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Rogaska vs LTH Castings Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 85-92
22-15 24-27 27-23 12-27
Position#7
Record5-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game79.0
Rogaska
Slovenia
vs
LTH Castings 🏆
Slovenia
Position#10
Record1-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game80.8
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 12· SD Rogaska Slatina
Other2024-25
Meetings · Rogaska v LTH Castings
21 Dec 2024
ROGA85
LTH 92
07 Oct 2023
ROGA96
LTH 79
19 Mar 2023
ROGA94
LTH 93
02 Dec 2022
ROGA93
LTH 83
15 Oct 2016
ROGA94
LTH 52
23 Dec 2015
ROGA58
LTH 50
17 Apr 2013
ROGA75
LTH 67
23 Feb 2013
ROGA57
LTH 53
11 Apr 2012
ROGA81
LTH 59
28 Jan 2012
ROGA57
LTH 55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LTH Castings winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
94-66
94
66
+28
103avg 71
H05/10
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#10
L
60-79
60
79
-19
48avg 71
A14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
79-75
79
75
+4
78avg 71
A20/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
79-67
79
67
+12
66avg 71
H26/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
70-75
70
75
-5
66avg 71
A04/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
86avg 71
H09/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
67-97
67
97
-30
54avg 71
A13/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
81-90
81
90
-9
73avg 71
H30/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
70avg 71
H07/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
72avg 71
A14/12
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
23-13
18-13
30-13
19-23
9-9
21-25
11-22
22-18
23-22
15-20
19-15
18-15
23-20
16-18
22-14
13-18
29-16
9-20
19-21
20-23
15-20
27-17
15-17
26-20
17-24
4-29
20-24
25-27
18-15
14-22
24-26
22-23
23-22
11-20
25-21
22-18
22-24
13-14
18-12
156.3Avg total
77.6Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.579.0155.5-2.545%
Season at home (5)85.078.6163.6+6.460%
Season away (6)69.379.3148.7-10.033%
Last 10 (10)77.678.7156.3-1.150%
Last 5 (5)78.885.0163.8-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.591.0165.5-16.510%
vs Similar (13)79.574.2153.8+5.362%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.375.4157.7+6.957%
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LTH CastingsSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastings
Date
Competition
Sencur
#5
L
64-77
64
77
-13
50avg 62
A18/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
57avg 62
H25/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#11
L
88-96
88
96
-8
no box
H30/10
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
72-86
72
86
-14
60avg 62
A02/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
69-88
69
88
-19
65avg 62
H06/11
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#11
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
A12/11
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
L
56-94
56
94
-38
40avg 62
A16/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
74-95
74
95
-21
61avg 62
H30/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
63-73
63
73
-10
46avg 62
H06/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
68-77
68
77
-9
67avg 62
H16/12
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
11-17
12-18
19-15
15-16
14-18
15-26
25-20
21-25
23-30
25-19
19-22
16-18
14-19
14-23
28-26
13-27
13-19
20-23
23-19
26-21
19-15
18-19
18-20
19-15
16-25
8-31
13-23
13-27
27-22
15-20
19-26
12-12
10-25
21-18
20-18
24-14
13-20
15-16
16-27
154.5Avg total
70.4Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)69.280.8150.0-11.69%
Season at home (6)70.378.8149.2-8.517%
Season away (5)67.883.2151.0-15.40%
Last 10 (10)70.484.1154.5-13.710%
Last 5 (5)68.482.8151.2-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)69.682.8152.4-13.26%
vs Similar (11)78.481.7160.1-3.445%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
RogaskaLTH Castings
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H05/10
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#10
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A20/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H26/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A04/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H09/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A13/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H30/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H07/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A14/12
Liga Nova KBM
80.9Avg total
41.2Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.879.7+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.439.081.4+3.471%-
Last 30 away (16)37.840.578.2-2.844%-
Last 10 (10)41.239.780.9+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.285.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.843.482.2-4.630%-
