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LTH Castings vs Helios Domzale Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-78
23-16 14-10 23-32 19-20
Position#7
Record7-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game86.2
LTH Castings 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Helios Domzale
Slovenia
Position#3
Record9-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game75.2
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 13· Sportna dvorana Poden
Other2023-24
Meetings · LTH Castings v Helios Domzale
30 Jan 2025
LTH 74
HDO93
12 Apr 2024
LTH 66
HDO79
26 Dec 2023
LTH 79
HDO78
27 Dec 2022
LTH 43
HDO90
31 Jan 2017
LTH 54
HDO85
10 Feb 2016
LTH 67
HDO81
05 Feb 2014
LTH 70
HDO80
20 Oct 2012
LTH 83
HDO79
16 Nov 2011
LTH 53
HDO68
08 Jan 2011
LTH 73
HDO78
28 Oct 2009
LTH 63
HDO53
25 Nov 2008
LTH 64
HDO82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LTH Castings winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Helios Domzale winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LTH CastingsSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastings
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija mladi
#14
W
84-65
84
65
+19
no box
A07/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
103-97 OT
103
97
+6
no box
H11/11
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija mladi
#14
W
97-81
97
81
+16
no box
H14/11
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
96-85
96
85
+11
96avg 80
A18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
73-82
73
82
-9
62avg 80
H24/11
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
91-88
91
88
+3
89avg 80
A04/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
93-84
93
84
+9
82avg 80
H09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
72-79
72
79
-7
72avg 80
A15/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
H18/12
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
62-85
62
85
-23
no box
A23/12
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
13-21
20-11
23-13
19-18
14-10
20-19
26-32
21-22
29-12
32-19
15-28
21-20
28-25
25-19
22-21
13-29
19-13
20-17
21-23
25-21
24-25
24-26
18-16
14-12
29-24
23-22
27-26
17-22
20-17
18-16
17-24
14-20
27-17
25-11
16-25
13-19
13-33
22-17
14-16
167.2Avg total
85.3Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.786.2174.8+2.558%
Season at home (6)94.387.8182.2+6.567%
Season away (6)83.084.5167.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)85.381.9167.2+3.470%
Last 5 (5)80.081.8161.8-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.684.4163.0-5.736%
vs Similar (16)85.184.4169.6+0.756%
vs Weaker (2)90.573.0163.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helios DomzaleSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDomzale
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#6
W
87-83
87
83
+4
79avg 72
A14/11
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
83-89 OT
83
89
-6
77avg 72
H17/11
ABA League 2
TFT Skopje
#15
W
70-63
70
63
+7
69avg 72
A19/11
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
83-80
83
80
+3
79avg 72
H22/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
104-70
104
70
+34
102avg 72
H29/11
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
78-66
78
66
+12
71avg 72
H04/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
72-81
72
81
-9
64avg 72
A11/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
85-67
85
67
+18
88avg 72
H15/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatibor
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
60avg 72
H18/12
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
63-82
63
82
-19
52avg 72
A20/12
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
18-19
26-23
28-19
23-18
23-14
12-21
18-23
20-17
13-23
20-10
17-13
28-25
20-19
17-22
18-14
22-16
25-20
32-14
25-20
15-15
18-25
27-10
18-16
25-19
16-18
15-26
16-18
22-20
13-16
26-17
24-14
23-26
15-23
18-22
16-18
15-27
18-14
19-17
11-24
156.7Avg total
79.7Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.475.2157.6+7.275%
Season at home (7)82.471.0153.4+11.486%
Season away (5)82.481.0163.4+1.460%
Last 10 (10)79.777.0156.7+2.760%
Last 5 (5)74.077.0151.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.684.2163.8-4.640%
vs Similar (8)77.883.6161.4-5.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.874.8159.5+10.075%
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
LTH CastingsHelios Domzale
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LTH CastingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija mladi
#14
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A07/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H11/11
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija mladi
#14
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H14/11
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H24/11
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A04/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A15/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H18/12
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A23/12
Slovenian Cup
80.1Avg total
40.1Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.081.1+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.737.878.5+2.964%-
Last 30 away (16)41.441.983.3-0.444%-
Last 10 (10)40.140.080.1+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.242.081.2-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.640.077.6-2.445%-
vs Similar (16)42.141.483.5+0.856%-
vs Weaker (2)45.537.583.0+8.050%-
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A14/11
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H17/11
ABA League 2
TFT Skopje
#15
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A19/11
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H22/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H29/11
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H04/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A11/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H15/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatibor
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H18/12
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/12
ABA League 2
78.3Avg total
38.7Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.380.4-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.840.179.9-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)40.540.580.9+0.040%-
Last 10 (10)38.739.678.3-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.040.676.6-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.441.683.0-0.240%-
vs Similar (8)39.244.183.4-4.912%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.637.978.5+2.656%-
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LTH Castingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LTH Castings: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.921.3
59.3%
52.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.6
36.4%
33.0%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.814.0
67.3%
74.0%14.0
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.618.6
57.1%
52.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.29.9
30.7%
33.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.412.1
73.8%
74.0%12.1
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LTH Castings
LWLWWLWWWW
Helios Domzale
LLWLWWWWLW
#7
League position
#3
+2.4
Net rating
+4.2
112.3
Offensive rating
108.0
109.9
Defensive rating
103.8
57.3%
Effective FG%
51.6%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
19.1%
Turnover %
16.8%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.4%
3-point %
30.7%
58.3%
Assist %
65.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 108.0Defence109.9 · 103.8Shooting57.3% · 51.6%3-point %36.4% · 30.7%Ball care19.1% · 16.8%Off. rebounds30.3% · 30.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ LTH Castings   ■ Helios Domzale
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
LTH Castings wins
10
Helios Domzale wins
DateGameScore
20/10/23Helios Domzale v LTH Castings77-72
03/03/23Helios Domzale v LTH Castings90-84
27/12/22LTH Castings v Helios Domzale43-90
14/10/22Helios Domzale v LTH Castings104-61
31/01/17LTH Castings v Helios Domzale54-85
12/11/16Helios Domzale v LTH Castings85-70
10/02/16LTH Castings v Helios Domzale67-81
28/11/15Helios Domzale v LTH Castings69-68
05/02/14LTH Castings v Helios Domzale70-80
22/12/12Helios Domzale v LTH Castings80-65
LTH Castingslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23APerspektiva Ilirija62-85
18/12/23HPerspektiva Ilirija82-73
15/12/23ASencur72-79
09/12/23HRogaska93-84
04/12/23ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek91-88
24/11/23HTajfun Sentjur73-82
18/11/23APerspektiva Ilirija96-85
14/11/23HCedevita Olimpija mladi97-81
11/11/23HKK Triglav Kranj103-97 OT
07/11/23ACedevita Olimpija mladi84-65
Helios Domzalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23ASiroki Brijeg63-82
18/12/23HZlatibor72-89
15/12/23HPerspektiva Ilirija85-67
11/12/23AKK Triglav Kranj72-81
04/12/23HPolzela78-66
29/11/23HTajfun Sentjur104-70
22/11/23HKK Krka Novo mesto83-80
19/11/23ATFT Skopje70-63
17/11/23HVojvodina Novi Sad83-89 OT
14/11/23AMZT Skopje87-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LTH Castings
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL58%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game88.794.383.0
Allowed / game86.287.884.5
Point differential+2.5+6.5-1.5
Avg total174.8182.2167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Helios Domzale
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%86%60%
Points / game82.482.482.4
Allowed / game75.271.081.0
Point differential+7.2+11.4+1.4
Avg total157.6153.4163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%57%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto1311285%91.276.9+14.3
2 Helios Domzale129375%82.475.2+7.2
3 LTH Castings127558%88.786.2+2.5
4 Perspektiva Ilirija137654%77.376.3+1.0
5 Tajfun Sentjur137654%80.083.6-3.6
6 Sencur126650%78.580.3-1.8
7 Rogaska135838%75.577.9-2.4
8 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek124833%83.685.7-2.1
9 KK Triglav Kranj134931%73.778.3-4.6
10 Polzela1331023%80.290.3-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LTH Castings2314231979
Helios Domzale1610322078
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