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LTH Castings vs Helios Domzale Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 66-79
17-22 22-21 10-16 17-20
Position#7
Record11-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#3
Record19-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game77.6
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 25· Sportna dvorana Poden
Other2023-24
Meetings · LTH Castings v Helios Domzale
30 Jan 2025
LTH 74
HDO93
12 Apr 2024
LTH 66
HDO79
26 Dec 2023
LTH 79
HDO78
27 Dec 2022
LTH 43
HDO90
31 Jan 2017
LTH 54
HDO85
10 Feb 2016
LTH 67
HDO81
05 Feb 2014
LTH 70
HDO80
20 Oct 2012
LTH 83
HDO79
16 Nov 2011
LTH 53
HDO68
08 Jan 2011
LTH 73
HDO78
28 Oct 2009
LTH 63
HDO53
25 Nov 2008
LTH 64
HDO82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LTH Castings winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Helios Domzale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LTH CastingsSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastings
Date
Competition
Polzela
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 72
H13/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
68-91
68
91
-23
54avg 72
A20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
74-76
74
76
-2
67avg 72
H27/01
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
72-87
72
87
-15
63avg 72
A03/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
86-75
86
75
+11
74avg 72
H04/03
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
no box
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
78-81
78
81
-3
72avg 72
H18/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
63-78
63
78
-15
50avg 72
H27/03
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
74-85
74
85
-11
70avg 72
A03/04
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
80-76 OT
80
76
+4
64avg 72
H08/04
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
20-11
17-28
18-15
14-22
13-31
23-20
18-18
18-18
18-20
16-12
22-26
9-30
25-16
21-20
17-21
25-19
25-19
14-21
22-16
20-19
19-14
12-16
16-18
25-23
22-25
14-17
17-16
8-18
22-23
17-19
16-18
19-23
21-25
18-21
16-16
20-23
8-8
14-11
22-22
155.1Avg total
74.7Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.484.0165.5-2.646%
Season at home (13)84.881.9166.7+2.862%
Season away (11)77.586.5164.0-9.127%
Last 10 (10)74.780.4155.1-5.730%
Last 5 (5)74.280.2154.4-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.584.0159.5-8.525%
vs Similar (19)82.183.3165.4-1.253%
vs Weaker (2)90.573.0163.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helios DomzaleSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDomzale
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
104-89
104
89
+15
100avg 74
H02/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
81-67
81
67
+14
74avg 74
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
87avg 74
H15/03
Liga Nova KBM
Sutjeska
#10
L
53-74
53
74
-21
37avg 74
H18/03
ABA League 2
Borac Banja Luka
#8
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A20/03
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#5
W
76-75
76
75
+1
68avg 74
H23/03
ABA League 2
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
96-99 OT
96
99
-3
no box
A26/03
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
94-69
94
69
+25
96avg 74
H30/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
95-84
95
84
+11
96avg 74
H06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Spartak Subotica
#1
L
71-84
71
84
-13
57avg 74
H09/04
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
22-15
30-24
28-28
16-23
19-13
24-19
22-12
30-26
22-16
15-18
16-17
6-18
19-19
13-20
15-17
–
–
–
–
21-22
19-23
19-18
17-12
23-21
23-20
13-17
24-25
28-16
20-28
22-12
24-13
27-25
19-19
23-12
26-28
19-22
14-19
18-20
20-23
149.1Avg total
77.3Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)86.677.6164.2+9.079%
Season at home (13)86.373.2159.5+13.292%
Season away (11)86.982.9169.8+4.064%
Last 10 (10)77.371.8149.1+5.570%
Last 5 (5)86.482.2168.6+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.489.6172.0-7.240%
vs Similar (8)65.865.6131.4+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.175.2162.4+11.982%
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
LTH CastingsHelios Domzale
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LTH CastingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polzela
#11
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H13/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H27/01
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A03/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H04/03
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H18/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H27/03
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A03/04
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H08/04
Liga Nova KBM
77.9Avg total
37.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.681.1-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.637.778.3+2.956%-
Last 30 away (14)40.443.984.2-3.536%-
Last 10 (10)37.240.777.9-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.840.277.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.240.879.0-2.538%-
vs Similar (19)40.241.882.0-1.647%-
vs Weaker (2)45.537.583.0+8.050%-
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H02/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H15/03
Liga Nova KBM
Sutjeska
#10
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H18/03
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H23/03
ABA League 2
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A26/03
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H30/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Spartak Subotica
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H09/04
ABA League 2
82.0Avg total
41.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.239.979.1-0.745%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.741.081.7-0.347%-
Last 30 away (12)37.138.475.5-1.342%-
Last 10 (9)41.240.882.0+0.456%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.085.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.644.884.4-5.220%-
vs Similar (7)36.941.178.0-4.329%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.138.078.1+2.159%-
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LTH Castingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LTH Castings: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.219.6
48.8%
52.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.0
26.8%
33.0%21.0
🏀 Free throws17.112.5
73.1%
74.0%12.5
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.7
55.2%
52.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.5
32.1%
33.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.916.6
83.4%
74.0%16.6
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LTH Castings
WLLLLWLLLW
Helios Domzale
LWWLWWLWWW
#7
League position
#3
-12.0
Net rating
+6.8
95.7
Offensive rating
109.9
107.7
Defensive rating
103.2
45.4%
Effective FG%
51.9%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
21.3%
Turnover %
15.4%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
26.8%
3-point %
32.1%
51.5%
Assist %
68.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.7 · 109.9Defence107.7 · 103.2Shooting45.4% · 51.9%3-point %26.8% · 32.1%Ball care21.3% · 15.4%Off. rebounds34.6% · 25.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ LTH Castings   ■ Helios Domzale
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
LTH Castings wins
9
Helios Domzale wins
LTH Castingslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/24HRogaska80-76 OT
03/04/24ASencur74-85
27/03/24HKK Krka Novo mesto63-78
18/03/24HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek78-81
09/03/24APolzela76-81 OT
04/03/24HKK Triglav Kranj86-75
03/02/24ATajfun Sentjur72-87
27/01/24HPerspektiva Ilirija74-76
20/01/24AKK Triglav Kranj68-91
13/01/24HPolzela76-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/24HSpartak Subotica71-84
06/04/24HPerspektiva Ilirija95-84
30/03/24HSencur94-69
26/03/24ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek96-99 OT
23/03/24HPodgorica76-75
20/03/24ABorac Banja Luka20-0
18/03/24HSutjeska53-74
15/03/24HPolzela83-77
09/03/24AKK Triglav Kranj81-67
02/03/24HTajfun Sentjur104-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LTH Castings
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW46%
HomeLWLLW62%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %46%62%27%
Points / game81.484.877.5
Allowed / game84.081.986.5
Point differential-2.6+2.8-9.1
Avg total165.5166.7164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %12%15%9%
Helios Domzale
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW79%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %79%92%64%
Points / game86.686.386.9
Allowed / game77.673.282.9
Point differential+9.0+13.2+4.0
Avg total164.2159.5169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %8%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto2420483%91.676.2+15.4
2 Helios Domzale2419579%86.677.6+9.0
3 Perspektiva Ilirija24141058%81.479.0+2.5
4 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek24121250%83.084.6-1.6
5 LTH Castings24111346%81.484.0-2.6
6 Sencur24111346%76.979.5-2.6
7 Rogaska2491538%75.278.2-3.0
8 Tajfun Sentjur2491538%80.585.8-5.3
9 KK Triglav Kranj2481633%72.577.6-5.1
10 Polzela2471729%78.585.2-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LTH Castings1722101766
Helios Domzale2221162079
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