vs Similar (13)39.736.976.6+2.877%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.940.081.9+1.957%-
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LTH CastingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#5
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A18/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H25/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#11
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H30/10
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A02/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H06/11
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#11
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A12/11
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A16/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H30/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H06/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H16/12
Liga Nova KBM
75.3Avg total
34.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.040.876.9-4.823%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.039.575.5-3.527%-
Last 30 away (15)36.142.178.2-6.120%-
Last 10 (10)34.141.275.3-7.120%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.275.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)33.840.874.6-7.111%-
vs Similar (11)39.741.981.6-2.236%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.3
52.3%
53.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.2
34.0%
32.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.613.7
69.9%
72.0%13.7
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LTH Castingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LTH Castings: 68.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.3
50.7%
53.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.16.9
29.9%
32.6%20.7
🏀 Free throws15.510.8
69.7%
72.0%10.8
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rogaska
WLLLWLWWLW
LTH Castings
LLLLWLLLLL
#7
League position
#10
-1.1
Net rating
-15.1
104.2
Offensive rating
90.1
105.3
Defensive rating
105.2
51.8%
Effective FG%
48.4%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
18.8%
Turnover %
24.5%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.0%
3-point %
29.9%
64.0%
Assist %
52.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 90.1Defence105.3 · 105.2Shooting51.8% · 48.4%3-point %34.0% · 29.9%Ball care18.8% · 24.5%Off. rebounds27.5% · 25.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Rogaska   ■ LTH Castings
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Rogaska wins
3
LTH Castings wins
DateGameScore
14/10/24LTH Castings v Rogaska79-60
08/04/24LTH Castings v Rogaska80-76 OT
09/12/23LTH Castings v Rogaska93-84
07/10/23Rogaska v LTH Castings96-79
19/03/23Rogaska v LTH Castings94-93
11/02/23LTH Castings v Rogaska84-87
02/12/22Rogaska v LTH Castings93-83
07/01/17LTH Castings v Rogaska70-115
15/10/16Rogaska v LTH Castings94-52
05/03/16LTH Castings v Rogaska70-86
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24AZlatorog Lasko75-68
07/12/24HPerspektiva Ilirija81-86
30/11/24HHelios Domzale81-90
13/11/24AKK Krka Novo mesto67-97
09/11/24HKK Triglav Kranj90-84 OT
04/11/24ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek70-75
26/10/24HSencur79-67
20/10/24ATajfun Sentjur79-75
14/10/24ALTH Castings60-79
05/10/24HZlatorog Lasko94-66
LTH Castingslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/24HTajfun Sentjur68-77
06/12/24HZlatorog Lasko63-73
30/11/24HPerspektiva Ilirija74-95
16/11/24AHelios Domzale56-94
12/11/24ASencur81-75
06/11/24HKK Krka Novo mesto69-88
02/11/24AKK Triglav Kranj72-86
30/10/24HSencur88-96
25/10/24HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek69-80
18/10/24ASencur64-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW45%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game76.585.069.3
Allowed / game79.078.679.3
Point differential-2.5+6.4-10.0
Avg total155.5163.6148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%20%0%
LTH Castings
Liga Nova KBM 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %9%17%0%
Points / game69.270.367.8
Allowed / game80.878.883.2
Point differential-11.6-8.5-15.4
Avg total150.0149.2151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto1110191%88.572.6+15.9
2 Perspektiva Ilirija118373%84.576.8+7.7
3 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek118373%77.176.7+0.4
4 Helios Domzale117464%77.870.3+7.5
5 KK Triglav Kranj105550%77.776.0+1.7
6 Rogaska115645%76.579.0-2.5
7 Tajfun Sentjur125742%73.979.7-5.8
8 Sencur124833%73.979.2-5.2
9 Zlatorog Lasko123925%73.279.5-6.3
10 LTH Castings111109%69.280.8-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rogaska2224271285
LTH Castings1527232792
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