9	+2.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	16.7	38.4	+5.1	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	21.3	41.5	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	18.0	40.1	+4.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.8	36.2	+2.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.2	19.2	38.4	-0.1	69%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.9	18.7	40.6	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	23.1	18.4	41.5	+4.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	19.8	17.7	37.5	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.9	18.1	37.0	+0.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (8)	21.2	17.0	38.2	+4.2	62%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.5	18.4	39.9	+3.1	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.8	38.2	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	18.0	11.0	29.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	17.2	38.2	+3.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.0	19.9	38.9	-0.9	54%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.9	18.2	41.1	+4.7	89%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.9	17.6	37.5	+2.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	40.6	35.0	75.6	+5.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.9	34.3	75.2	+6.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (8)	40.0	36.2	76.2	+3.8	62%	-
Last 10 (8)	44.4	35.6	80.0	+8.8	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	34.0	77.0	+9.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	36.0	44.0	80.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.8	36.3	78.1	+5.4	78%	-
vs Weaker (11)	40.0	33.2	73.2	+6.8	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	37.6	79.1	+3.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.8	33.9	76.7	+8.8	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	41.9	81.8	-1.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	38.9	80.1	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	37.2	76.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	38.2	39.2	77.3	-1.0	46%	-
vs Similar (9)	44.8	36.9	81.7	+7.9	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	43.0	36.0	79.0	+7.0	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Ulcinjtheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 86.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game

53%

30%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	20.2	56.3%	58.8%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	9.4	36.2%	31.5%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	24.1	17.7	73.4%	69.7%	17.7

They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	21.0	51.6%	58.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	8.7	37.8%	31.5%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	18.8	13.8	73.4%	69.7%	13.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	19.1	52.0%	58.8%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.1	8.7	36.0%	31.5%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	22.0	15.4	69.9%	69.7%	15.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	21.2	53.2%	58.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.2	7.6	36.1%	31.5%	22.9
🏀 Free throws	20.9	14.9	71.4%	69.7%	14.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ulcinj wins

Mornar Bar wins

Date	Game	Score
08/04/17	Ulcinj v Mornar Bar	0-20
01/04/17	Mornar Bar v Ulcinj	85-68
06/04/11	Mornar Bar v Ulcinj	77-69
30/03/11	Ulcinj v Mornar Bar	80-68
23/03/11	Mornar Bar v Ulcinj	69-60

Ulcinjlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/04/18	A	Lovcen Cetinje	80-88
31/03/18	H	Lovcen Cetinje	92-85
24/03/18	A	Sutjeska	93-88
10/03/18	H	Studentski Centar	88-61
03/03/18	A	Tivat	83-73
24/02/18	H	Danilovgrad	100-66
10/02/18	A	Jedinstvo	88-75
03/02/18	H	Primorje	121-89
27/01/18	A	Ibar Rozaje	86-72
23/12/17	A	Lovcen Cetinje	69-76

Mornar Barlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/04/18	H	Tivat	105-82
02/04/18	A	Crvena zvezda	69-88
28/03/18	A	Donar Groningen	74-101
25/03/18	H	Crvena zvezda	88-84
21/03/18	H	Donar Groningen	73-67
18/03/18	A	Crvena zvezda	63-91
14/03/18	H	Oostende	90-63
11/03/18	H	MZT Skopje	106-75
07/03/18	A	Oostende	71-84
04/03/18	A	Cibona	82-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulcinj

Prva A Liga 2017-18

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	82%
Home	LWWWW	88%
Away	WWWWL	78%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	82%	88%	78%
Points / game	87.8	92.1	83.9
Allowed / game	73.8	75.4	72.3
Point differential	+14.0	+16.8	+11.6
Avg total	161.5	167.5	156.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	59%	50%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Mornar Bar

Prva A Liga 2017-18

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	105.0	105.0	-
Allowed / game	82.0	82.0	-
Point differential	+23.0	+23.0	-
Avg total	187.0	187.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mornar Bar	1	1	0	100%	105.0	82.0	+23.0
2	Buducnost	1	1	0	100%	76.0	68.0	+8.0
3	Lovcen Cetinje	17	15	2	88%	84.7	70.5	+14.2
4	Ulcinj	17	14	3	82%	87.8	73.8	+14.0
5	Sutjeska	18	12	6	67%	82.6	69.5	+13.1
6	Tivat	18	11	7	61%	85.6	75.2	+10.3
7	Strsljen	2	1	1	50%	86.5	87.5	-1.0
8	Ibar Rozaje	16	7	9	44%	76.5	76.6	-0.1
9	Danilovgrad	16	5	11	31%	68.9	76.2	-7.4
10	Jedinstvo	16	5	11	31%	77.7	87.9	-10.2
11	Primorje	16	3	13	19%	69.6	93.1	-23.6
12	Studentski Centar	18	3	15	17%	70.3	85.3	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ulcinj	19	24	13	16	72
Mornar Bar	23	19	18	20	80

← all games of the day

Ulcinj vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature